Sacred Heart
Northeast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#284
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#289
Pace66.5#249
Improvement+1.2#119

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#213
First Shot-0.8#207
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#219
Layup/Dunks-2.0#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#94
Freethrows-0.8#244
Improvement-0.2#182

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#330
First Shot-4.6#317
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#289
Layups/Dunks-1.7#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#336
Freethrows+2.1#56
Improvement+1.4#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 6.7% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 15.8% 26.0% 9.4%
.500 or above in Conference 59.0% 75.7% 48.6%
Conference Champion 2.3% 4.2% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 1.7%
First Four4.6% 5.9% 3.7%
First Round2.6% 3.6% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 411 - 1012 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 226   @ La Salle W 86-81 OT 26%     1 - 0 +4.4 +0.3 +3.3
  Nov 11, 2021 44   @ Providence L 64-92 4%     1 - 1 -15.2 -0.8 -14.7
  Nov 14, 2021 310   Binghamton L 60-72 65%     1 - 2 -23.1 -16.4 -7.2
  Nov 20, 2021 219   Fairfield L 61-71 42%     1 - 3 -15.2 -6.0 -10.4
  Nov 22, 2021 224   @ Stony Brook L 72-75 26%     1 - 4 -3.4 -3.3 +0.0
  Nov 30, 2021 305   @ NJIT L 70-75 45%     1 - 5 -10.8 -1.6 -9.3
  Dec 02, 2021 307   @ Lafayette W 74-67 45%     2 - 5 +1.2 +1.0 +0.5
  Dec 05, 2021 181   @ Brown L 66-79 20%     2 - 6 -11.2 -1.8 -9.9
  Dec 07, 2021 89   @ Rhode Island L 62-72 7%     2 - 7 -1.0 +5.0 -7.6
  Dec 13, 2021 337   @ Columbia W 79-69 58%     3 - 7 +0.8 +2.0 -1.0
  Dec 19, 2021 262   @ Umass Lowell L 62-70 34%     3 - 8 -10.8 -6.3 -5.1
  Dec 22, 2021 278   Hartford L 71-78 58%     3 - 9 -16.2 -9.6 -6.3
  Dec 29, 2021 235   LIU Brooklyn W 69-65 47%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -2.5 -8.3 +5.7
  Dec 31, 2021 227   @ Bryant L 82-85 27%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -3.7 +9.6 -13.3
  Jan 15, 2022 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-71 77%     5 - 10 2 - 1 -8.7 -6.9 -2.0
  Jan 17, 2022 343   Central Connecticut St. W 74-66 78%     6 - 10 3 - 1 -7.4 -4.4 -2.8
  Jan 21, 2022 282   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 23, 2022 301   @ St. Francis (PA) L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 27, 2022 328   St. Francis Brooklyn W 74-68 74%    
  Jan 29, 2022 289   Merrimack W 64-61 62%    
  Feb 03, 2022 235   @ LIU Brooklyn L 72-78 28%    
  Feb 05, 2022 328   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 10, 2022 227   Bryant L 76-77 47%    
  Feb 12, 2022 341   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-73 57%    
  Feb 17, 2022 127   Wagner L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 19, 2022 289   @ Merrimack L 62-64 41%    
  Feb 24, 2022 282   Mount St. Mary's W 66-64 60%    
  Feb 26, 2022 301   St. Francis (PA) W 73-70 65%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.4 4.1 1.4 0.1 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 7.2 7.1 2.1 0.1 18.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.6 9.4 7.8 1.8 0.1 21.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.9 8.5 7.1 1.1 0.0 18.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.4 0.8 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.5 4.3 0.7 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.0 7.0 12.7 17.4 19.4 17.0 12.5 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 80.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 37.9% 0.9    0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 15.8% 15.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.7% 17.8% 17.8% 15.6 0.1 0.1 0.5
13-5 2.5% 15.2% 15.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.1
12-6 7.0% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0 6.0
11-7 12.5% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 1.3 11.2
10-8 17.0% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 1.2 15.7
9-9 19.4% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.8 18.5
8-10 17.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 17.3
7-11 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.7
6-12 7.0% 7.0
5-13 3.0% 3.0
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 4.9 95.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%