Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.7 210
Results Rating -3.0 216
Consistency 0.15 158
Pace 70.6 116
Improvement -1.5 243

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 139 C C- C C+ B
Defense D+ 289 D+ C C- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 17 C- 56% 211 +3.6 58
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 188 D 33% 322 -2.3 291
Three Pointers 37% 269 B- 36% 106 -1.1 219
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 58 C -0.6 194
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 155
Second Chance C+ 31.2% 154 D+ 0.96 279 C- 0.30 199
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 205
Other Turnovers C+ 6.7% 120
Turnovers C 16.3% 153
Freethrows B- 0.33 105 C 72% 200 C+ 0.24 118
Total Offense C+ +1.1 139

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 44% 265 D 13.1% 306
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 12% 347 F+ 8.5% 338
Three Pointers C 84% 187 B 0.4% 68
Total D+ 51% 268 F+ 7.6% 344


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 94 F+ 66% 350 +5.3 342
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 257 C 39% 195 -0.9 118
Three Pointers 40% 214 C+ 33% 116 -1.3 128
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 270 D+ +2.4 282
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 283
Second Chance C+ 29.0% 136 D+ 1.09 280 C 0.32 206
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.9% 213
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 272
Turnovers C- 15.6% 247
Freethrows C- 0.32 246 C- 73% 233 C- 0.24 250
Total Defense D+ -3.8 289

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 162 F 3.5% 364
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 245 D 2.6% 312
Three Pointers C+ 82% 139 C- 0.6% 243
Total C+ 54% 155 F 2.2% 362

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 187 16.8 81
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 119 0.18 228
Consistency 0.12 124 0.11 67
Improvement +0.7 155 -2.2 295

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 210 210 209
Results Rating Rank 216 216 216
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 34 - 74 - 13
Quad 410 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 108 @Utah L 89 - 92 OT 18% +3  66% 0 - 1 C+ +4 C- -1 D- A D- B+ +6 A+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 12 33 @Utah St. L 73 - 83 4% -4  27% 0 - 2 B- +7 C+ +3 F A+ B+ B +4 A+ D F
 Sat, Nov 15 110 @UC Irvine L 70 - 79 19% -8  5% 0 - 3 C- -2 D+ -4 F+ D C+ B- +3 C B C-
 Wed, Nov 19 181 Campbell W 91 - 85 56% +5  60% 1 - 3 C+ +2 B +7 A- C+ C+ D -6 A- F C
 Sat, Nov 22 169 Texas Arlington L 73 - 74 53% -0  43% 1 - 4 C- -4 B- +5 C+ A- C F+ -9 F B- D
 Sat, Nov 29 363 UMKC W 82 - 61 95% +10  93% 2 - 4 C -1 C +1 A+ F F C -1 D- A- C
 Wed, Dec 3 313 Oral Roberts W 92 - 66 82% +17  94% 3 - 4 B+ +14 B +6 A D B+ B+ +6 C A+ B-
 Sun, Dec 7 112 @St. Thomas L 65 - 88 20% -18  0% 3 - 5 F+ -17 F+ -9 D- C- F D- -8 D F C-
 Wed, Dec 10 363 @UMKC W 64 - 60 89% +3  83% 4 - 5 D- -12 F -19 F D+ F A- +7 A D+ B+
 Wed, Dec 17 100 @Utah Valley L 74 - 90 15% -9  1% 4 - 6 D+ -8 B+ +8 D A- A+ F -17 F F C
 Sat, Dec 20 199 Utah Tech L 80 - 82 59% -1  27% 4 - 7 D+ -7 B- +4 A+ F D+ F -12 F A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 1 158 Portland St. L 90 - 95 OT 50% -0  45% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -8 C+ +2 C- D+ A+ F+ -9 C- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 275 Sacramento St. W 95 - 82 74% +10  97% 5 - 8 1 - 1 C+ +3 B- +5 B- C+ B- C- -3 F B- A-
 Thu, Jan 8 316 @Northern Arizona W 78 - 65 65% +5  81% 6 - 8 2 - 1 B- +6 B +6 C- C+ A+ B- +2 B+ F+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 155 @Northern Colorado W 76 - 71 28% +1  51% 7 - 8 3 - 1 B +8 B- +5 B- D+ D+ B +4 A F C
 Thu, Jan 15 176 Eastern Washington W 91 - 80 55% +1  42% 8 - 8 4 - 1 B- +7 B- +5 C+ B- C- C+ +1 B F+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 159 Idaho L 67 - 75 50% -9  0% 8 - 9 4 - 2 D -11 F -15 F B+ F B +5 B D- A
 Thu, Jan 22 198 @Montana L 65 - 81 36% -2  46% 8 - 10 4 - 3 F+ -15 D+ -3 A- F D F -13 F F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 140 @Montana St. L 88 - 91 26% -2  19% 8 - 11 4 - 4 C +1 A +14 A+ D A F -13 F D- B-
 Sat, Jan 31 265 Idaho St. W 81 - 79 72% -4  11% 9 - 11 5 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +2 C- B+ D F+ -9 F A+ C-
 Mon, Feb 2 275 @Sacramento St. L 90 - 104 53% -12  4% 9 - 12 5 - 5 F+ -18 C+ +3 D+ B- B+ F -19 F B+ B+
 Thu, Feb 5 155 Northern Colorado L 74 - 88 50% -10  4% 9 - 13 5 - 6 F+ -17 C- -1 D+ F B+ F -16 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 7 316 Northern Arizona W 72 - 53 83% +7  68% 10 - 13 6 - 6 B- +6 C +2 C B- C+ A- +8 B A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 12 159 @Idaho W 83 - 72 28% +15  99% 11 - 13 7 - 6 B+ +14 A+ +17 B+ B A+ C- -2 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 176 @Eastern Washington L 66 - 84 33% -20  0% 11 - 14 7 - 7 F+ -16 F+ -10 F F B- D- -7 F A+ C+
 Thu, Feb 19 140 Montana St. W 82 - 79 OT 47% -0  43% 12 - 14 8 - 7 C +1 C+ +2 C C B+ C -1 D A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 21 198 Montana W 92 - 72 59% +14  93% 13 - 14 9 - 7 A- +15 A+ +19 A+ A D+ C- -3 C+ B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 265 @Idaho St. W 83 - 73 50% +8  86% 14 - 14 10 - 7 B- +7 B +6 B- B- C+ C+ +1 A B- F
 Mon, Mar 2 158 @Portland St. L 60 - 84 28% -14  0% 14 - 15 10 - 8 F -21 F+ -9 D- D D F -13 F A+ F
 Mon, Mar 9 176 Eastern Washington L 79 - 84 44% -3  31% 14 - 16 D+ -6 C +1 C+ F+ A- D- -7 C- F C-
Totals 14 - 16 10 - 8 -3 C+ +1 C C B D+ -4 B- C C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- D B- C 46% 37% 37% B C C+ D+ C- C B- C C+ D+ F+ C C+ D+ 42% 18% 40% D+ D+ C+ D+ C C- C- C- C-
1.10 56% 33% 36% -1 +1 1.03 31% 1.0 .30 16% .33 72% .24 1.14 66% 39% 33% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.1 .32 16% .32 73% .24
Nov
8		 Utah C- D+ F F F 60% 12% 28% A+ D- A- A A D- A+ F A B+ A- A+ A+ A+ 52% 8% 40% F A+ D F F C- F A+ F
1.04 54% 14% 25% -9 +3 0.90 36% 1.2 .43 18% .40 61% .24 1.08 50% 20% 24% -12 +3 0.84 35% 1.2 .43 15% .44 66% .29
Nov
12		 Utah St. C+ F C+ F F 37% 16% 47% B F B- A+ A+ B+ A+ B A+ B F B- A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% B A+ B+ F D F F D F
1.03 39% 38% 26% -13 0 0.78 33% 1.6 .54 18% .48 75% .36 1.17 74% 33% 13% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.5 .46 8% .45 76% .34
Nov
15		 UC Irvine D+ B- F F F 48% 23% 29% B- F+ C F D C+ A+ C A+ B- D- A- A C 48% 28% 24% D+ C C+ B+ B C- F C F
0.90 56% 15% 19% -13 0 0.77 33% 0.8 .24 17% .37 71% .26 1.02 64% 31% 27% -2 0 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 17% .59 68% .40
Nov
19		 Campbell B A+ D+ B+ A 37% 23% 40% C- A- B+ D- C+ C+ A- F B- D A- F A+ A 62% 10% 28% F A- D F F C F F F
1.23 84% 33% 38% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 16% .37 65% .24 1.15 48% 80% 14% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.4 .53 18% .51 90% .46
Nov
22		 Texas Arlington B- B+ F+ D+ C+ 40% 26% 34% C+ C+ D A+ A- C D- A+ B- F+ F+ A+ C+ F+ 58% 12% 31% F F A F B- D A+ F A
1.10 65% 31% 29% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.7 .41 17% .31 88% .27 1.11 63% 17% 31% -1 +3 1.06 27% 1.1 .30 18% .22 83% .18
Nov
29		 UMKC C B+ A+ A+ A 48% 9% 43% B+ A+ B- F F F A+ C A C F B+ A D- 36% 26% 38% C D- A A A- C C+ A+ B+
1.20 68% 50% 45% +13 +2 1.33 39% 0.6 .25 22% .37 70% .26 0.89 72% 31% 26% -1 -1 0.98 19% 0.7 .14 19% .25 50% .13
Dec
3		 Oral Roberts B A+ F C+ A 65% 11% 25% A A C- D- D B+ D- A C- B+ A+ B F C 36% 11% 53% D+ C A+ A+ A+ B- C- B+ C
1.25 73% 17% 36% +8 +3 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 12% .28 78% .22 0.89 37% 33% 39% -4 +1 0.96 16% 0.5 .08 20% .32 68% .22
Dec
7		 St. Thomas F+ F+ F C F+ 51% 17% 32% B- D- B- D- C- F A+ F B- D- F F B D 47% 6% 47% D- D B- F F C- C+ F C-
0.92 50% 25% 33% -7 +1 0.91 32% 1.0 .32 24% .38 60% .23 1.25 76% 67% 32% +9 +3 1.25 19% 2.2 .41 14% .28 76% .22
Dec
10		 UMKC F F+ D F F 50% 17% 33% C+ F D- C+ D+ F B+ F D+ A- B- D- A+ A+ 38% 13% 48% F A D C- D+ B+ F C F
0.86 50% 33% 24% -10 +1 0.85 31% 1.1 .33 24% .32 50% .16 0.81 50% 43% 16% -15 +1 0.73 30% 0.9 .28 22% .36 67% .24
Dec
17		 Utah Valley B+ D+ F C- D- 60% 16% 24% A- D A+ C- A- A+ B- D- C F F+ F F F 47% 9% 45% D+ F F F F C D+ F D-
1.13 53% 13% 33% -7 +2 0.92 42% 1.0 .42 14% .37 67% .25 1.37 68% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.30 50% 1.4 .69 20% .32 76% .25
Dec
20		 Utah Tech B- C+ F A+ A+ 51% 5% 44% A A+ F+ F F D+ A+ C+ A+ F F F D+ F 28% 28% 44% A+ F C- A+ A+ D- F A F
1.20 64% 0% 53% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.3 .08 17% .54 73% .40 1.23 86% 57% 36% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.4 .13 14% .40 65% .26
Jan
1		 Portland St. C+ C+ F F+ D+ 42% 14% 44% B C- C- D- D+ A+ A+ D- A+ F+ B A+ F C- 45% 16% 39% D+ C- D+ C- D+ F F B D-
1.07 58% 25% 28% -6 +1 0.93 27% 0.9 .25 12% .56 69% .39 1.13 52% 10% 44% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.0 .33 14% .40 66% .26
Jan
3		 Sacramento St. B- F D+ A+ B- 49% 16% 35% C+ B- C B- C+ B- A+ B A+ C- F A+ D- F 21% 37% 42% A+ F D A+ B- A- D- A+ B-
1.23 48% 38% 50% +3 +1 1.12 34% 1.2 .41 16% .52 76% .40 1.06 100% 24% 38% +6 -3 1.07 30% 0.8 .25 19% .39 63% .24
Jan
8		 Northern Arizona B F+ F A D+ 44% 7% 48% B+ C- C B C+ A+ F F F B- D+ D+ A+ A 43% 11% 47% F B+ C F F+ F+ D- B- D+
1.24 50% 25% 42% +1 +2 1.09 33% 1.2 .41 8% .12 43% .05 1.04 60% 40% 23% -7 +2 0.91 24% 1.4 .32 13% .31 65% .20
Jan
10		 Northern Colorado B- D+ A D+ C 73% 4% 22% A+ B- B F D+ D+ A+ F+ A+ B D A A+ A+ 55% 21% 23% D A F B+ F C F D- F
1.14 55% 50% 30% -3 +5 1.04 31% 0.8 .25 14% .57 70% .40 1.07 65% 30% 9% -6 +1 0.91 41% 0.9 .38 17% .36 80% .29
Jan
15		 Eastern Washington B- F A+ A+ C 56% 10% 34% A C+ B C- B- C- A+ B+ A+ C+ B- C C+ B- 45% 31% 24% B B B F F+ B- F F F
1.21 46% 60% 47% +2 +3 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 17% .48 80% .39 1.07 55% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.7 .45 20% .45 81% .37
Jan
17		 Idaho F F F F F 44% 16% 40% A F A- C B+ F A+ D+ A+ B C F A+ B+ 44% 13% 44% D- B A+ F D- A F A- F
0.88 35% 14% 22% -21 +1 0.62 33% 1.1 .36 22% .66 72% .47 0.98 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.94 19% 1.9 .36 21% .43 65% .28
Jan
22		 Montana D+ A F C- B+ 51% 15% 34% A- A- D- F F D A F C+ F F A+ F F 45% 13% 43% F+ F D F F B+ A D A
1.01 71% 29% 31% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.4 .10 17% .37 60% .22 1.25 81% 17% 50% +18 +1 1.40 25% 1.6 .40 23% .20 80% .16
Jan
24		 Montana St. A D- A A+ A 61% 4% 35% A+ A+ D D D A B B B+ F F+ F F F 35% 18% 47% F+ F F B- D- B- F F F
1.25 48% 50% 58% +7 +4 1.24 25% 1.0 .25 11% .30 79% .24 1.29 67% 56% 46% +14 0 1.31 38% 1.0 .38 17% .36 90% .32
Jan
31		 Idaho St. C+ F D- A+ C- 40% 22% 38% D+ C- A- C B+ D B- B B F+ D F F F 47% 12% 41% D- F A+ A+ A+ C- B F+ C+
1.20 45% 36% 47% +2 0 1.06 36% 1.1 .39 16% .36 80% .28 1.17 63% 67% 43% +11 +2 1.27 19% 0.4 .08 16% .27 80% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 Sacramento St. C+ C+ C+ F+ D+ 47% 12% 42% B- D+ D+ A+ B- B+ C B C+ F F B F F 42% 21% 38% D- F C+ A+ B+ B+ F C F
1.15 61% 43% 28% -2 +2 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 14% .31 76% .24 1.33 75% 30% 67% +24 0 1.50 25% 0.8 .21 18% .56 78% .44
Feb
5		 Northern Colorado C- D+ A+ F D 54% 15% 31% B D+ B- F F B+ B+ A A F F F F F 44% 15% 41% D F B- F F D- A- B+ A-
1.10 54% 75% 13% -7 +2 0.92 30% 0.5 .15 9% .39 83% .32 1.30 71% 50% 41% +12 +1 1.28 24% 2.0 .48 13% .17 70% .12
Feb
7		 Northern Arizona C D A+ B- D+ 56% 7% 37% A C B D+ B- C+ A+ D+ A+ A- C- A C+ B 27% 25% 48% B+ B C+ A+ A+ D+ F A D+
1.23 54% 67% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 1.1 .42 15% .52 69% .36 0.90 58% 27% 33% -3 -1 0.93 23% 0.5 .11 15% .34 59% .20
Feb
12		 Idaho A+ B F A+ A- 44% 34% 22% C- B+ B- A- B A+ C A+ A- C- D- A+ C+ C 42% 6% 52% F D+ A A+ A+ F C D- C-
1.29 64% 29% 55% +6 -1 1.12 28% 1.2 .34 9% .34 90% .31 1.12 64% 0% 33% 0 +2 1.06 22% 0.6 .14 8% .29 76% .22
Feb
14		 Eastern Washington F+ D- A- F F 48% 21% 31% C F F+ F F B- A+ B+ A+ D- F B+ F+ F 62% 6% 32% F F A+ D A+ C+ F+ F F
0.96 52% 50% 20% -7 +1 0.90 24% 0.3 .06 15% .44 81% .36 1.22 72% 33% 40% +11 +4 1.32 17% 1.3 .22 19% .38 81% .31
Feb
19		 Montana St. C+ B C+ F+ C+ 46% 30% 25% D C A- F C B+ B D+ B- C F C- A D 34% 26% 40% C D A+ A+ A+ C+ D- D- D-
1.13 62% 41% 29% 0 -1 1.02 37% 0.9 .33 12% .30 74% .22 1.09 83% 43% 29% +7 -1 1.13 19% 0.8 .16 16% .30 78% .23
Feb
21		 Montana A+ A B+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% B A+ A- A A D+ A A+ A+ C- D B+ B- B- 40% 18% 42% C- C+ C A B- F C F+ D+
1.36 70% 44% 50% +15 +1 1.33 38% 1.2 .46 16% .37 81% .30 1.07 65% 33% 33% +2 0 1.06 22% 0.9 .19 15% .30 82% .24
Feb
28		 Idaho St. B D+ A+ A C+ 53% 14% 33% B+ B- C+ B+ B- C+ C- B- C C+ A C+ B- A 47% 19% 33% C- A C- A- B- F B- B- B
1.22 56% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.16 30% 1.2 .37 13% .32 79% .25 1.07 44% 36% 32% -8 +1 0.88 33% 0.9 .29 9% .27 71% .19
Mar
2		 Portland St. F+ B- F F D- 36% 29% 36% D D- C- F D D F F F F F F C F 36% 27% 38% A F A- A+ A+ F A B+ A
0.87 60% 25% 25% -8 -1 0.84 28% 0.8 .23 20% .20 64% .13 1.22 90% 53% 33% +15 -1 1.30 24% 0.4 .10 10% .23 64% .15
Mar
9		 Eastern Washington C A+ C+ D- B- 38% 28% 34% F+ C+ F+ C- F+ A- A- A A+ D- F C- C D 29% 27% 44% A- C- C- F F C- F A- F
1.14 74% 43% 29% +5 -1 1.10 24% 1.1 .28 13% .40 83% .33 1.21 69% 42% 35% +5 -1 1.09 32% 1.7 .55 17% .49 68% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%