Boys - Girls
Tournament Simulation Summary
2024 - 2025 - 2026

Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.



RankSchool Size Regional Team Rating State
Champion		Medal
(Top 5)		Top 10Advance to State FinalsAdvance to Regional
1 Columbus North L Mater Dei #1   72 86.0% 99.9% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2 Noblesville L Shelbyville #1   122 10.8% 94.5% 99.8% 100.0% 100.0%
3 Bloomington North L Mater Dei #2   158 1.0% 73.7% 99.3% 100.0% 100.0%
4 Carmel L Brownsburg #1   174 1.5% 68.6% 96.2% 100.0% 100.0%
5 Hamilton Southeastern L Shelbyville #2   193 0.2% 35.3% 86.5% 97.1% 100.0%
6 Homestead L New Haven #1   195 0.4% 41.6% 89.5% 100.0% 100.0%
7 Avon L Brownsburg #2   215 0.1% 30.3% 80.4% 99.7% 100.0%
8 Brownsburg L Brownsburg #3   228 0.1% 17.1% 69.2% 98.6% 100.0%
9 Northridge L New Prairie #1   236 12.2% 61.7% 100.0% 100.0%
10 Fishers L Shelbyville #3   254 7.9% 49.4% 81.3% 100.0%
11 Center Grove L Shelbyville #4   260 0.0% 8.7% 49.0% 81.0% 100.0%
12 Franklin Central L Shelbyville #5   264 5.5% 40.3% 74.8% 100.0%
13 North Central (Indpls) L Brownsburg #4   276 2.6% 27.4% 90.5% 100.0%
14 Lawrence North L Shelbyville #6   299 0.8% 13.8% 39.1% 100.0%
15 Yorktown M New Haven #2   312 0.3% 6.6% 99.9% 100.0%
16 Penn L New Prairie #2   315 0.4% 11.0% 99.5% 100.0%
17 Ben Davis L Brownsburg #5   328 0.0% 2.7% 48.1% 100.0%
18 Carroll (FW) L New Haven #3   333 0.1% 3.1% 99.7% 100.0%
19 Westfield L Shelbyville #7   336 0.2% 4.7% 19.4% 99.7%
20 Zionsville L Brownsburg #6   337 0.3% 5.6% 53.6% 100.0%
21 Franklin Community L Shelbyville #8   360 0.0% 1.1% 7.2% 100.0%
22 Concordia Lutheran M New Haven #4   363 1.0% 99.2% 100.0%
23 Wabash S New Haven #5   376 0.8% 99.1% 100.0%
24 Crown Point L New Prairie #3   392 0.0% 0.4% 86.0% 100.0%
25 Floyd Central L Mater Dei #3   403 0.1% 92.4% 100.0%
26 Chesterton L New Prairie #4   407 0.1% 80.6% 100.0%
27 Castle L Mater Dei #4   408 0.1% 90.1% 100.0%
28 Lowell M New Prairie #5   410 0.1% 74.7% 100.0%
29 Western M Brownsburg #7   416 0.0% 2.6% 100.0%
30 Harrison (WL) L Brownsburg #8   427 0.1% 4.8% 100.0%
31 Concord L New Prairie #6   455 0.0% 41.7% 100.0%
32 Northview M Brownsburg #9   462 1.3% 100.0%
33 Greenfield-Central L Shelbyville #9   463 0.1% 100.0%
34 F.J. Reitz L Mater Dei #5   464 24.8% 100.0%
35 Pendleton Heights L Shelbyville #10   472 0.0% 94.8%
36 Terre Haute South L Brownsburg #10   477 0.4% 100.0%
37 Silver Creek M Mater Dei #6   490 32.8% 100.0%
38 Goshen L New Prairie #7   492 13.1% 100.0%
39 Whiteland L Shelbyville #11   497 0.0% 99.8%
40 Barr-Reeve S Mater Dei #7   500 35.0% 100.0%
41 West Lafayette M Brownsburg #11   503 0.2% 100.0%
42 Pike L Brownsburg #12   514 0.1% 99.6%
43 Bloomington South L Mater Dei #8   526 21.3% 100.0%
44 Lake Central L New Prairie #8   539 0.9% 100.0%
45 Mt. Vernon (Fortville) L Shelbyville #12   545 100.0%
46 Guerin Catholic M Shelbyville #13   550 5.5%
47 Valparaiso L New Prairie #9   567 2.3% 100.0%
48 Angola M New Haven #6   571 2.0% 100.0%
49 LaPorte L New Prairie #10   578 0.9% 100.0%
50 Princeton M Mater Dei #9   599 3.2% 100.0%
51 Covenant Christian (DeMotte) S New Prairie #11   616 0.2% 100.0%
52 Indian Creek M Shelbyville #14   618 81.6%
53 Reitz Memorial M Mater Dei #10   633 0.2% 100.0%
54 Snider L New Haven #7   642 98.4%
55 Northwestern M Brownsburg #13   647 100.0%
56 West Noble M New Haven #8   648 0.0% 100.0%
57 St. Joseph's M New Prairie #12   650 0.1% 99.6%
58 Lakewood Park Christian S New Haven #9   650 100.0%
59 Brebeuf Jesuit M Brownsburg #14   653 66.9%
60 Warsaw L New Haven #10   653 100.0%
61 Mooresville L Shelbyville #15   655 62.5%
62 Northrop L New Haven #11   658 98.2%
63 Hanover Central M New Prairie #13   660 0.0% 100.0%
64 Bishop Chatard M Brownsburg #15   661 100.0%
65 Seymour L Mater Dei #11   667 0.1% 100.0%
66 Norwell M New Haven #12   667 0.0% 100.0%
67 Wawasee M New Prairie #14   675 0.0% 98.7%
68 Oak Hill S New Haven #13   684 0.0% 100.0%
69 Plainfield L Brownsburg #16   690 30.3%
70 Roncalli M Shelbyville #16   692 39.2%
71 Delta M New Haven #14   699 100.0%
72 Kankakee Valley M New Prairie #15   704 100.0%
73 Madison M Shelbyville #17   707 100.0%
74 Herron M Brownsburg #17   715 99.9%
75 Bishop Dwenger M New Haven #15   723 86.3%
76 Greenwood Christian Academy S Shelbyville #18   725 16.9%
77 Mater Dei S Mater Dei #12   729 0.0% 99.3%
78 Hamilton Heights M Shelbyville #19   733 0.0%
79 Jasper M Mater Dei #13   743 100.0%
80 Wapahani S New Haven #16   753 99.6%
81 Illiana Christian S New Prairie #16   758 99.6%
82 New Prairie M New Prairie #17   759 88.9%
83 Cascade S Brownsburg #18   766 3.1%
84 Adams L New Prairie #18   770 75.0%
85 NorthWood M New Prairie #19   773 65.2%
86 McCutcheon L Brownsburg #19   783 100.0%
87 Columbia City L New Haven #17   791 100.0%
88 Fairfield S New Prairie #20   792 35.2%
89 New Haven M New Haven #18   797 17.2%
90 Terre Haute North L Brownsburg #20   800 100.0%
91 South Knox S Mater Dei #14   807 100.0%
92 Mishawaka L New Prairie #21   813 36.5%
93 Corydon Central M Mater Dei #15   814 100.0%
94 Providence S Mater Dei #16   830 100.0%
95 Jennings County L Mater Dei #17   845 88.7%
96 Greensburg M Mater Dei #18   853 77.2%
97 Kokomo L Brownsburg #21   854 100.0%
98 New Palestine L Shelbyville #20   858 99.8%
99 Hauser S Mater Dei #19   865 64.1%
100 Portage L New Prairie #22   882 100.0%
101 Greenwood L Shelbyville #21   892
102 Richmond L Shelbyville #22   905 100.0%
103 Gibson Southern M Mater Dei #20   905 0.7%
104 South Adams S New Haven #19   913 64.5%
105 Signature Mater Dei #21   915 0.1%
106 Columbus East L Mater Dei #22   917 26.5%
107 Bluffton S New Haven #20   922 71.0%
108 Brown County S Mater Dei #23   924 41.4%
109 Marion M New Haven #21   928 100.0%
110 DeKalb M New Haven #22   941 86.4%
111 Bellmont M New Haven #23   942 53.0%
112 Danville M Brownsburg #22   955 0.0%
113 Elkhart New Prairie #23   966 0.8%
114 Horizon Christian New Prairie #24   968
115 Austin S Shelbyville #23   975 100.0%
116 Faith Christian S Brownsburg #23   976 99.8%
117 Westview S New Prairie #25   977 0.1%
118 Tell City S Mater Dei #24   980 99.7%
119 Clinton Central S Brownsburg #24   980 100.0%
120 Plymouth M New Haven #24   991 97.7%
121 Heritage Christian S Brownsburg #25   997 0.1%
122 Munster L New Prairie #26   1,023 0.4%
123 Northeast Dubois S Mater Dei #25   1,033 97.2%
124 Lapel S Shelbyville #24   1,037
125 Twin Lakes M New Prairie #27   1,038 99.8%
126 Monroe Central S New Haven #25   1,038 12.0%
127 Edgewood M Mater Dei #26   1,038 2.1%
128 Perry Meridian L Shelbyville #25   1,043
129 Heritage Hills M Mater Dei #27   1,044
130 South Vermillion S Brownsburg #26   1,045 100.0%
131 Jefferson L Brownsburg #27   1,058 47.1%
132 Leo M New Haven #26   1,060 8.5%
133 Southmont S Brownsburg #28   1,067 52.1%
134 Muncie Central L New Haven #27   1,077 99.2%
135 Bremen S New Prairie #28   1,088
136 Culver Academies M New Haven #28   1,101 46.5%
137 Lakeland M New Haven #29   1,101 0.3%
138 Park Tudor S Brownsburg #29   1,118
139 New Albany L Mater Dei #28   1,118 4.4%
140 Northeastern S Shelbyville #26   1,126 98.8%
141 Cathedral M Shelbyville #27   1,136 0.1%
142 Woodlan M New Haven #30   1,150
143 South Central (Elizabeth) S Mater Dei #29   1,155 95.6%
144 Rensselaer Central S New Prairie #29   1,160 88.2%
145 Manchester S New Haven #31   1,170 31.4%
146 Warren Central L Shelbyville #28   1,178 0.0%
147 Eastside S New Haven #32   1,178
148 Huntington North L New Haven #33   1,183 17.3%
149 Lebanon M Shelbyville #29   1,185
150 Eastern Greene S Mater Dei #30   1,185 99.8%
151 Benton Central S New Prairie #30   1,188 72.0%
152 Decatur Central L Shelbyville #30   1,195
153 Wheeler S New Prairie #31   1,196 73.5%
154 North Decatur S Mater Dei #31   1,198 0.0%
155 Glenn M New Prairie #32   1,211
156 Central Noble S New Haven #34   1,212 4.8%
157 Clay City S Brownsburg #30   1,214 94.1%
158 Lewis Cass S Brownsburg #31   1,216 78.0%
159 Hagerstown S Shelbyville #31   1,223 98.2%
160 Northfield S New Haven #35   1,228 7.1%
161 Highland M New Prairie #33   1,234
162 Lincoln (Vincennes) M Mater Dei #32   1,237 3.1%
163 Union County S Shelbyville #32   1,240 81.3%
165 Salem S Mater Dei #33   1,245 100.0%
166 Washington Township S New Prairie #34   1,246 50.1%
167 Southport L Shelbyville #33   1,246
168 Martinsville L Mater Dei #34   1,246
169 Tri-County S New Prairie #35   1,248 32.2%
170 Riley M New Prairie #36   1,248
171 Mississinewa M New Haven #36   1,251 47.8%
172 Shelbyville L Shelbyville #34   1,253
173 Wes-Del S New Haven #37   1,258 49.1%
174 Morgan Twp S New Prairie #37   1,264 50.3%
175 Crothersville S Shelbyville #35   1,278 100.0%
176 Frankfort M Brownsburg #32   1,291 15.9%
177 Orleans S Mater Dei #35   1,295 97.5%
178 Harrison (Evansville) L Mater Dei #36   1,298
179 Boonville M Mater Dei #37   1,298