Bryant
Northeast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#227
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#237
Pace77.5#18
Improvement+4.7#19

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#183
First Shot-2.7#265
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#30
Layup/Dunks+1.0#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#76
Freethrows-1.8#306
Improvement+2.5#48

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#265
First Shot-0.6#188
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#334
Layups/Dunks-2.0#252
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#127
Freethrows+2.3#39
Improvement+2.2#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.2% 20.4% 15.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 75.4% 85.9% 62.6%
.500 or above in Conference 95.3% 98.4% 91.6%
Conference Champion 22.4% 29.9% 13.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.6% 7.9% 9.4%
First Round14.2% 16.7% 11.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Away) - 54.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 22 - 7
Quad 414 - 615 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 89   @ Rhode Island L 64-83 13%     0 - 1 -10.0 -6.8 -2.1
  Nov 15, 2021 68   @ Clemson L 70-93 11%     0 - 2 -12.5 +2.8 -15.7
  Nov 20, 2021 348   Bethune-Cookman L 75-81 85%     0 - 3 -20.0 -8.6 -10.9
  Nov 21, 2021 344   Holy Cross W 78-62 82%     1 - 3 +2.9 -2.5 +5.4
  Nov 26, 2021 181   @ Brown W 65-59 32%     2 - 3 +7.8 -5.6 +13.3
  Nov 28, 2021 243   Dartmouth L 61-63 OT 65%     2 - 4 -9.0 -14.4 +5.4
  Dec 03, 2021 9   @ Houston L 44-111 3%     2 - 5 -47.0 -22.4 -20.6
  Dec 05, 2021 74   @ Cincinnati L 58-73 11%     2 - 6 -5.1 -9.5 +4.7
  Dec 08, 2021 230   New Hampshire W 76-59 61%     3 - 6 +11.0 +9.3 +4.1
  Dec 11, 2021 224   @ Stony Brook L 78-86 39%     3 - 7 -8.4 +3.7 -12.1
  Dec 29, 2021 343   @ Central Connecticut St. W 80-76 76%     4 - 7 1 - 0 -6.4 -3.7 -3.0
  Dec 31, 2021 284   Sacred Heart W 85-82 73%     5 - 7 2 - 0 -6.7 +7.2 -13.8
  Jan 06, 2022 127   @ Wagner L 81-84 OT 22%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +2.0 -1.8 +4.3
  Jan 15, 2022 282   Mount St. Mary's W 73-66 73%     6 - 8 3 - 1 -2.5 -2.3 -0.2
  Jan 17, 2022 301   St. Francis (PA) W 82-52 76%     7 - 8 4 - 1 +19.4 +1.2 +17.1
  Jan 21, 2022 289   @ Merrimack W 67-65 55%    
  Jan 23, 2022 328   St. Francis Brooklyn W 81-71 84%    
  Jan 27, 2022 289   Merrimack W 70-63 76%    
  Jan 29, 2022 235   LIU Brooklyn W 82-79 64%    
  Feb 03, 2022 301   @ St. Francis (PA) W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 05, 2022 282   @ Mount St. Mary's W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 10, 2022 284   @ Sacred Heart W 77-76 53%    
  Feb 12, 2022 235   @ LIU Brooklyn L 79-81 41%    
  Feb 17, 2022 343   Central Connecticut St. W 81-69 88%    
  Feb 19, 2022 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 85-73 86%    
  Feb 24, 2022 328   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 127   Wagner L 73-76 41%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 12 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.6 6.4 7.8 4.4 0.9 22.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 8.0 14.7 10.4 3.2 0.2 38.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 7.1 9.5 3.7 0.3 21.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 1.3 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 2.2 0.5 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.4 7.8 13.8 19.0 21.1 17.2 11.0 4.6 0.9 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.9    0.9
15-3 95.8% 4.4    3.7 0.8
14-4 71.1% 7.8    4.8 3.0 0.0
13-5 37.5% 6.4    2.4 3.4 0.7 0.0
12-6 12.4% 2.6    0.5 1.2 0.8 0.1
11-7 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.4% 22.4 12.3 8.4 1.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.9% 33.0% 33.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 4.6% 32.8% 32.8% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.2 3.1
14-4 11.0% 28.6% 28.6% 15.5 0.1 1.4 1.6 7.8
13-5 17.2% 22.7% 22.7% 15.8 0.0 0.9 3.0 13.3
12-6 21.1% 18.8% 18.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.6 17.1
11-7 19.0% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 0.1 3.0 15.9
10-8 13.8% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7 12.2
9-9 7.8% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.6 7.2
8-10 3.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.3
7-11 1.1% 1.1
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.8 13.9 81.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 14.1 0.7 15.9 60.7 20.7 2.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%