IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.3	#76
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.9	#293
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.2	#69

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.1	#92

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.8%	0.8%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	2.5%	2.6%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.8%	15.2%	4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	14.0%	14.4%	3.9%
Average Seed	8.6	8.6	9.6

.500 or above	59.9%	61.3%	25.0%
.500 or above in Conference	32.9%	33.7%	13.2%
Conference Champion	0.8%	0.9%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	10.5%	10.0%	23.1%

First Four	3.8%	3.9%	2.0%
First Round	12.8%	13.2%	3.3%
Second Round	6.5%	6.7%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	1.7%	1.7%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 96.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 2	3 - 4	5 - 12
Quad 3	5 - 2	10 - 14
Quad 4	6 - 0	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	313	Charleston Southern	W	78-59	96%
Nov 08, 2025	61	Providence	L	68-70	42%
Nov 12, 2025	110	Saint Joseph's	W	72-66	72%
Nov 16, 2025	192	Charlotte	W	73-61	87%
Nov 19, 2025	248	Bryant	W	82-67	90%
Nov 26, 2025	98	Colorado St.	W	69-67	58%
Dec 02, 2025	71	@ South Carolina	L	65-69	37%
Dec 06, 2025	101	George Mason	W	67-62	68%
Dec 11, 2025	262	Western Carolina	W	79-63	92%
Dec 14, 2025	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	80-54	99%
Dec 20, 2025	224	Elon	W	74-60	88%
Dec 31, 2025	44	Virginia	L	62-64	43%
Jan 03, 2026	67	@ Wake Forest	L	66-70	35%
Jan 07, 2026	99	Stanford	W	70-65	67%
Jan 10, 2026	91	California	W	73-68	65%
Jan 14, 2026	46	@ SMU	L	68-76	26%
Jan 17, 2026	63	Notre Dame	W	67-66	54%
Jan 21, 2026	64	@ Syracuse	L	69-74	34%
Jan 24, 2026	10	@ Louisville	L	65-79	12%
Jan 27, 2026	79	Georgia Tech	W	72-69	61%
Jan 31, 2026	3	Duke	L	63-75	16%
Feb 07, 2026	31	@ North Carolina St.	L	63-73	21%
Feb 11, 2026	42	@ Clemson	L	62-70	25%
Feb 14, 2026	75	Florida St.	W	73-70	60%
Feb 17, 2026	55	@ Miami (FL)	L	68-74	32%
Feb 21, 2026	67	Wake Forest	W	69-67	56%
Feb 28, 2026	23	@ North Carolina	L	68-79	19%
Mar 03, 2026	96	Boston College	W	72-67	66%
Mar 07, 2026	44	@ Virginia	L	59-67	26%
Projected Record						15 - 14	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.1				1.5	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.8	1.0	0.4	0.0					2.3	3rd
4th											0.1	0.9	1.6	0.6	0.1						3.3	4th
5th										0.0	0.8	2.0	1.2	0.2							4.2	5th
6th										0.3	2.0	1.8	0.3								4.4	6th
7th									0.1	1.5	2.9	0.8	0.0								5.4	7th
8th									0.6	3.2	1.8	0.1									5.7	8th
9th								0.1	2.1	3.3	0.5										6.1	9th
10th							0.0	1.1	3.8	1.8	0.0										6.8	10th
11th							0.3	3.4	3.4	0.3	0.0										7.4	11th
12th						0.1	1.8	4.4	1.2	0.0											7.5	12th
13th					0.0	0.8	3.9	2.7	0.2												7.7	13th
14th				0.0	0.3	3.0	4.2	0.7	0.0												8.2	14th
15th			0.0	0.2	2.1	4.1	1.7	0.1													8.3	15th
16th			0.1	1.5	3.3	2.5	0.4														7.8	16th
17th	0.0	0.2	1.1	2.8	2.4	0.5	0.0														7.1	17th
18th	0.4	1.2	2.0	1.6	0.4	0.0															5.6	18th

Total	0.4	1.4	3.2	6.1	8.5	11.0	12.5	12.6	11.4	10.5	8.1	5.9	3.9	2.3	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	68.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-3	48.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	17.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	32.6%	67.4%	2.0		0.0			0.0															100.0%
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	22.8%	77.2%	2.8			0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	0.2%		100.0%	21.7%	78.3%	3.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-3	0.5%		98.7%	22.0%	76.7%	4.8		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0		98.3%
14-4	1.3%		98.3%	11.9%	86.5%	6.2			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0							0.0		98.1%
13-5	2.3%		89.1%	7.3%	81.8%	7.5				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1						0.3		88.2%
12-6	3.9%		76.1%	2.9%	73.2%	8.6					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.8	0.2						0.9		75.4%
11-7	5.9%		53.9%	1.9%	52.0%	9.3						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.8	1.0	0.6						2.7		53.0%
10-8	8.1%		31.0%	0.9%	30.1%	9.8								0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	0.7	0.0					5.6		30.4%
9-9	10.5%		14.4%	0.6%	13.8%	10.2						0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0					9.0		13.9%
8-10	11.4%		3.1%	0.2%	2.9%	10.5										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					11.0		2.9%
7-11	12.6%		0.8%	0.1%	0.7%	10.9											0.0	0.1	0.0					12.5		0.7%
6-12	12.5%		0.1%	0.1%		11.0												0.0						12.5
5-13	11.0%																							11.0
4-14	8.5%																							8.5
3-15	6.1%																							6.1
2-16	3.2%																							3.2
1-17	1.4%																							1.4
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		14.8%	0.9%	13.9%	8.6		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.4	2.0	2.5	3.9	2.4	0.1					85.2		14.0%