Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
140 Montana St. 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 6 +1.1      +0.7 146 +0.4 154 65.2 269 -0.4 166 +1.3 2
154 Northern Colorado 0.0%   17 - 12 10 - 8 +0.4      +1.5 128 -1.1 210 70.8 113 0.0 157 -1.5 6
159 Portland St. 0.0%   17 - 11 13 - 5 +0.3      -4.2 283 +4.5 64 69.3 150 +0.8 143 +2.9 1
160 Idaho 100.0%   15   18 - 14 9 - 9 +0.3      -0.5 179 +0.8 143 68.2 186 -0.2 159 -2.8 7
175 Eastern Washington 0.0%   13 - 19 11 - 7 -1.0      +2.1 117 -3.1 266 69.0 159 -2.7 211 +0.1 3
199 Montana 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 8 -2.0      -2.2 225 +0.2 167 72.7 67 -1.0 176 -1.2 5
210 Weber St. 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 8 -2.7      +1.2 137 -3.8 289 70.6 116 -3.0 215 -1.1 4
265 Idaho St. 0.0%   10 - 20 5 - 13 -5.6      -0.4 175 -5.2 316 64.4 287 -5.9 253 -7.9 9
275 Sacramento St. 0.0%   7 - 21 6 - 12 -6.5      -2.3 233 -4.2 295 77.1 14 -7.0 278 -6.2 8
316 Northern Arizona 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 14 -9.7      -2.3 234 -7.4 348 61.8 341 -8.6 301 -9.0 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Portland St. 1.0 100.0
Montana St. 2.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 3.0 100.0
Montana 4.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 4.0 100.0
Weber St. 4.0 100.0
Idaho 7.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 8.0 100.0
Idaho St. 9.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 10.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Portland St. 13 - 5 17 - 11 100.0
Montana St. 12 - 6 15 - 14 100.0
Eastern Washington 11 - 7 13 - 19 100.0
Montana 10 - 8 15 - 15 100.0
Northern Colorado 10 - 8 17 - 12 100.0
Weber St. 10 - 8 14 - 16 100.0
Idaho 9 - 9 18 - 14 100.0
Sacramento St. 6 - 12 7 - 21 100.0
Idaho St. 5 - 13 10 - 20 100.0
Northern Arizona 4 - 14 7 - 22 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Portland St. 100.0% 100.0
Montana St.
Eastern Washington
Montana
Northern Colorado
Weber St.
Idaho
Sacramento St.
Idaho St.
Northern Arizona


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.6 25.9 71.4 2.1
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 2.8% 0.0 97.2 2.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%