Tulsa
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
13  Luke Traynor SR 31:12
105  Benjamin Preisner JR 31:50
132  Henry Pearce JR 31:58
226  Adam Roderique JR 32:17
440  Isaac Dobos SO 32:49
595  Dallas Elmore SR 33:07
646  Austin Del Rosso SO 33:12
736  Jay Ort SO 33:22
1,088  Stuart McNutt FR 33:53
1,362  Mark Middleton SO 34:14
1,400  Adam Breaux FR 34:16
1,404  Kirk Smith JR 34:16
1,633  Ellis Coon SO 34:36
1,812  Steven Salvano JR 34:50
National Rank #24 of 312
Midwest Region Rank #3 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 74.7%
Most Likely Finish 20th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 2.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 36.9%


Regional Champion 8.9%
Top 5 in Regional 91.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Luke Traynor Benjamin Preisner Henry Pearce Adam Roderique Isaac Dobos Dallas Elmore Austin Del Rosso Jay Ort Stuart McNutt Mark Middleton Adam Breaux
OSU Cowboy Jamboree 09/24 715 31:26 32:00 33:04 32:25 32:40 33:14 33:31 34:49
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 1148 33:07 33:17 34:43 34:16
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 545 31:01 31:51 32:00 32:12 32:36 33:44 33:51
American Conference Championship 10/29 501 31:05 31:37 31:58 32:01 32:37 32:51 33:05
Midwest Region Championships 11/11 556 31:35 31:52 31:53 31:55 32:51 33:12 32:45





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 74.7% 20.4 504 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 2.2 3.2 2.3 3.1 5.0 5.1 5.3 6.2 6.1 5.0 5.4 4.8 4.8 4.0 3.3 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.2
Region Championship 100% 3.5 117 8.9 15.1 25.7 25.1 16.3 6.6 1.9 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Traynor 98.7% 19.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 4.0 3.8 4.2 5.0 3.2 3.4 3.3 2.7 2.1 3.1 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.0 1.5
Benjamin Preisner 78.4% 86.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2
Henry Pearce 75.7% 108.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Adam Roderique 74.7% 157.5
Isaac Dobos 74.7% 217.8
Dallas Elmore 74.9% 234.1
Austin Del Rosso 74.9% 237.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Traynor 1.0 69.5 10.5 4.2 3.3 2.4 1.7 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Benjamin Preisner 9.5 0.7 5.6 6.4 6.7 6.4 5.9 6.3 5.2 5.2 3.9 4.1 3.7 3.2 2.6 2.5 2.2 3.1 1.8 2.7 1.3 2.0 1.4 1.1 1.6 0.9
Henry Pearce 13.3 0.1 1.9 2.6 3.9 4.4 4.5 5.6 4.7 4.2 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.1 3.6 2.7 3.5 3.2 2.4 3.0 2.7 2.6 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.2
Adam Roderique 26.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.6 3.3 3.0 2.8 4.0 3.3 3.0 3.3 2.6 2.9
Isaac Dobos 54.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4
Dallas Elmore 72.6
Austin Del Rosso 76.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 8.9% 100.0% 8.9 8.9 1
2 15.1% 100.0% 15.1 15.1 2
3 25.7% 96.1% 0.3 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.8 2.8 3.5 2.6 1.7 1.7 2.2 2.3 1.3 1.0 24.7 3
4 25.1% 86.5% 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 2.5 2.6 2.2 2.2 1.5 2.4 3.1 3.4 21.7 4
5 16.3% 25.2% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.4 12.2 4.1 5
6 6.6% 3.8% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.4 0.3 6
7 1.9% 1.9 7
8 0.5% 0.5 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 74.7% 8.9 15.1 0.3 1.6 2.1 3.5 3.3 4.5 6.1 5.7 4.3 4.2 4.3 5.3 5.8 25.4 24.0 50.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 92.4% 1.0 0.9
Boise State 89.6% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Penn 36.5% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 1.0 0.3
Washington 16.7% 1.0 0.2
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Total 7.6
Minimum 4.0
Maximum 13.0