St. Francis Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#328
Expected Predictive Rating-15.7#343
Pace69.0#171
Improvement+1.0#124

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#316
First Shot-6.3#332
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#95
Layup/Dunks-2.2#266
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#235
Freethrows-1.8#305
Improvement+2.3#60

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#329
First Shot-7.6#351
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#50
Layups/Dunks-10.0#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#57
Freethrows-1.8#289
Improvement-1.2#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.7% 6.9% 1.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.6% 17.9% 47.3%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Away) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 46 - 147 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 25   @ Wisconsin L 58-81 2%     0 - 1 -7.7 -8.5 +1.2
  Nov 13, 2021 288   St. Thomas L 73-91 46%     0 - 2 -28.0 -12.1 -15.5
  Nov 18, 2021 56   @ Penn St. L 59-74 3%     0 - 3 -3.6 -3.5 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2021 92   @ St. John's L 70-76 4%     0 - 4 +2.8 -1.0 +3.9
  Nov 26, 2021 323   McNeese St. L 59-71 47%     0 - 5 -22.3 -19.0 -3.3
  Nov 27, 2021 272   N.C. A&T L 67-73 32%     0 - 6 -12.1 -8.2 -4.0
  Dec 01, 2021 215   @ Fordham L 46-68 15%     0 - 7 -21.9 -23.8 +2.2
  Dec 05, 2021 278   Hartford L 55-68 43%     0 - 8 -22.2 -26.2 +4.7
  Dec 08, 2021 205   @ St. Peter's W 71-60 14%     1 - 8 +11.5 +3.3 +8.2
  Dec 11, 2021 358   @ Delaware St. W 75-61 80%     2 - 8 -5.8 +3.9 -7.4
  Dec 29, 2021 289   @ Merrimack L 64-74 28%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -15.0 -1.5 -14.6
  Dec 31, 2021 343   Central Connecticut St. L 55-67 66%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -27.4 -20.2 -8.4
  Jan 06, 2022 301   St. Francis (PA) W 70-53 48%     3 - 10 1 - 2 +6.4 -3.7 +11.1
  Jan 08, 2022 282   Mount St. Mary's L 61-69 44%     3 - 11 1 - 3 -17.5 -9.8 -8.3
  Jan 15, 2022 127   @ Wagner L 76-81 7%     3 - 12 1 - 4 +0.0 +10.8 -11.1
  Jan 17, 2022 235   LIU Brooklyn L 65-80 33%     3 - 13 1 - 5 -21.5 -13.6 -7.2
  Jan 21, 2022 341   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 73-74 43%    
  Jan 23, 2022 227   @ Bryant L 71-81 16%    
  Jan 27, 2022 284   @ Sacred Heart L 68-74 26%    
  Jan 29, 2022 127   Wagner L 64-75 16%    
  Feb 03, 2022 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 05, 2022 284   Sacred Heart L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 10, 2022 235   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-80 17%    
  Feb 12, 2022 343   @ Central Connecticut St. L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 17, 2022 282   @ Mount St. Mary's L 61-68 26%    
  Feb 19, 2022 301   @ St. Francis (PA) L 68-73 29%    
  Feb 24, 2022 227   Bryant L 73-78 32%    
  Feb 26, 2022 289   Merrimack L 62-63 48%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.3 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 2.8 0.9 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 5.1 2.2 0.1 9.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 8.1 4.6 0.3 0.0 15.4 7th
8th 0.2 3.0 10.3 7.3 0.9 0.0 21.7 8th
9th 0.5 4.3 11.2 7.4 1.1 0.0 24.4 9th
10th 1.2 5.2 8.5 4.9 0.8 0.0 20.6 10th
Total 1.2 5.7 12.9 19.2 20.8 18.4 11.9 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.2% 21.0% 21.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.8% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.1 0.7
9-9 2.7% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.2 2.6
8-10 6.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.0
7-11 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.9
6-12 18.4% 18.4
5-13 20.8% 20.8
4-14 19.2% 19.2
3-15 12.9% 12.9
2-16 5.7% 5.7
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%