Preseason Rankings
Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#304
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.3#44
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#206
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#354
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 17.3% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.4 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 46.3% 78.9% 45.3%
.500 or above in Conference 58.7% 78.2% 58.1%
Conference Champion 10.5% 21.4% 10.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 1.3% 8.7%
First Four5.0% 6.9% 5.0%
First Round7.8% 16.1% 7.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 3.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 413 - 914 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2025 65   @ Dayton L 65-85 3%    
  Nov 11, 2025 358   @ Morgan St. W 83-80 62%    
  Nov 16, 2025 335   Wagner W 68-62 69%    
  Nov 19, 2025 85   @ George Washington L 69-87 6%    
  Nov 29, 2025 341   Delaware St. W 83-77 71%    
  Dec 03, 2025 68   @ Georgetown L 68-88 4%    
  Dec 06, 2025 286   @ Bucknell L 74-78 36%    
  Dec 09, 2025 337   Buffalo W 84-78 69%    
  Dec 12, 2025 353   Army W 81-73 75%    
  Dec 21, 2025 95   @ South Florida L 70-87 7%    
  Dec 29, 2025 361   @ Coppin St. W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 08, 2026 285   Maine W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 10, 2026 356   New Hampshire W 81-72 76%    
  Jan 15, 2026 248   @ Bryant L 80-87 30%    
  Jan 19, 2026 334   @ Binghamton L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 22, 2026 357   NJIT W 78-69 77%    
  Jan 24, 2026 301   Umass Lowell W 82-79 59%    
  Jan 29, 2026 207   @ Vermont L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 31, 2026 296   @ Albany L 76-80 38%    
  Feb 05, 2026 334   Binghamton W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 12, 2026 285   @ Maine L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 14, 2026 356   @ New Hampshire W 78-75 58%    
  Feb 19, 2026 207   Vermont L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 21, 2026 296   Albany W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 26, 2026 248   Bryant L 83-84 48%    
  Feb 28, 2026 301   @ Umass Lowell L 79-82 39%    
  Mar 03, 2026 357   @ NJIT W 75-72 60%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 2.6 3.1 2.4 0.9 0.2 10.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.8 3.3 1.1 0.1 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.9 2.2 0.2 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.8 5.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.4 4.8 1.5 0.1 12.0 6th
7th 0.3 1.5 3.8 4.0 1.0 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.1 2.3 0.7 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.2 9th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.5 5.5 7.6 10.1 11.6 12.9 12.4 10.4 8.9 6.3 4.2 2.5 0.9 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
14-2 94.2% 2.4    1.9 0.5
13-3 73.5% 3.1    2.0 1.0 0.1
12-4 41.2% 2.6    1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0
11-5 12.6% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 6.3 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 61.0% 61.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.9% 50.1% 50.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5
14-2 2.5% 36.9% 36.9% 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.6
13-3 4.2% 31.7% 31.7% 17.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 2.9
12-4 6.3% 22.4% 22.4% 18.4 0.1 0.4 1.2 4.9
11-5 8.9% 17.1% 17.1% 18.5 0.0 0.3 1.4 7.3
10-6 10.4% 11.2% 11.2% 18.0 0.2 1.1 9.3
9-7 12.4% 7.9% 7.9% 17.7 0.1 1.0 11.4
8-8 12.9% 5.0% 5.0% 17.5 0.0 0.7 12.3
7-9 11.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.3 0.4 11.2
6-10 10.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 9.9
5-11 7.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.5
4-12 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-13 3.5% 3.5
2-14 1.8% 1.8
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 17.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 7.2 90.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%