Xavier
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#68
Expected Predictive Rating+9.7#66
Pace72.7#79
Improvement-1.7#288

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#69
First Shot+6.6#35
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#299
Layup/Dunks+4.8#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#121
Freethrows+1.4#102
Improvement-1.1#268

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#75
First Shot+3.2#85
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#121
Layups/Dunks-0.5#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#159
Freethrows+1.6#87
Improvement-0.6#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.5% 2.6% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.0% 25.2% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.1% 22.3% 7.8%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.8
.500 or above 74.1% 74.6% 43.9%
.500 or above in Conference 45.8% 46.1% 27.4%
Conference Champion 2.8% 2.8% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 7.6% 9.8%
First Four6.2% 6.3% 3.3%
First Round21.5% 21.7% 7.8%
Second Round9.6% 9.7% 3.5%
Sweet Sixteen2.5% 2.6% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 98.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 25 - 48 - 13
Quad 34 - 112 - 15
Quad 46 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 294   Texas Southern W 78-69 95%     1 - 0 -0.9 -1.4 +0.2
  Nov 08, 2024 356   IU Indianapolis W 94-80 98%     2 - 0 -2.4 +14.8 -16.6
  Nov 12, 2024 315   Jackson St. W 94-57 96%     3 - 0 +25.6 +14.1 +10.0
  Nov 16, 2024 89   Wake Forest W 75-60 70%     4 - 0 +18.0 +10.6 +8.3
  Nov 20, 2024 302   Siena W 80-55 95%     5 - 0 +14.7 +6.9 +9.0
  Nov 25, 2024 69   South Carolina W 75-66 50%     6 - 0 +17.4 +5.9 +11.3
  Nov 27, 2024 16   Michigan L 53-78 26%     6 - 1 -9.9 -11.9 +2.3
  Dec 01, 2024 303   South Carolina St. W 71-68 95%     7 - 1 -7.4 -8.2 +0.8
  Dec 05, 2024 78   @ TCU L 72-76 44%     7 - 2 +6.1 +9.6 -3.8
  Dec 10, 2024 340   Morgan St. W 89-66 98%    
  Dec 14, 2024 25   @ Cincinnati L 68-76 22%    
  Dec 18, 2024 11   @ Connecticut L 70-80 17%    
  Dec 21, 2024 12   Marquette L 73-77 36%    
  Dec 31, 2024 116   Seton Hall W 68-59 79%    
  Jan 03, 2025 98   @ Georgetown W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 07, 2025 20   St. John's L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 97   @ DePaul L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 14, 2025 56   Villanova W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 12   @ Marquette L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 22, 2025 20   @ St. John's L 72-81 20%    
  Jan 25, 2025 11   Connecticut L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 40   @ Creighton L 73-79 29%    
  Feb 04, 2025 98   Georgetown W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 09, 2025 56   @ Villanova L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 12, 2025 79   @ Providence L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 97   DePaul W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 18, 2025 54   Butler W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 23, 2025 116   @ Seton Hall W 65-62 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 40   Creighton L 75-76 49%    
  Mar 05, 2025 54   @ Butler L 74-78 36%    
  Mar 08, 2025 79   Providence W 72-68 66%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.0 4.8 1.5 0.1 13.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.4 5.2 1.5 0.1 13.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.1 5.1 1.6 0.1 0.0 13.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.4 4.5 1.3 0.1 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.6 3.5 1.1 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.4 2.6 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.0 5.2 7.8 10.5 12.3 13.4 13.1 11.1 8.2 6.0 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 94.6% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
16-4 71.6% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 40.6% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 15.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 43.4% 56.6% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 26.2% 73.8% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 99.4% 21.3% 78.0% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
15-5 2.2% 96.9% 18.3% 78.6% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.2%
14-6 3.7% 90.9% 12.2% 78.7% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.3 89.6%
13-7 6.0% 79.3% 8.5% 70.9% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.2 77.4%
12-8 8.2% 60.1% 6.4% 53.7% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 1.5 0.1 3.3 57.4%
11-9 11.1% 39.7% 4.5% 35.2% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.0 0.2 6.7 36.8%
10-10 13.1% 21.2% 3.4% 17.8% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 0.2 10.3 18.4%
9-11 13.4% 6.0% 1.9% 4.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 12.5 4.2%
8-12 12.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.0 0.6%
7-13 10.5% 0.7% 0.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4
6-14 7.8% 0.6% 0.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8
5-15 5.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
4-16 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 3.0
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 25.0% 3.7% 21.2% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.9 3.1 4.3 5.6 6.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.0 22.1%