IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wyoming
Mountain West
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.1	#157
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.7	#319
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.8	#190

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.8	#137

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	1.4%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.2	11.2	12.5

.500 or above	39.3%	42.0%	13.5%
.500 or above in Conference	24.2%	25.6%	10.3%
Conference Champion	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	14.0%	12.9%	24.5%

First Four	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%
First Round	1.2%	1.3%	0.4%
Second Round	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Home) - 90.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 2	1 - 5	2 - 10
Quad 3	4 - 5	6 - 15
Quad 4	9 - 2	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	336	Cal St. Fullerton	W	73-59	91%
Nov 11, 2025	272	Austin Peay	W	70-61	80%
Nov 15, 2025	265	Portland	W	74-65	78%
Nov 19, 2025	199	@ Sam Houston St.	L	67-68	47%
Nov 23, 2025	260	Norfolk St.	W	70-62	77%
Nov 26, 2025	322	Denver	W	73-60	87%
Nov 30, 2025	12	@ Texas Tech	L	57-78	3%
Dec 06, 2025	229	Dartmouth	W	73-66	72%
Dec 09, 2025	294	South Dakota	W	82-72	82%
Dec 15, 2025	155	South Dakota St.	L	69-70	50%
Dec 20, 2025	78	Grand Canyon	L	69-73	36%
Dec 30, 2025	277	@ Air Force	W	65-62	61%
Jan 03, 2026	81	@ New Mexico	L	66-76	20%
Jan 06, 2026	86	UNLV	L	64-67	39%
Jan 10, 2026	104	@ Nevada	L	59-67	26%
Jan 14, 2026	35	San Diego St.	L	59-69	19%
Jan 17, 2026	186	@ Fresno St.	L	70-71	46%
Jan 20, 2026	62	Boise St.	L	63-69	30%
Jan 24, 2026	159	San Jose St.	W	68-65	60%
Jan 28, 2026	54	@ Utah St.	L	63-76	14%
Jan 31, 2026	98	Colorado St.	L	65-67	43%
Feb 03, 2026	35	@ San Diego St.	L	56-72	9%
Feb 07, 2026	54	Utah St.	L	66-73	28%
Feb 14, 2026	98	@ Colorado St.	L	62-70	25%
Feb 17, 2026	186	Fresno St.	W	73-68	66%
Feb 21, 2026	78	@ Grand Canyon	L	66-76	20%
Feb 24, 2026	62	@ Boise St.	L	60-72	16%
Feb 28, 2026	277	Air Force	W	68-59	78%
Mar 03, 2026	104	Nevada	L	62-64	44%
Mar 07, 2026	159	@ San Jose St.	L	65-68	42%
Projected Record						14 - 16	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.8	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1					1.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.6	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.0						2.8	3rd
4th											0.1	1.2	1.8	1.0	0.2	0.0							4.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.2	1.5	2.2	1.4	0.3	0.0								5.7	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	1.7	3.5	1.9	0.3	0.0									7.7	6th
7th								0.4	2.0	4.2	2.4	0.4	0.0										9.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.8	2.9	4.7	3.3	0.5	0.0											12.2	8th
9th					0.2	1.4	4.1	5.7	2.9	0.4	0.0												14.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	2.4	5.5	5.3	2.3	0.5	0.0													16.4	10th
11th		0.1	1.0	3.4	5.3	4.1	1.5	0.2															15.6	11th
12th	0.4	1.6	2.6	2.4	1.3	0.4	0.0																8.7	12th

Total	0.4	1.7	3.6	6.2	9.1	11.3	11.7	11.5	10.4	9.8	7.9	6.0	4.2	2.8	1.6	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0
17-3	64.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-4	53.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1
15-5	25.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	5.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%		75.0%	50.0%	25.0%	6.7						0.0	0.0			0.0								0.0		50.0%
18-2	0.1%		75.0%	12.5%	62.5%	8.3					0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0							0.0		71.4%
17-3	0.2%		35.9%	8.0%	27.9%	9.7							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		30.3%
16-4	0.5%		30.7%	24.6%	6.1%	10.0								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0						0.3		8.2%
15-5	1.0%		16.0%	9.5%	6.6%	10.6										0.0	0.0	0.1						0.8		7.3%
14-6	1.6%		10.8%	9.5%	1.3%	11.2											0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.4		1.5%
13-7	2.8%		5.7%	5.4%	0.2%	11.3											0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				2.7		0.3%
12-8	4.2%		3.5%	3.5%		11.4												0.1	0.1					4.1
11-9	6.0%		2.2%	2.2%		11.6											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				5.8
10-10	7.9%		1.0%	1.0%		12.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			7.8
9-11	9.8%		0.6%	0.6%		12.5													0.0	0.0				9.7
8-12	10.4%		0.2%	0.2%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		10.4
7-13	11.5%		0.4%	0.4%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.5
6-14	11.7%		0.1%	0.1%		15.9																0.0	0.0	11.7
5-15	11.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
4-16	9.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
3-17	6.2%																							6.2
2-18	3.6%																							3.6
1-19	1.7%																							1.7
0-20	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		1.3%	1.1%	0.2%	11.2					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	98.7		0.2%