Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.5 #242
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 #298
Pace 70.1 #146
Improvement +1.9 #93

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #189 C C D+ C C-
Defense #286 D D- C+ D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #184 1.12 #224 -0.9 #213
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #101 0.79 #123 +1.9 #81
Three Pointers 37% #261 1.10 #74 -0.4 #197
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #159 +0.6 #159
Freethrows 0.30 #211 75% #108 0.22 #175
Second Chance 30.1% #203 1.07 #140 0.32 #166
Turnovers 18.3% #293
Total Offense -0.8 #189

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #57 1.21 #261 -4.1 #311
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #279 0.92 #356 -0.1 #190
Three Pointers 39% #232 1.10 #289 -0.7 #212
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #322 -4.9 #320
Freethrows 0.32 #252 75% #330 0.24 #284
Second Chance 33.2% #289 1.18 #331 0.39 #329
Turnovers 17.2% #122
Total Defense -3.7 #286

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #256 1.5% #310
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.2% #140 8.0% #319
Possession Length 17.5 #187 17.0 #120
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #298 0.21 #310
Improvement -1.5 #258 +3.4 #23

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.3% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 39.2% 52.0% 23.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 1.0% 8.7%
First Four4.1% 4.6% 3.5%
First Round3.3% 3.9% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Arizona (Away) - 55.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 112 - 16
Quad 47 - 610 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 37 @UCLA L 74 - 80 4% -7  0 - 1 +10 +8 A+ D- D +3 C B- D-
 Wed, Nov 5 155 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 23% -1  0 - 2 -5 -7 C+ F F+ +2 B F C+
 Sat, Nov 8 82 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 9% -1  0 - 3 +5 +17 A+ D B- -11 D C D+
 Wed, Nov 12 123 @Seattle L 67 - 94 17% -15  0 - 4 -21 -1 C+ D- C+ -19 F F A
 Sun, Nov 23 233 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 37% -20  0 - 5 -28 -10 D C F -18 F B- C
 Tue, Nov 25 140 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 20% -2  0 - 6 -4 +2 C D+ C+ -6 B- D- D
 Wed, Dec 3 284 @Denver L 89 - 93 49% -0  0 - 7 -8 +9 A+ C- F -17 F A D
 Sat, Dec 6 354 UMKC W 90 - 66 87% +15  1 - 7 +7 +3 F+ A+ D +2 C F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 139 California Baptist L 83 - 88 39% -5  1 - 8 -7 +10 B A C- -17 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 17 138 Washington St. L 63 - 78 29% -12  1 - 9 -14 -12 F+ F D+ -1 D- C+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 104 @Utah L 77 - 101 13% -11  1 - 10 -16 +5 D C C+ -21 F F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 14 @BYU L 81 - 109 2% -9  1 - 11 -6 +12 A- A C- -16 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 3 189 @Idaho L 81 - 84 30% -2  1 - 12 0 - 1 -2 +9 D- A+ F -11 F+ F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 157 Montana St. L 64 - 68 44% +0  1 - 13 0 - 2 -7 -5 F D+ C -2 C- C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 161 Montana W 66 - 65 44% -2  2 - 13 1 - 2 -2 -1 C+ D+ C -1 B C- C
 Thu, Jan 15 215 @Weber St. L 80 - 91 34% -1  2 - 14 1 - 3 -11 +0 D+ B+ F+ -11 D F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 225 @Idaho St. W 84 - 66 36% +15  3 - 14 2 - 3 +17 +12 A+ F D- +6 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 149 Portland St. L 61 - 65 42% -5  3 - 15 2 - 4 -6 -7 D- C+ D+ +1 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 24 293 Sacramento St. W 75 - 67 72% +7  4 - 15 3 - 4 -3 +2 D- A+ C -4 C- C B+
 Thu, Jan 29 313 @Northern Arizona W 75 - 74 56%
 Sat, Jan 31 197 @Northern Colorado L 77 - 82 31%
 Thu, Feb 5 161 @Montana L 74 - 81 24%
 Sat, Feb 7 157 @Montana St. L 70 - 78 23%
 Thu, Feb 12 225 Idaho St. W 76 - 74 59%
 Sat, Feb 14 215 Weber St. W 80 - 78 57%
 Thu, Feb 19 293 @Sacramento St. W 81 - 80 50%
 Sat, Feb 21 149 @Portland St. L 69 - 77 22%
 Thu, Feb 26 197 Northern Colorado W 80 - 79 53%
 Sat, Feb 28 313 Northern Arizona W 78 - 71 76%
 Mon, Mar 2 189 Idaho W 76 - 75 51%
Totals 9 - 21 8 - 10 -4 -1 C C D+ -4 D D- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.8 0.9 0.1 5.8 3rd
4th 0.4 4.4 6.5 2.3 0.2 13.8 4th
5th 0.5 5.9 9.5 3.5 0.2 19.6 5th
6th 0.3 5.6 11.5 4.5 0.3 22.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.7 9.2 3.9 0.2 17.3 7th
8th 0.1 2.1 6.2 3.3 0.2 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.1 0.3 6.3 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.4 10th
Total 0.2 1.6 5.9 12.4 18.7 22.0 18.8 12.3 5.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.4% 22.1% 22.1% 15.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.9% 13.7% 13.7% 15.8 0.1 0.2 1.6
11-7 5.8% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 5.2
10-8 12.3% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 1.0 11.3
9-9 18.8% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 1.1 17.7
8-10 22.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.9 21.1
7-11 18.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 18.3
6-12 12.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.3
5-13 5.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 5.9
4-14 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 95.4 0.0%