Preseason Rankings
Navy
Patriot League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#230
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#205
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#234
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#226
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.3% 25.8% 17.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.1 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 73.3% 84.7% 63.9%
.500 or above in Conference 82.5% 88.0% 78.0%
Conference Champion 29.2% 36.8% 22.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.1% 3.2%
First Four5.9% 5.0% 6.6%
First Round20.2% 25.5% 15.9%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 32 - 6
Quad 417 - 718 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 263   @ Presbyterian L 67-68 45%    
  Nov 07, 2025 97   Yale L 68-74 29%    
  Nov 11, 2025 90   @ Penn St. L 66-79 13%    
  Nov 18, 2025 23   @ North Carolina L 64-86 3%    
  Nov 22, 2025 357   NJIT W 74-61 88%    
  Nov 26, 2025 307   Gardner-Webb W 74-70 65%    
  Nov 28, 2025 120   @ UNC Wilmington L 65-74 21%    
  Nov 29, 2025 250   SE Louisiana W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 03, 2025 341   @ Delaware St. W 76-71 66%    
  Dec 07, 2025 277   Air Force W 69-63 69%    
  Dec 19, 2025 361   Coppin St. W 76-61 90%    
  Dec 31, 2025 280   Boston University W 68-62 69%    
  Jan 03, 2026 346   @ Holy Cross W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 07, 2026 286   Bucknell W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 10, 2026 308   Lafayette W 71-64 74%    
  Jan 12, 2026 303   @ American W 66-65 54%    
  Jan 17, 2026 302   @ Lehigh W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 21, 2026 346   Holy Cross W 75-64 83%    
  Jan 24, 2026 353   Army W 76-64 84%    
  Jan 28, 2026 280   @ Boston University L 65-66 50%    
  Jan 31, 2026 316   Loyola Maryland W 73-65 75%    
  Feb 04, 2026 308   @ Lafayette W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 07, 2026 303   American W 69-62 73%    
  Feb 09, 2026 286   @ Bucknell W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 14, 2026 227   @ Colgate L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 18, 2026 302   Lehigh W 73-66 72%    
  Feb 21, 2026 353   @ Army W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 25, 2026 316   @ Loyola Maryland W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 28, 2026 227   Colgate W 72-69 60%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.6 6.9 7.3 5.8 3.3 1.1 29.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.8 5.1 6.3 3.8 1.4 0.1 18.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 5.0 4.5 1.7 0.2 14.0 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 4.6 3.6 1.0 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.1 4.5 6.2 8.0 10.2 11.0 11.7 11.6 11.0 8.7 5.9 3.3 1.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
17-1 100.0% 3.3    3.3 0.1
16-2 98.2% 5.8    5.1 0.7
15-3 83.6% 7.3    5.7 1.5 0.1
14-4 62.9% 6.9    4.0 2.5 0.4 0.0
13-5 30.8% 3.6    1.4 1.5 0.6 0.1
12-6 9.0% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 29.2% 29.2 20.8 6.7 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.1% 66.9% 66.9% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-1 3.3% 57.4% 57.4% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.4
16-2 5.9% 51.8% 51.8% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 2.8
15-3 8.7% 39.1% 39.1% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.7 5.3
14-4 11.0% 32.8% 32.8% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.4 7.4
13-5 11.6% 24.8% 24.8% 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 8.7
12-6 11.7% 18.6% 18.6% 17.9 0.1 0.6 1.8 9.5
11-7 11.0% 13.1% 13.1% 18.4 0.0 0.2 1.5 9.6
10-8 10.2% 9.1% 9.1% 18.0 0.1 1.0 9.3
9-9 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 17.5 0.0 0.7 7.3
8-10 6.2% 5.0% 5.0% 16.4 0.0 0.3 5.9
7-11 4.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 4.4
6-12 3.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 3.1
5-13 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
4-14 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.3% 21.3% 0.0% 16.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.0 6.3 9.8 78.7 0.0%