Arkansas
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
3  Dominique Scott SR 19:07
47  Devin Clark FR 19:47
99  Kaitlin Flattmann SR 20:01
141  Kelsey Schrader SR 20:09
171  Regan Ward SR 20:14
265  Sydney Brown SR 20:29
284  Valerie Reina SR 20:33
298  Nikki Hiltz SR 20:35
417  Safee Belbina SR 20:47
506  Nichwitz Rachel FR 20:55
569  Samantha Mohler JR 21:00
935  Therese Haiss JR 21:30
National Rank #7 of 339
South Central Region Rank #1 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Nationals


National Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 26.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 64.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 97.2%


Regional Champion 99.9%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Dominique Scott Devin Clark Kaitlin Flattmann Kelsey Schrader Regan Ward Sydney Brown Valerie Reina Nikki Hiltz Safee Belbina Nichwitz Rachel Samantha Mohler
Chile Pepper Festival 10/02 428 19:32 19:58 20:11 20:18 20:12 20:44 20:30 20:42 20:38 20:54
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 295 19:03 19:37 19:57 19:57 20:15 20:46 21:37
SEC Championships 10/30 271 19:06 19:54 19:43 20:03 20:03 20:12 20:02 20:38 20:34 20:48 21:02
South Central Region Championships 11/13 570 19:40 20:05 20:31 20:26 20:31 20:27 21:13
NCAA Championship 11/21 358 18:58 19:47 20:16 20:10 20:05 20:35 21:07





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 9.2 306 0.2 4.3 6.6 7.3 8.5 8.8 8.1 7.6 6.8 6.3 5.8 5.5 4.5 4.1 3.2 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.0 29 99.9 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dominique Scott 100% 4.4 8.3 13.6 13.5 11.1 8.4 6.6 6.5 4.4 3.8 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.3 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4
Devin Clark 100% 55.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.7 1.1
Kaitlin Flattmann 100% 94.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3
Kelsey Schrader 100% 117.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regan Ward 100% 131.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sydney Brown 100% 174.5
Valerie Reina 100% 183.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dominique Scott 1.0 94.1 5.1 0.7 0.0
Devin Clark 3.1 0.2 23.6 24.3 22.3 13.4 7.4 3.6 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kaitlin Flattmann 5.5 2.8 8.2 13.5 17.5 15.3 13.0 8.7 7.0 4.6 3.1 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Kelsey Schrader 7.4 0.8 2.7 5.4 9.1 12.7 13.9 12.2 10.9 8.6 6.5 5.0 3.5 2.2 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Regan Ward 8.7 0.2 1.0 2.8 5.3 8.9 11.5 12.4 10.9 9.7 8.2 7.2 5.5 4.1 2.5 2.1 1.8 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2
Sydney Brown 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.4 4.6 6.4 7.3 8.2 7.0 7.4 7.0 6.0 5.8 4.8 4.1 4.0 2.9 3.1 2.2 2.1 1.9
Valerie Reina 16.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.5 4.4 5.2 6.3 6.4 7.4 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.1 4.9 4.5 3.8 3.7 3.1 2.7 2.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 99.9% 100.0% 99.9 99.9 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 100.0% 99.9 0.1 0.0 100.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Providence 100.0% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina St. 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Boise State 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Penn State 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 99.5% 1.0 1.0
Washington 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Miss State 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Syracuse 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Princeton 95.5% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 94.1% 1.0 0.9
Minnesota 93.0% 1.0 0.9
Vanderbilt 92.1% 2.0 1.8
BYU 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Alabama 41.4% 1.0 0.4
William and Mary 40.1% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina 39.3% 1.0 0.4
Columbia 26.3% 1.0 0.3
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Auburn 13.8% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.4% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 2.0 0.1
Mississippi 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 18.0
Minimum 11.0
Maximum 25.0