Tulsa
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
10  Marc Scott SR 31:07
54  Luke Traynor JR 31:33
125  Benjamin Preisner SO 31:57
378  Adam Roderique SO 32:45
432  Isaac Dobos FR 32:50
672  Austin Del Rosso FR 33:17
780  Jeremiah Ort FR 33:28
1,126  Mark Middleton FR 33:58
1,513  Kirk Smith SO 34:31
1,897  Elijah Silva SO 35:11
National Rank #21 of 308
Midwest Region Rank #3 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 67.6%
Most Likely Finish 20th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 2.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 36.6%


Regional Champion 2.3%
Top 5 in Regional 89.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Marc Scott Luke Traynor Benjamin Preisner Adam Roderique Isaac Dobos Austin Del Rosso Jeremiah Ort Mark Middleton Kirk Smith Elijah Silva
Chile Pepper Festival 10/02 798 31:33 32:36 32:26 33:32 32:46 33:01 34:30 36:08
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 550 31:09 31:56 31:41 32:39 32:20 33:39 34:55
American Athletic Conference Championship 10/31 750 31:55 32:14 32:11 32:31 32:55 33:33 33:51 34:36 33:26
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 542 31:01 31:24 31:44 32:37 33:11 33:08 34:08
NCAA Championship 11/21 576 30:53 31:13 31:58 32:46 34:12 33:22 35:26





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 67.6% 19.9 488 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.1 3.1 3.2 3.9 4.5 4.8 4.8 5.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.4 3.6 3.3 2.4 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.0
Region Championship 100% 4.1 131 2.3 10.6 19.1 27.7 29.4 8.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marc Scott 97.9% 15.2 0.6 3.5 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.2 3.8 3.4 3.2 3.3 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.1 2.1 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.2
Luke Traynor 80.6% 51.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.8
Benjamin Preisner 67.9% 101.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adam Roderique 67.6% 202.2
Isaac Dobos 67.6% 209.5
Austin Del Rosso 67.7% 235.1
Jeremiah Ort 67.8% 240.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marc Scott 1.6 38.5 19.8 12.1 8.0 6.1 3.2 2.8 1.9 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Luke Traynor 6.5 0.8 4.4 8.6 10.6 10.5 11.1 9.0 7.6 6.1 5.1 3.3 3.8 2.8 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6
Benjamin Preisner 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.2 4.0 5.0 5.8 5.8 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.0 4.3 3.7 3.8 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.3 2.0 2.2 2.1
Adam Roderique 45.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.4
Isaac Dobos 51.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5
Austin Del Rosso 80.2
Jeremiah Ort 91.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.3% 100.0% 2.3 2.3 1
2 10.6% 100.0% 10.6 10.6 2
3 19.1% 97.8% 1.4 2.9 3.2 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 18.7 3
4 27.7% 93.5% 1.5 2.8 3.5 3.7 2.8 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.8 25.9 4
5 29.4% 34.1% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.7 0.9 1.1 19.3 10.0 5
6 8.7% 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 0.1 6
7 1.6% 1.6 7
8 0.5% 0.5 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 67.6% 2.3 10.6 1.4 4.4 6.0 6.4 6.3 5.2 5.0 4.3 3.4 3.5 3.4 2.5 2.8 32.4 12.9 54.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Florida State 91.5% 1.0 0.9
Michigan State 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Washington 77.6% 1.0 0.8
Columbia 70.8% 1.0 0.7
Eastern Kentucky 65.9% 1.0 0.7
UCLA 64.4% 1.0 0.6
Indiana 61.1% 1.0 0.6
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 57.0% 1.0 0.6
Illinois 47.5% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Portland 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 8.4
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 15.0