Georgetown
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
90  Scott Carpenter SR 31:47
182  Amos Bartelsmeyer JR 32:09
224  Christian Alvarado SO 32:17
252  Michael Clevenger SR 32:22
283  Michael Lederhouse SR 32:26
386  Jack Van Scoter FR 32:42
439  Matthew Bouthillette FR 32:49
625  Michael Crozier JR 33:09
792  Connor Sheryak JR 33:27
1,056  Spencer Brown FR 33:49
1,768  Reilly Bloomer FR 34:46
National Rank #31 of 312
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #1 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.5%
Most Likely Finish 29th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 16.0%


Regional Champion 68.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Scott Carpenter Amos Bartelsmeyer Christian Alvarado Michael Clevenger Michael Lederhouse Jack Van Scoter Matthew Bouthillette Michael Crozier Connor Sheryak Spencer Brown Reilly Bloomer
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 684 31:35 32:22 32:10 32:44 32:21 32:55 33:43
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 34:04 33:55 34:46
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 570 31:04 32:04 31:43 32:19 32:45 32:58
Big East Conference Championships 10/28 670 31:44 32:05 32:32 32:11 32:24 32:36 32:47 33:39
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 810 32:03 32:27 32:19 32:35 32:50 32:56 33:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.5% 25.0 605 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.4 2.5 3.9 5.3 4.5 5.4 6.3 8.9 9.5 9.8 10.3 10.4 7.9 5.6
Region Championship 100% 1.5 58 68.4 19.6 8.7 3.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scott Carpenter 99.8% 83.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.3
Amos Bartelsmeyer 99.6% 140.2
Christian Alvarado 99.5% 161.4
Michael Clevenger 99.5% 169.4
Michael Lederhouse 99.5% 179.1
Jack Van Scoter 99.5% 209.3
Matthew Bouthillette 99.5% 217.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scott Carpenter 2.6 7.6 32.1 16.6 8.9 6.6 5.5 4.3 2.9 2.9 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2
Amos Bartelsmeyer 7.5 0.1 2.4 7.0 9.3 10.0 9.3 8.4 6.7 5.2 5.5 4.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.4 2.5 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.6
Christian Alvarado 11.2 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.6 6.3 6.3 5.6 6.2 6.5 5.6 5.6 5.6 4.0 4.1 3.5 3.2 2.7 2.8 1.9 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.8 1.8 0.9
Michael Clevenger 13.7 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.2 4.1 5.4 5.3 5.8 5.5 6.1 4.6 4.8 3.9 4.2 3.4 3.8 2.7 3.3 2.7 2.3 2.9 2.5 2.1 1.2
Michael Lederhouse 14.8 0.3 0.8 2.2 3.0 4.1 3.4 5.2 5.8 6.3 6.4 4.3 4.8 4.5 4.0 3.3 3.7 3.3 2.9 2.3 2.9 2.2 2.0 2.2
Jack Van Scoter 23.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.7 3.0 3.2 3.7 3.5 3.9 4.5 4.4 4.9 4.0 3.8 3.4 3.5
Matthew Bouthillette 29.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.7 2.4 2.8 3.4 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.4 2.6 3.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 68.4% 100.0% 68.4 68.4 1
2 19.6% 100.0% 19.6 19.6 2
3 8.7% 96.6% 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 8.4 3
4 3.4% 92.6% 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.3 3.2 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 99.5% 68.4 19.6 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.6 87.9 11.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 92.4% 1.0 0.9
Boise State 89.6% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 2.0 1.6
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Navy 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 36.5% 2.0 0.7
Illinois 32.4% 1.0 0.3
Washington 16.7% 1.0 0.2
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.7% 2.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.7% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Total 8.2
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 14.0