IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.5	#295
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.2	#345
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.2	#353

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.3	#172

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.4%	8.9%	4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.9	14.7	15.2

.500 or above	32.1%	60.9%	29.8%
.500 or above in Conference	44.0%	63.2%	42.5%
Conference Champion	5.2%	11.5%	4.7%
Last Place in Conference	9.3%	3.6%	9.8%

First Four	1.4%	2.2%	1.4%
First Round	4.1%	7.8%	3.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 7.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 8	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	102	@ Seton Hall	L	52-67	7%
Nov 08, 2025	350	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	69-61	77%
Nov 12, 2025	60	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	51-71	3%
Nov 18, 2025	236	@ Delaware	L	65-71	29%
Nov 22, 2025	301	Umass Lowell	W	68-65	62%
Nov 29, 2025	229	Dartmouth	L	65-66	48%
Dec 05, 2025	352	Canisius	W	67-59	76%
Dec 07, 2025	333	Niagara	W	64-58	69%
Dec 13, 2025	68	@ Georgetown	L	55-74	5%
Dec 29, 2025	320	@ Fairfield	L	62-63	46%
Jan 02, 2026	237	Marist	L	57-58	49%
Jan 09, 2026	270	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	60-65	36%
Jan 11, 2026	258	Merrimack	W	59-58	53%
Jan 14, 2026	221	@ Quinnipiac	L	64-71	28%
Jan 17, 2026	309	Rider	W	63-59	63%
Jan 19, 2026	208	Iona	L	63-65	44%
Jan 24, 2026	258	@ Merrimack	L	56-61	33%
Jan 30, 2026	270	Mount St. Mary's	W	63-62	55%
Feb 01, 2026	309	@ Rider	L	60-62	43%
Feb 05, 2026	252	@ Manhattan	L	63-69	32%
Feb 07, 2026	213	Siena	L	63-64	45%
Feb 13, 2026	251	@ Sacred Heart	L	65-71	32%
Feb 15, 2026	320	Fairfield	W	65-60	64%
Feb 20, 2026	208	@ Iona	L	60-68	26%
Feb 22, 2026	213	@ Siena	L	60-67	27%
Feb 27, 2026	252	Manhattan	W	67-66	51%
Mar 01, 2026	237	@ Marist	L	54-60	31%
Projected Record						11 - 16	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.2	0.7	1.3	1.3	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0		5.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.5	2.0	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0				5.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.7	2.4	1.6	0.5	0.0						6.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	1.7	3.1	1.7	0.3	0.0							7.2	4th
5th										0.2	1.5	3.7	2.1	0.4	0.0								7.8	5th
6th									0.1	1.2	3.7	2.4	0.4	0.0									7.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	1.0	3.7	3.2	0.8	0.0										8.9	7th
8th							0.1	0.8	3.4	3.6	1.1	0.0											9.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.7	3.0	4.3	1.5	0.1												9.6	9th
10th					0.1	0.8	2.7	3.8	1.7	0.2													9.3	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	0.9	2.7	3.4	1.6	0.1	0.0													8.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.4	1.4	2.6	2.7	1.1	0.1	0.0														8.4	12th
13th	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.7	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0															5.6	13th

Total	0.2	0.6	1.6	3.3	4.9	6.8	8.0	9.4	10.6	10.5	9.8	8.9	7.6	6.2	4.6	3.2	1.9	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
18-2	97.1%	0.5		0.5	0.0
17-3	91.7%	1.0		0.8	0.2	0.0
16-4	70.2%	1.3		0.8	0.5	0.0
15-5	40.6%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0
14-6	15.7%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.2%	5.2		3.0	1.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		51.7%	51.7%		7.0								0.0										0.0
19-1	0.2%		43.5%	43.5%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
18-2	0.5%		29.3%	29.3%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.3
17-3	1.1%		24.7%	24.7%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.8
16-4	1.9%		24.2%	24.2%		14.4														0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.4
15-5	3.2%		19.9%	19.9%		16.1														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	2.6
14-6	4.6%		15.9%	15.9%		16.8														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	3.9
13-7	6.2%		9.9%	9.9%		17.4															0.1	0.3	0.4	5.6
12-8	7.6%		7.3%	7.3%		18.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	7.1
11-9	8.9%		4.0%	4.0%		21.5																0.1	0.4	8.5
10-10	9.8%		2.2%	2.2%		18.5																0.0	0.2	9.6
9-11	10.5%		1.7%	1.7%		16.6																	0.2	10.3
8-12	10.6%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	10.5
7-13	9.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
6-14	8.0%																							8.0
5-15	6.8%																							6.8
4-16	4.9%																							4.9
3-17	3.3%																							3.3
2-18	1.6%																							1.6
1-19	0.6%																							0.6
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.4%	4.4%	0.0%	16.9								0.0					0.0	0.2	0.9	1.3	2.4	95.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%