IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.1	#158
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.3	#224
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#195

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.7	#139

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.8%	3.3%	1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.1	11.9	13.0

.500 or above	45.2%	51.6%	25.4%
.500 or above in Conference	40.1%	44.2%	27.6%
Conference Champion	3.1%	3.7%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	13.2%	11.2%	19.1%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	2.7%	3.2%	1.3%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 3	5 - 6	6 - 14
Quad 4	9 - 2	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	243	Georgia Southern	W	76-69	75%
Nov 08, 2025	131	@ Richmond	L	63-68	32%
Nov 18, 2025	120	@ UNC Wilmington	L	65-71	30%
Nov 21, 2025	313	Charleston Southern	W	74-63	85%
Nov 25, 2025	21	Michigan St.	L	60-76	8%
Nov 27, 2025	124	St. Bonaventure	L	64-66	42%
Dec 02, 2025	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	76-57	95%
Dec 06, 2025	232	UNC Greensboro	W	68-61	72%
Dec 11, 2025	204	Appalachian St.	W	64-59	67%
Dec 14, 2025	337	Buffalo	W	79-65	88%
Dec 17, 2025	263	Presbyterian	W	70-62	76%
Dec 22, 2025	23	@ North Carolina	L	65-83	6%
Dec 31, 2025	115	Tulane	L	69-70	49%
Jan 07, 2026	133	@ Temple	L	70-75	34%
Jan 11, 2026	103	UAB	L	72-74	43%
Jan 14, 2026	95	@ South Florida	L	66-75	23%
Jan 18, 2026	192	Charlotte	W	70-65	66%
Jan 21, 2026	122	@ Wichita St.	L	68-74	32%
Jan 24, 2026	88	@ North Texas	L	56-65	23%
Jan 28, 2026	172	Rice	W	70-66	63%
Feb 01, 2026	140	@ Florida Atlantic	L	70-74	36%
Feb 07, 2026	133	Temple	W	73-72	54%
Feb 11, 2026	168	Texas San Antonio	W	75-71	61%
Feb 14, 2026	172	@ Rice	L	67-69	43%
Feb 18, 2026	122	Wichita St.	W	71-70	51%
Feb 21, 2026	192	@ Charlotte	L	67-68	46%
Feb 25, 2026	168	@ Texas San Antonio	L	72-74	42%
Mar 01, 2026	51	Memphis	L	68-76	25%
Mar 04, 2026	150	Tulsa	W	69-67	58%
Mar 08, 2026	103	@ UAB	L	69-77	26%
Projected Record						14 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0		3.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	1.2	1.9	1.3	0.4	0.1				5.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	2.0	2.5	1.0	0.2	0.0					6.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.3	3.1	1.2	0.2	0.0						7.2	4th
5th									0.2	2.3	4.1	1.8	0.2								8.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.7	4.2	1.8	0.1									8.0	6th
7th							0.0	1.1	4.2	2.6	0.4										8.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.7	3.6	3.9	0.7											8.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	3.3	4.3	1.2	0.0											9.3	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	2.3	4.4	1.9	0.1												9.0	10th
11th			0.0	0.4	2.0	4.0	2.1	0.2	0.0												8.8	11th
12th		0.1	0.6	2.1	3.2	2.4	0.5	0.0													8.9	12th
13th	0.3	1.3	2.3	2.7	1.4	0.4															8.3	13th

Total	0.3	1.3	3.0	5.2	7.0	9.5	11.1	11.3	11.3	10.3	9.1	7.4	5.2	3.6	2.4	1.4	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.1	0.0
16-2	87.4%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	68.6%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
14-4	38.1%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.4%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.7	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		71.4%		71.4%	9.6										0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		71.4%
17-1	0.2%		37.3%	29.0%	8.3%	9.6						0.0	0.0			0.0		0.0						0.1		11.7%
16-2	0.5%		36.7%	28.2%	8.5%	10.2							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.3		11.9%
15-3	1.4%		24.2%	22.7%	1.5%	11.1										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.0		2.0%
14-4	2.4%		14.6%	14.0%	0.6%	11.4											0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				2.1		0.7%
13-5	3.6%		14.6%	14.4%	0.2%	12.0											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			3.1		0.2%
12-6	5.2%		6.5%	6.5%		12.1												0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		4.9
11-7	7.4%		5.0%	5.0%		12.7												0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		7.0
10-8	9.1%		2.5%	2.5%		12.7												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		8.9
9-9	10.3%		1.9%	1.9%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	10.1
8-10	11.3%		0.6%	0.6%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.2
7-11	11.3%		0.4%	0.4%		17.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.2
6-12	11.1%		0.3%	0.3%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.1
5-13	9.5%		0.1%	0.1%		24.0																	0.0	9.4
4-14	7.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.0
3-15	5.2%																							5.2
2-16	3.0%																							3.0
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		2.8%	2.6%	0.1%	12.1						0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	97.2		0.1%