LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#235
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#267
Pace79.0#10
Improvement+5.2#15

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#250
First Shot-2.4#257
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#203
Layup/Dunks+0.9#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#130
Freethrows-2.1#312
Improvement+2.7#39

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#213
First Shot+0.8#153
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#328
Layups/Dunks-1.4#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#263
Freethrows+1.5#82
Improvement+2.4#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.7% 19.1% 12.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 44.9% 64.4% 33.5%
.500 or above in Conference 91.0% 97.3% 87.4%
Conference Champion 16.6% 33.8% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four9.2% 9.8% 8.9%
First Round10.4% 14.3% 8.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Home) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 413 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 39   @ San Francisco L 64-98 6%     0 - 1 -20.9 -2.4 -18.0
  Nov 12, 2021 78   @ Fresno St. L 60-84 11%     0 - 2 -14.3 -10.4 -2.2
  Nov 17, 2021 18   @ Connecticut L 40-93 4%     0 - 3 -36.7 -28.1 -4.2
  Nov 23, 2021 205   @ St. Peter's L 62-64 33%     0 - 4 -1.5 -13.6 +12.4
  Nov 27, 2021 358   Delaware St. W 99-65 96%     1 - 4 +9.2 +7.4 -0.2
  Nov 30, 2021 146   @ Delaware L 67-75 24%     1 - 5 -4.5 -6.0 +1.5
  Dec 02, 2021 114   @ Towson L 63-72 16%     1 - 6 -2.4 -6.7 +4.0
  Dec 09, 2021 215   @ Fordham L 57-73 35%     1 - 7 -15.9 -8.6 -8.2
  Dec 19, 2021 266   Army W 90-65 65%     2 - 7 +17.0 +7.1 +8.0
  Dec 29, 2021 284   @ Sacred Heart L 65-69 53%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -8.6 -14.1 +5.6
  Dec 31, 2021 289   @ Merrimack L 77-82 54%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -10.0 +14.1 -24.7
  Jan 06, 2022 282   Mount St. Mary's W 74-57 70%     3 - 9 1 - 2 +7.5 -1.7 +9.1
  Jan 08, 2022 301   St. Francis (PA) W 75-70 OT 74%     4 - 9 2 - 2 -5.6 -10.2 +4.0
  Jan 15, 2022 343   Central Connecticut St. W 83-61 86%     5 - 9 3 - 2 +6.6 +1.5 +4.8
  Jan 17, 2022 328   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 80-65 67%     6 - 9 4 - 2 +6.5 -1.3 +7.0
  Jan 21, 2022 127   Wagner L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 23, 2022 341   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-75 68%    
  Jan 27, 2022 343   @ Central Connecticut St. W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 29, 2022 227   @ Bryant L 79-82 36%    
  Feb 03, 2022 284   Sacred Heart W 78-72 72%    
  Feb 05, 2022 127   @ Wagner L 69-78 18%    
  Feb 10, 2022 328   St. Francis Brooklyn W 80-70 83%    
  Feb 12, 2022 227   Bryant W 81-79 59%    
  Feb 17, 2022 301   @ St. Francis (PA) W 75-73 54%    
  Feb 19, 2022 282   @ Mount St. Mary's W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 24, 2022 289   Merrimack W 68-62 73%    
  Feb 26, 2022 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 83-72 84%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.9 5.4 2.1 0.3 16.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.5 7.1 12.3 7.1 1.2 29.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 9.1 11.3 4.4 0.4 27.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.5 6.4 1.8 0.1 14.8 4th
5th 0.4 2.9 3.0 0.7 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 1.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.8 11.1 17.6 20.5 19.4 13.4 6.6 2.1 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-3 100.0% 2.1    1.9 0.2
14-4 81.8% 5.4    3.7 1.7 0.0
13-5 44.3% 5.9    2.5 2.9 0.6 0.0
12-6 13.5% 2.6    0.5 1.2 0.9 0.1
11-7 1.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.6% 16.6 8.9 6.0 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.3% 52.5% 52.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
15-3 2.1% 34.0% 34.0% 15.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 1.4
14-4 6.6% 28.8% 28.8% 15.6 0.0 0.7 1.2 4.7
13-5 13.4% 21.6% 21.6% 15.8 0.0 0.5 2.4 10.5
12-6 19.4% 18.6% 18.6% 16.0 0.2 3.4 15.8
11-7 20.5% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0 0.0 3.0 17.4
10-8 17.6% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 1.6 16.0
9-9 11.1% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.6 10.5
8-10 5.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.8
7-11 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
6-12 0.6% 0.6
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.7% 14.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.9 12.6 85.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 14.3 6.0 59.5 34.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%