Arkansas
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
36  Jack Bruce SO 31:26
59  Frankline Tonui JR 31:35
78  Christian Heymsfield JR 31:43
80  Austen Dalquist SO 31:43
81  Gabe Gonzales SR 31:43
101  Alex George SO 31:51
193  Cale Wallace SR 32:13
565  Ethan Moehn SO 33:06
651  Kyle Hosting JR 33:15
788  Aidan Swain JR 33:28
943  Cameron Griffith FR 33:41
National Rank #5 of 308
South Central Region Rank #1 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Nationals


National Champion 2.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 50.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 87.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 99.4%


Regional Champion 100.0%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jack Bruce Frankline Tonui Christian Heymsfield Austen Dalquist Gabe Gonzales Alex George Cale Wallace Ethan Moehn Kyle Hosting Aidan Swain Cameron Griffith
Chile Pepper Festival 10/02 525 32:18 31:43 31:44 32:14 32:22 31:40 32:32 33:10 33:10 33:52 33:48
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 393 32:09 31:37 31:38 31:31 31:48 31:56 32:30
SEC Championships 10/30 344 31:55 31:33 31:23 31:38 31:53 31:38 32:15 33:13 33:37
South Central Regional Championships 11/13 632 32:11 31:52 31:50 31:55 32:54 33:28 33:08
NCAA Championship 11/21 304 31:06 31:21 32:30 31:45 31:23 32:34 31:56





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 6.4 257 2.0 5.5 11.2 16.1 15.8 12.3 8.7 6.3 5.2 4.0 2.8 2.4 1.8 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.0 20 100.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Bruce 100% 39.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.8 2.1
Frankline Tonui 100% 57.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2
Christian Heymsfield 100% 74.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
Austen Dalquist 100% 74.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5
Gabe Gonzales 100% 75.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4
Alex George 100% 91.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Cale Wallace 100% 145.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Bruce 1.2 46.6 14.7 10.2 7.0 5.3 3.7 3.3 2.4 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Frankline Tonui 2.9 18.0 20.9 12.9 11.2 8.2 6.6 5.1 3.6 3.3 2.1 1.8 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Christian Heymsfield 4.2 7.0 13.5 14.4 13.5 10.5 7.8 7.5 5.3 4.7 3.5 2.4 1.8 1.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Austen Dalquist 4.2 5.8 14.5 14.5 12.9 10.9 8.8 7.1 5.3 4.0 3.6 2.4 2.0 1.4 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Gabe Gonzales 4.4 5.0 12.5 15.6 13.0 11.0 9.9 6.9 5.1 4.4 3.4 2.8 2.4 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
Alex George 5.9 0.8 4.4 8.9 12.1 13.8 11.1 9.2 6.8 6.2 5.7 3.9 3.5 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3
Cale Wallace 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.6 6.2 8.1 9.3 8.3 8.5 7.7 6.3 5.4 4.8 4.4 3.6 2.4 2.7 2.5 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.2 1.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0 100.0 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0 0.0 100.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 98.1% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Louisville 88.3% 1.0 0.9
UTEP 80.8% 1.0 0.8
Tulsa 64.7% 1.0 0.6
Virginia Tech 61.7% 1.0 0.6
Colorado St. 53.4% 1.0 0.5
Texas A&M 50.0% 1.0 0.5
Air Force 40.3% 1.0 0.4
Texas 38.3% 1.0 0.4
Southern Utah 36.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
California 23.4% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Michigan 22.0% 1.0 0.2
Florida 8.5% 2.0 0.2
Georgia 6.3% 2.0 0.1
Cornell 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.7% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 8.2
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 17.0