IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Davidson
Atlantic 10
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.8	#145
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.3	#255
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.5	#150

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.3	#152

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	2.7%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.4	11.2	11.8

.500 or above	44.3%	56.7%	28.6%
.500 or above in Conference	26.7%	32.8%	18.9%
Conference Champion	1.0%	1.5%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	15.0%	11.1%	20.0%

First Four	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
First Round	1.9%	2.5%	1.1%
Second Round	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 55.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 3	5 - 5	7 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 1	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	128	Washington St.	W	75-73	56%
Nov 11, 2025	192	@ Charlotte	L	67-68	50%
Nov 15, 2025	212	Bowling Green	W	74-67	73%
Nov 21, 2025	96	Boston College	L	67-72	34%
Nov 28, 2025	349	N.C. A&T	W	79-63	92%
Dec 04, 2025	342	The Citadel	W	74-59	91%
Dec 07, 2025	49	St. Mary's	L	59-66	26%
Dec 13, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	76-55	96%
Dec 18, 2025	133	Temple	W	74-72	57%
Dec 22, 2025	14	@ Kansas	L	60-80	5%
Dec 30, 2025	116	Duquesne	W	67-66	52%
Jan 03, 2026	110	@ Saint Joseph's	L	66-72	30%
Jan 07, 2026	94	@ Loyola Chicago	L	64-72	26%
Jan 10, 2026	143	Rhode Island	W	74-71	59%
Jan 14, 2026	85	@ George Washington	L	66-75	24%
Jan 21, 2026	163	Fordham	W	75-71	64%
Jan 24, 2026	60	Virginia Commonwealth	L	64-70	32%
Jan 28, 2026	101	@ George Mason	L	62-69	27%
Jan 31, 2026	131	@ Richmond	L	64-68	37%
Feb 03, 2026	70	Saint Louis	L	68-72	36%
Feb 06, 2026	94	Loyola Chicago	L	67-69	44%
Feb 15, 2026	65	@ Dayton	L	62-73	17%
Feb 18, 2026	131	Richmond	W	67-65	55%
Feb 21, 2026	163	@ Fordham	L	72-74	45%
Mar 01, 2026	187	La Salle	W	74-68	68%
Mar 04, 2026	110	Saint Joseph's	L	68-69	49%
Projected Record						12 - 14	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0				1.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.0					2.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.3	1.5	0.4	0.1						3.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	1.7	2.1	0.6	0.1							4.8	4th
5th									0.1	1.6	2.8	1.0	0.1								5.6	5th
6th								0.0	1.3	3.4	1.7	0.2									6.6	6th
7th							0.0	0.8	3.9	2.9	0.4										7.9	7th
8th							0.3	3.1	4.1	0.9	0.0										8.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	2.3	5.1	1.9	0.1											9.7	9th
10th					0.1	1.7	4.8	2.8	0.3												9.7	10th
11th				0.1	1.3	4.5	3.9	0.7	0.0												10.5	11th
12th		0.0	0.2	1.2	3.9	4.3	1.0	0.1													10.7	12th
13th	0.0	0.2	1.5	3.4	3.9	1.2	0.1														10.3	13th
14th	0.6	2.1	3.0	2.4	0.8	0.1															9.0	14th

Total	0.6	2.3	4.6	7.1	10.1	12.0	12.5	12.5	11.5	9.2	6.9	4.9	3.0	1.6	0.8	0.2	0.0					Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	78.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	50.7%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	20.8%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%													0.0
15-3	0.2%		40.4%	28.0%	12.4%	9.5							0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		17.3%
14-4	0.8%		33.6%	23.7%	9.9%	10.6								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0					0.5		13.0%
13-5	1.6%		19.9%	17.2%	2.7%	10.9										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0					1.3		3.3%
12-6	3.0%		15.0%	14.1%	0.9%	11.2									0.0		0.0	0.3	0.1	0.0				2.5		1.1%
11-7	4.9%		6.6%	6.5%	0.1%	11.6												0.1	0.2	0.0				4.6		0.2%
10-8	6.9%		3.2%	3.2%		11.9												0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			6.7
9-9	9.2%		1.7%	1.7%		12.1												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			9.1
8-10	11.5%		0.7%	0.7%		12.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			11.4
7-11	12.5%		0.6%	0.6%		13.0													0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	12.5
6-12	12.5%		0.2%	0.2%		14.0														0.0			0.0	12.4
5-13	12.0%																							12.0
4-14	10.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
3-15	7.1%																							7.1
2-16	4.6%																							4.6
1-17	2.3%																							2.3
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		2.0%	1.8%	0.2%	11.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	98.0		0.2%