Arkansas
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
16  Devin Clark SO 19:32
71  Taylor Werner FR 19:54
165  Nikki Hiltz JR 20:13
168  Abby Gray FR 20:14
171  Therese Haiss SR 20:14
192  Carina Viljoen FR 20:17
198  Valerie Reina SR 20:18
200  Sydney Brown SO 20:18
229  Regan Ward SR 20:23
370  Rachel Nichwitz SO 20:42
378  Maddy Reed FR 20:43
National Rank #13 of 344
South Central Region Rank #1 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.8%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Nationals


National Champion 0.4%
Top 5 at Nationals 18.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 49.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 88.4%


Regional Champion 77.8%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Devin Clark Taylor Werner Nikki Hiltz Abby Gray Therese Haiss Carina Viljoen Valerie Reina Sydney Brown Regan Ward Rachel Nichwitz Maddy Reed
MSSU Stampede 09/17 1245
UC Riverside Invitational 09/17 874 20:41 20:33 20:36 20:33 21:07
Chile Pepper Festival 10/01 374 19:43 19:57 20:11 20:31 20:01 20:04 20:25 20:21 20:15 20:50 20:37
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Open) 10/15 20:22 20:24 20:33 20:58
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 394 19:27 19:50 20:12 20:06 20:18 20:26 20:40
SEC Championship 10/28 287 19:22 20:03 19:58 19:55 19:57 20:15 19:55 20:09 20:29 20:24 20:38
South Central Region Championships 11/11 380 19:34 19:47 20:14 20:11 20:22 20:20 20:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.8% 11.7 352 0.4 2.5 4.0 4.8 6.5 5.9 5.2 7.1 6.7 6.7 6.1 5.0 5.1 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.1 2.3 2.4 2.8 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.3 46 77.8 20.0 1.8 0.3 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Devin Clark 100% 23.3 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.8 2.4 2.5 2.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.1 1.9
Taylor Werner 99.8% 72.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.5
Nikki Hiltz 99.8% 129.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Abby Gray 99.8% 134.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Therese Haiss 99.8% 135.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Carina Viljoen 99.8% 144.8 0.1 0.1
Valerie Reina 99.8% 146.1 0.1 0.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Devin Clark 1.1 47.6 19.7 13.2 7.9 4.8 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Taylor Werner 5.9 1.5 8.9 9.3 10.0 11.5 9.7 9.3 8.2 6.0 6.4 5.0 3.2 3.4 2.3 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2
Nikki Hiltz 13.3 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.5 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.4 5.9 6.1 5.9 7.4 6.4 7.3 5.8 5.1 6.1 4.7 4.0 3.0 2.7 1.8 1.7 0.7
Abby Gray 14.0 0.1 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.9 3.5 4.8 5.0 5.1 7.2 6.7 6.4 6.9 5.4 6.2 6.4 4.9 4.5 4.5 2.6 2.4 1.5 2.0
Therese Haiss 14.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.7 3.2 2.9 4.3 4.5 5.8 6.7 5.7 6.6 6.8 6.2 7.2 6.4 5.6 5.3 4.8 3.8 2.6 2.3 1.7 1.3
Carina Viljoen 15.7 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.5 4.1 4.2 5.3 6.5 6.8 5.8 7.1 8.0 6.4 5.7 5.4 4.9 3.8 3.7 2.3 1.6
Valerie Reina 15.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.2 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.8 4.8 5.2 6.3 7.3 6.4 7.2 5.9 5.9 6.4 5.5 4.7 4.2 4.0 2.9 1.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 77.8% 100.0% 77.8 77.8 1
2 20.0% 100.0% 20.0 20.0 2
3 1.8% 94.4% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.7 3
4 0.3% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 4
5 0.2% 33.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 99.8% 77.8 20.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 97.8 2.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Stanford 97.4% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Eastern Michigan 89.5% 1.0 0.9
Miss State 82.8% 2.0 1.7
California 28.9% 1.0 0.3
Florida 27.8% 2.0 0.6
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Missouri 24.4% 3.0 0.7
Eastern Kentucky 12.1% 1.0 0.1
Kentucky 11.3% 1.0 0.1
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Air Force 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Kansas 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Ohio State 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 7.3
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 14.0