Northeast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
127 Wagner 55.4%   15   9 - 2 4 - 0 19 - 4 14 - 2 +2.5      +1.1 146 +1.4 127 67.5 212 +11.3 47 +6.7 1
227 Bryant 18.2%   7 - 8 4 - 1 15 - 12 12 - 5 -3.2      -0.3 183 -2.9 265 77.5 18 -3.9 237 +2.0 2
235 LIU Brooklyn 14.7%   6 - 9 4 - 2 13 - 14 11 - 7 -4.0      -2.6 250 -1.4 213 79.0 10 -6.0 267 -4.8 5
282 Mount St. Mary's 3.9%   5 - 10 2 - 2 12 - 15 9 - 7 -7.0      -6.0 326 -1.0 201 62.5 323 -6.3 273 -3.4 4
284 Sacred Heart 5.0%   6 - 10 3 - 1 12 - 16 9 - 7 -7.1      -1.3 213 -5.9 330 66.5 249 -7.9 289 -2.0 3
289 Merrimack 0.0%   7 - 10 3 - 2 12 - 17 8 - 9 -7.5      -6.7 336 -0.8 196 58.7 350 -7.2 283 -8.2 7
301 St. Francis (PA) 2.2%   4 - 12 1 - 5 10 - 18 7 - 11 -8.1      -4.4 297 -3.7 294 70.0 139 -10.8 320 -15.1 9
328 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.3%   3 - 13 1 - 5 7 - 21 5 - 13 -11.1      -5.2 316 -5.8 329 69.0 171 -15.7 343 -17.8 10
341 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2%   1 - 12 1 - 2 5 - 20 5 - 10 -12.2      -5.5 320 -6.8 340 74.3 59 -13.3 335 -5.7 6
343 Central Connecticut St. 0.1%   4 - 14 1 - 4 8 - 22 5 - 12 -12.9      -6.6 335 -6.4 334 68.6 179 -11.3 323 -13.7 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Wagner 1.3 75.1 17.6 5.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Bryant 2.5 22.4 38.2 21.9 10.3 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 2.8 16.6 29.2 27.5 14.8 7.1 3.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 4.9 1.2 7.1 15.2 20.5 20.8 15.7 10.3 5.9 2.6 0.7
Sacred Heart 4.5 2.3 9.9 18.7 21.8 18.6 13.2 8.9 4.5 1.6 0.3
Merrimack 5.2 1.1 5.5 11.5 17.3 21.3 20.2 13.6 6.5 2.5 0.5
St. Francis (PA) 6.3 0.2 1.6 5.6 10.6 16.2 19.5 19.4 14.6 8.7 3.6
St. Francis Brooklyn 8.0 0.3 0.8 2.3 5.2 9.2 15.4 21.7 24.4 20.6
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.9 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.9 5.8 10.5 16.0 21.7 21.7 19.7
Central Connecticut St. 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.9 6.2 12.2 19.8 27.0 30.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Wagner 14 - 4 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 5.7 12.0 19.7 25.3 23.3 10.8
Bryant 12 - 6 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.4 7.8 13.8 19.0 21.1 17.2 11.0 4.6 0.9
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.8 11.1 17.6 20.5 19.4 13.4 6.6 2.1 0.3
Mount St. Mary's 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.5 9.3 14.5 19.0 19.5 15.7 9.9 4.5 1.3 0.2
Sacred Heart 9 - 9 0.1 0.8 3.0 7.0 12.7 17.4 19.4 17.0 12.5 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
Merrimack 8 - 10 0.2 1.5 5.4 11.4 18.6 20.5 18.4 13.3 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
St. Francis (PA) 7 - 11 0.1 0.6 2.5 6.5 12.6 17.7 19.9 18.2 12.2 6.8 2.5 0.5 0.1
St. Francis Brooklyn 5 - 13 1.2 5.7 12.9 19.2 20.8 18.4 11.9 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 5 - 13 1.0 4.9 11.9 17.8 20.7 18.4 13.1 7.0 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 5 - 13 2.2 8.7 17.6 22.2 21.6 15.3 7.6 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wagner 75.1% 60.7 12.3 1.9 0.2 0.0
Bryant 22.4% 12.3 8.4 1.5 0.2 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 16.6% 8.9 6.0 1.6 0.2 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 1.2% 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
Sacred Heart 2.3% 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Merrimack 1.1% 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wagner 55.4% 55.4% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.9 17.7 21.9 9.2 1.1 44.6 0.0%
Bryant 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.8 13.9 81.8 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 14.7% 14.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.9 12.6 85.3 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 3.6 96.1 0.0%
Sacred Heart 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.1 4.9 95.0 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 2.2 97.8 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wagner 55.4% 0.1% 55.4% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 18.2% 8.6% 14.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 14.7% 9.2% 10.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 3.9% 2.9% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 5.0% 4.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 86.4% 0.9 13.6 86.4
2nd Round 6.5% 0.1 93.5 6.5
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0