IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
West Virginia
Big 12
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.5	#58
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.2	#332
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.8	#76

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.7	#45

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	2.4%	2.4%	0.4%
Top 6 Seed	6.3%	6.4%	1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid	27.0%	27.7%	9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	26.4%	27.1%	9.5%
Average Seed	8.0	8.0	8.6

.500 or above	70.1%	71.4%	38.5%
.500 or above in Conference	37.3%	38.1%	19.5%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	9.1%	8.7%	17.7%

First Four	4.7%	4.9%	2.2%
First Round	24.4%	25.1%	7.8%
Second Round	13.8%	14.3%	3.7%
Sweet Sixteen	4.3%	4.5%	1.1%
Elite Eight	1.6%	1.6%	0.3%
Final Four	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 95.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 0	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	270	Mount St. Mary's	W	75-57	96%
Nov 06, 2025	200	Campbell	W	72-57	92%
Nov 09, 2025	302	Lehigh	W	76-55	97%
Nov 13, 2025	80	Pittsburgh	W	69-63	70%
Nov 17, 2025	308	Lafayette	W	74-53	97%
Nov 21, 2025	42	Clemson	L	62-65	40%
Nov 30, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	78-48	99.5%
Dec 03, 2025	361	Coppin St.	W	79-51	99%
Dec 06, 2025	67	Wake Forest	W	67-66	53%
Dec 09, 2025	162	Arkansas Little Rock	W	72-59	87%
Dec 13, 2025	27	Ohio St.	L	66-71	33%
Dec 22, 2025	365	Mississippi Valley	W	81-44	99.9%
Jan 02, 2026	20	@ Iowa St.	L	62-72	19%
Jan 06, 2026	45	Cincinnati	W	64-63	52%
Jan 10, 2026	14	Kansas	L	65-70	34%
Jan 13, 2026	1	@ Houston	L	51-69	7%
Jan 17, 2026	84	Colorado	W	69-63	70%
Jan 21, 2026	69	@ Arizona St.	L	67-69	44%
Jan 24, 2026	11	@ Arizona	L	66-77	17%
Jan 27, 2026	57	Kansas St.	W	67-64	60%
Jan 31, 2026	24	Baylor	L	64-67	42%
Feb 05, 2026	45	@ Cincinnati	L	61-66	33%
Feb 08, 2026	12	Texas Tech	L	64-69	33%
Feb 14, 2026	74	@ Central Florida	L	71-72	47%
Feb 18, 2026	89	Utah	W	72-65	71%
Feb 21, 2026	56	@ TCU	L	63-66	40%
Feb 24, 2026	73	@ Oklahoma St.	L	71-72	46%
Feb 28, 2026	9	BYU	L	67-73	31%
Mar 03, 2026	57	@ Kansas St.	L	64-67	41%
Mar 06, 2026	74	Central Florida	W	74-69	65%
Projected Record						17 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			1.9	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.0	1.4	0.6	0.1					3.2	3rd
4th											0.1	1.3	1.9	0.8	0.1	0.0					4.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	1.4	2.8	1.4	0.2	0.0						5.8	5th
6th									0.0	1.0	3.3	2.1	0.2								6.7	6th
7th									0.6	3.1	2.9	0.6	0.0								7.2	7th
8th								0.2	2.7	4.2	1.0	0.0									8.1	8th
9th							0.1	1.7	4.3	2.0	0.2										8.3	9th
10th						0.0	0.8	4.1	3.1	0.4											8.5	10th
11th						0.3	3.3	4.2	1.0	0.0											8.8	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	2.4	4.4	1.6	0.1												8.8	12th
13th				0.1	1.5	4.3	2.5	0.2													8.5	13th
14th		0.0	0.1	1.2	3.3	2.4	0.4														7.4	14th
15th		0.1	1.0	2.6	2.2	0.5	0.0														6.5	15th
16th	0.4	1.1	1.8	1.3	0.4	0.0															5.1	16th

Total	0.4	1.2	3.0	5.3	7.6	9.9	11.5	12.0	11.8	11.0	8.9	6.9	4.8	3.0	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	91.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	71.5%	0.2		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-3	43.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	15.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	1.9%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	26.9%	73.1%	2.0		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.3%		100.0%	6.5%	93.5%	2.8		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-3	0.7%		100.0%	9.8%	90.2%	3.8		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
14-4	1.6%		99.5%	7.2%	92.3%	5.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.5%
13-5	3.0%		97.9%	5.8%	92.0%	6.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0						0.1		97.7%
12-6	4.8%		92.6%	3.7%	88.9%	7.3			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1						0.4		92.3%
11-7	6.9%		80.0%	1.2%	78.8%	8.4				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.4	1.4	1.0	0.3						1.4		79.8%
10-8	8.9%		60.1%	1.3%	58.8%	9.1					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.0	1.4	1.8	0.6						3.6		59.5%
9-9	11.0%		35.2%	0.2%	35.0%	9.7						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.6	0.9	0.0					7.1		35.1%
8-10	11.8%		14.4%	0.2%	14.2%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0					10.1		14.2%
7-11	12.0%		3.3%		3.3%	10.5									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					11.6		3.3%
6-12	11.5%		0.5%		0.5%	11.0											0.0	0.0	0.0					11.5		0.5%
5-13	9.9%																							9.9
4-14	7.6%																							7.6
3-15	5.3%																							5.3
2-16	3.0%																							3.0
1-17	1.2%																							1.2
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		27.0%	0.8%	26.1%	8.0		0.2	0.3	0.6	1.3	1.5	2.3	3.1	4.4	4.9	5.6	2.8	0.1					73.0		26.4%