Texas
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
125  Connor O'Neill FR 31:53
136  Sam Worley FR 31:56
138  Alex Rogers JR 31:57
266  John Rice SO 32:21
358  Charles Mills JR 32:34
371  Jacob Pickle JR 32:35
430  Eric Kroon JR 32:42
554  Garek Bielaczyc SO 32:56
632  Pedro Nasta JR 33:05
784  Daniel Golden SO 33:21
1,505  Logan Emery JR 34:20
National Rank #28 of 315
South Central Region Rank #2 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 24th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 27.9%


Regional Champion 19.3%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Connor O'Neill Sam Worley Alex Rogers John Rice Charles Mills Jacob Pickle Eric Kroon Garek Bielaczyc Pedro Nasta Daniel Golden Logan Emery
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 515 31:28 31:56 31:30 32:35 32:07 32:55 33:07 33:52
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 33:05 34:26
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 676 31:43 31:48 32:14 32:32 32:51
Big 12 Championship 10/28 757 32:18 32:12 32:18 32:20 32:30 32:44 32:43 32:44 33:11 33:15
South Region Championships 11/10 724 31:50 32:07 32:40 32:24 32:28 32:38





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100.0% 23.1 583 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 3.1 3.2 3.4 4.1 5.2 5.8 7.1 6.7 7.9 7.7 7.3 7.3 7.3 6.0 5.0 4.1
Region Championship 100% 1.8 55 19.3 80.3 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Connor O'Neill 100.0% 104.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Sam Worley 100.0% 112.9 0.1
Alex Rogers 100% 115.3 0.1
John Rice 100.0% 176.3
Charles Mills 100.0% 201.0
Jacob Pickle 100.0% 205.1
Eric Kroon 100.0% 216.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Connor O'Neill 6.0 1.5 4.5 9.2 12.4 12.9 9.2 9.3 7.1 6.4 5.3 4.0 3.8 2.6 1.9 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3
Sam Worley 6.4 1.0 3.7 6.8 11.1 12.6 10.7 10.2 6.7 5.7 5.3 4.7 3.8 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.3 2.2 0.9 1.0 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4
Alex Rogers 7.0 0.7 2.4 6.8 8.8 11.0 11.3 9.5 7.4 7.2 6.1 4.2 4.3 3.5 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.1 1.5 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.3
John Rice 13.9 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.5 4.9 5.8 6.9 7.7 7.3 5.5 6.5 5.6 5.3 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.7 2.8 2.9 2.5 1.6 1.7
Charles Mills 18.8 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.8 4.2 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.2 5.7 5.6 5.1 4.1 4.4 3.7 3.0 3.5
Jacob Pickle 20.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.7 4.8 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.6 5.4 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.2
Eric Kroon 22.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.5 2.9 4.2 4.5 5.4 6.2 5.4 4.9 5.0 4.8 3.8 4.2 3.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 19.3% 100.0% 19.3 19.3 1
2 80.3% 100.0% 80.3 80.3 2
3 0.5% 88.9% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 100.0% 19.3 80.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.4




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Oklahoma State 59.4% 1.0 0.6
Washington St. 42.1% 1.0 0.4
Alabama 34.6% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 31.5% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Campbell 0.4% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.7
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 8.0