IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.6	#56
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.5	#220
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.7	#80

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.9	#42

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	2.5%	2.5%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	6.8%	6.9%	1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	27.5%	27.9%	8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	26.9%	27.3%	8.7%
Average Seed	8.0	8.0	9.0

.500 or above	64.8%	65.6%	28.4%
.500 or above in Conference	35.9%	36.3%	17.4%
Conference Champion	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	10.3%	10.0%	24.7%

First Four	4.9%	5.0%	3.2%
First Round	24.9%	25.3%	7.1%
Second Round	14.0%	14.3%	2.2%
Sweet Sixteen	4.5%	4.6%	1.0%
Elite Eight	1.6%	1.6%	0.6%
Final Four	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 97.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	317	New Orleans	W	83-62	98%
Nov 06, 2025	345	St. Francis (PA)	W	80-56	99%
Nov 10, 2025	211	Lamar	W	73-57	92%
Nov 14, 2025	6	Michigan	L	68-75	26%
Nov 19, 2025	300	UMKC	W	74-54	97%
Nov 27, 2025	5	Florida	L	67-79	14%
Dec 05, 2025	63	Notre Dame	W	68-65	61%
Dec 07, 2025	88	@ North Texas	W	60-59	52%
Dec 15, 2025	214	Incarnate Word	W	75-59	91%
Dec 18, 2025	318	Oral Roberts	W	81-59	97%
Dec 21, 2025	338	Florida A&M	W	80-56	98%
Dec 29, 2025	238	Jackson St.	W	78-61	92%
Jan 03, 2026	24	Baylor	L	66-69	41%
Jan 06, 2026	14	@ Kansas	L	64-75	18%
Jan 10, 2026	11	Arizona	L	71-76	32%
Jan 14, 2026	9	@ BYU	L	66-78	16%
Jan 17, 2026	89	@ Utah	W	71-70	53%
Jan 20, 2026	73	Oklahoma St.	W	76-71	66%
Jan 24, 2026	24	@ Baylor	L	63-72	23%
Jan 28, 2026	1	Houston	L	56-68	17%
Feb 01, 2026	84	@ Colorado	W	69-68	50%
Feb 07, 2026	57	Kansas St.	W	69-66	60%
Feb 10, 2026	20	Iowa St.	L	67-71	38%
Feb 14, 2026	73	@ Oklahoma St.	L	73-74	45%
Feb 17, 2026	74	@ Central Florida	L	73-74	46%
Feb 21, 2026	58	West Virginia	W	66-63	60%
Feb 24, 2026	69	Arizona St.	W	72-68	64%
Feb 28, 2026	57	@ Kansas St.	L	66-69	40%
Mar 03, 2026	12	@ Texas Tech	L	63-74	17%
Mar 07, 2026	45	Cincinnati	W	66-65	52%
Projected Record						17 - 13	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1			1.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.0				2.1	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.0	1.2	0.4	0.1					2.9	3rd
4th											0.2	1.2	2.0	0.8	0.1						4.3	4th
5th										0.1	1.4	2.5	1.2	0.1							5.3	5th
6th									0.0	0.8	3.1	1.9	0.2								6.1	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	3.2	3.1	0.5	0.0								7.3	7th
8th								0.2	2.5	3.9	1.1	0.0									7.7	8th
9th							0.1	1.6	4.6	1.9	0.1										8.2	9th
10th						0.0	0.9	4.1	3.2	0.3	0.0										8.5	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	3.4	4.1	1.0	0.0											8.9	11th
12th					0.1	2.5	4.2	1.6	0.1												8.5	12th
13th				0.1	1.4	4.2	2.5	0.2	0.0												8.3	13th
14th			0.1	1.2	3.6	2.7	0.4	0.0													7.9	14th
15th		0.1	1.1	2.9	2.3	0.6	0.0														7.2	15th
16th	0.4	1.3	2.0	1.6	0.4	0.0															5.7	16th

Total	0.4	1.5	3.2	5.8	7.8	10.4	11.5	11.7	11.9	10.2	9.1	6.4	4.6	2.8	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.1				Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	89.4%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	37.6%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.0
14-4	13.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	3.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.2%	0.0					0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	24.8%	75.2%	1.7		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.3%		100.0%	15.9%	84.1%	2.9		0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-3	0.8%		100.0%	14.6%	85.4%	3.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
14-4	1.5%		99.1%	10.6%	88.5%	4.8		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.0%
13-5	2.8%		98.5%	5.5%	93.1%	5.9			0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0							0.0		98.4%
12-6	4.6%		93.1%	2.8%	90.3%	7.2			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1						0.3		92.9%
11-7	6.4%		83.6%	1.2%	82.4%	8.1				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.1	1.3	0.9	0.2						1.0		83.4%
10-8	9.1%		62.8%	0.5%	62.3%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.1	1.4	2.0	0.6	0.0					3.4		62.6%
9-9	10.2%		41.1%	0.3%	40.8%	9.6						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.7	0.9	0.0					6.0		40.9%
8-10	11.9%		16.6%	0.1%	16.6%	10.2								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	0.7	0.1					9.9		16.6%
7-11	11.7%		3.4%	0.1%	3.3%	10.5									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					11.3		3.3%
6-12	11.5%		0.8%		0.8%	10.6											0.0	0.1						11.4		0.8%
5-13	10.4%		0.1%		0.1%	11.0												0.0						10.4		0.1%
4-14	7.8%																							7.8
3-15	5.8%																							5.8
2-16	3.2%																							3.2
1-17	1.5%																							1.5
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		27.5%	0.8%	26.7%	8.0		0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	1.9	2.4	3.4	4.0	4.6	5.8	2.8	0.1					72.5		26.9%