Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.2#341
Expected Predictive Rating-13.3#335
Pace74.3#59
Improvement+0.4#165

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#320
First Shot-3.8#288
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#301
Layup/Dunks-0.5#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#242
Freethrows+0.0#180
Improvement-0.9#238

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#340
First Shot-6.0#338
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#243
Layups/Dunks-5.6#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#131
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#129
Freethrows-2.4#314
Improvement+1.3#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 5.1% 8.2% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.9% 20.0% 49.7%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis Brooklyn (Home) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 45 - 105 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 23   @ Seton Hall L 49-93 1%     0 - 1 -28.6 -21.2 -3.4
  Nov 18, 2021 59   @ Northwestern L 46-82 3%     0 - 2 -25.0 -24.2 +0.4
  Nov 20, 2021 92   @ St. John's L 74-87 4%     0 - 3 -4.2 -1.3 -1.9
  Nov 24, 2021 305   @ NJIT L 54-62 27%     0 - 4 -13.8 -16.3 +2.1
  Nov 28, 2021 144   @ Princeton L 79-89 8%     0 - 5 -6.4 +4.4 -10.8
  Nov 30, 2021 267   @ Manhattan L 73-78 20%     0 - 6 -8.2 +2.4 -10.9
  Dec 02, 2021 158   @ Drexel L 65-86 9%     0 - 7 -18.2 -11.5 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2021 226   @ La Salle L 55-81 14%     0 - 8 -26.6 -15.6 -11.7
  Dec 15, 2021 219   Fairfield L 54-72 25%     0 - 9 -23.2 -19.7 -3.8
  Dec 18, 2021 67   @ Virginia L 49-82 3%     0 - 10 -22.5 -12.8 -12.9
  Dec 31, 2021 301   @ St. Francis (PA) W 70-62 26%     1 - 10 1 - 0 +2.4 -7.7 +9.8
  Jan 15, 2022 284   @ Sacred Heart L 71-77 23%     1 - 11 1 - 1 -10.6 -9.3 -1.1
  Jan 17, 2022 127   @ Wagner L 64-95 6%     1 - 12 1 - 2 -26.0 -10.3 -13.6
  Jan 21, 2022 328   St. Francis Brooklyn W 74-73 57%    
  Jan 23, 2022 235   LIU Brooklyn L 75-81 32%    
  Jan 27, 2022 282   Mount St. Mary's L 66-69 42%    
  Jan 29, 2022 343   Central Connecticut St. W 75-72 64%    
  Feb 03, 2022 328   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 05, 2022 343   @ Central Connecticut St. L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 10, 2022 301   St. Francis (PA) L 73-75 46%    
  Feb 12, 2022 284   Sacred Heart L 73-76 43%    
  Feb 17, 2022 289   @ Merrimack L 61-68 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 227   @ Bryant L 73-85 14%    
  Feb 24, 2022 127   Wagner L 66-78 14%    
  Feb 26, 2022 235   @ LIU Brooklyn L 72-83 16%    
Projected Record 5 - 20 5 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.5 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 3.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.9 5.8 2.6 0.2 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 8.4 5.0 0.4 16.0 7th
8th 0.1 3.1 10.5 7.1 0.9 0.0 21.7 8th
9th 0.2 3.4 9.9 7.3 1.0 0.0 21.7 9th
10th 1.0 4.8 8.3 4.8 0.8 0.0 19.7 10th
Total 1.0 4.9 11.9 17.8 20.7 18.4 13.1 7.0 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 87.5% 0.0    0.0
12-6 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.4% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
10-8 1.3% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.1 1.3
9-9 3.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.3
8-10 7.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.0
7-11 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 18.4% 18.4
5-13 20.7% 20.7
4-14 17.8% 17.8
3-15 11.9% 11.9
2-16 4.9% 4.9
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%