IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wyoming
Mountain West
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.5	#163
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.6	#275
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#145

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.4	#185

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.0%	3.3%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.2%	1.4%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.6	11.5	14.3

.500 or above	24.0%	25.7%	7.0%
.500 or above in Conference	22.9%	24.2%	10.1%
Conference Champion	1.3%	1.3%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	27.4%	26.0%	41.2%

First Four	0.9%	0.9%	0.4%
First Round	2.7%	2.9%	0.6%
Second Round	0.7%	0.8%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 90.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 11
Quad 3	4 - 5	6 - 15
Quad 4	3 - 1	10 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2023	334	Cal Poly	W	70-56	91%
Nov 16, 2023	102	Saint Louis	L	71-75	37%
Nov 26, 2023	15	@ Texas	L	62-79	6%
Dec 01, 2023	174	@ Portland	L	73-75	42%
Dec 09, 2023	115	Stephen F. Austin	W	72-71	51%
Dec 16, 2023	160	Weber St.	W	68-65	60%
Dec 20, 2023	151	South Dakota St.	L	69-70	48%
Dec 30, 2023	50	@ BYU	L	66-78	15%
Jan 02, 2024	147	San Jose St.	W	66-64	58%
Jan 06, 2024	55	@ New Mexico	L	71-83	16%
Jan 09, 2024	83	@ Utah St.	L	67-76	23%
Jan 13, 2024	111	Fresno St.	L	64-65	50%
Jan 20, 2024	79	Nevada	L	67-70	40%
Jan 23, 2024	31	@ San Diego St.	L	58-73	11%
Jan 27, 2024	71	Colorado St.	L	68-72	37%
Jan 30, 2024	166	@ Air Force	L	63-66	40%
Feb 03, 2024	91	@ UNLV	L	68-76	26%
Feb 06, 2024	55	New Mexico	L	74-80	31%
Feb 14, 2024	83	Utah St.	L	70-73	41%
Feb 17, 2024	147	@ San Jose St.	L	63-67	38%
Feb 20, 2024	79	@ Nevada	L	64-73	23%
Feb 24, 2024	54	Boise St.	L	65-71	32%
Feb 27, 2024	91	UNLV	L	71-73	43%
Mar 02, 2024	71	@ Colorado St.	L	65-75	21%
Mar 05, 2024	166	Air Force	W	66-63	60%
Mar 09, 2024	111	@ Fresno St.	L	61-67	31%
Projected Record						10 - 16	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0				2.3	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.0	0.6	1.6	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0					4.0	3rd
4th									0.1	0.8	2.3	1.7	0.4	0.1							5.3	4th
5th								0.1	0.9	2.7	2.2	0.5	0.0								6.5	5th
6th							0.0	1.0	3.4	3.0	0.6	0.0									8.0	6th
7th						0.1	1.1	4.1	3.6	1.0	0.0	0.0									9.8	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	1.4	5.0	4.4	1.2	0.1											12.3	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	2.3	5.3	5.0	1.5	0.1												14.4	9th
10th		0.1	1.0	3.8	6.2	4.6	1.2	0.1													17.0	10th
11th	1.3	3.7	5.5	5.1	2.9	0.7	0.1														19.3	11th

Total	1.3	3.8	6.5	9.2	11.4	12.1	12.4	11.2	9.3	7.6	5.8	4.1	2.5	1.6	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	89.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	76.7%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	44.8%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	19.8%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	4.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.3%	1.3		0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%													0.0
17-1	0.0%		90.2%	19.5%	70.7%	4.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0							0.0		87.9%
16-2	0.2%		79.7%	22.2%	57.5%	6.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		73.9%
15-3	0.4%		66.4%	17.9%	48.4%	8.3				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		59.0%
14-4	0.7%		52.7%	14.4%	38.3%	9.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.4		44.7%
13-5	1.6%		29.4%	9.2%	20.3%	10.5							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.1		22.3%
12-6	2.5%		14.1%	6.9%	7.2%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.1		7.7%
11-7	4.1%		7.1%	4.9%	2.3%	11.7										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		3.8		2.4%
10-8	5.8%		4.9%	4.5%	0.4%	12.8											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.5		0.5%
9-9	7.6%		2.9%	2.7%	0.2%	13.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	7.3		0.2%
8-10	9.3%		2.6%	2.6%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	9.0
7-11	11.2%		1.1%	1.1%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	11.1
6-12	12.4%		1.2%	1.2%		15.9																0.0	0.1	12.2
5-13	12.1%		0.5%	0.5%		15.9																0.0	0.1	12.0
4-14	11.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
3-15	9.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
2-16	6.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
1-17	3.8%																							3.8
0-18	1.3%																							1.3

Total	100%		3.0%	1.8%	1.2%	11.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.3	0.4	97.0		1.2%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%