Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
5 Kentucky 100.0%   2   21 - 4 10 - 2 25 - 6 14 - 4 +20.0      +10.1 11 +9.8 6 67.4 224 +22.4 7 +22.4 3
7 Tennessee 100.0%   1   22 - 2 11 - 1 26 - 4 15 - 3 +19.5      +13.8 3 +5.6 39 69.1 180 +26.2 3 +26.3 2
14 Auburn 96.4%   7   16 - 8 6 - 6 20 - 10 10 - 8 +15.6      +9.5 14 +6.1 32 72.1 100 +12.1 35 +9.9 9
22 LSU 100.0%   3   21 - 4 11 - 1 25 - 6 15 - 3 +14.4      +10.3 9 +4.1 67 73.2 79 +20.6 9 +27.6 1
23 Mississippi St. 99.5%   7   18 - 7 6 - 6 22 - 9 10 - 8 +14.3      +8.9 16 +5.5 41 69.1 179 +14.6 29 +11.7 7
29 Florida 79.1%   10   14 - 11 6 - 6 17 - 14 9 - 9 +12.8      +3.4 82 +9.4 10 62.2 331 +10.6 50 +11.5 8
38 Mississippi 94.6%   8   18 - 7 8 - 4 21 - 10 11 - 7 +11.0      +6.6 31 +4.4 59 71.0 123 +13.9 30 +15.5 5
44 Alabama 65.5%   10   15 - 10 6 - 6 18 - 13 9 - 9 +9.5      +5.2 44 +4.3 61 71.3 117 +10.5 51 +11.8 6
58 Arkansas 13.1%   14 - 11 5 - 7 17 - 14 8 - 10 +7.9      +3.3 88 +4.7 53 76.1 41 +7.3 75 +7.2 10
74 South Carolina 15.9%   12 - 12 8 - 4 15 - 15 11 - 7 +6.7      +3.7 75 +3.0 92 76.1 42 +8.7 66 +17.5 4
85 Texas A&M 0.2%   10 - 14 3 - 9 12 - 18 5 - 13 +5.9      +2.5 105 +3.4 83 70.7 134 +3.7 123 +2.8 11
89 Missouri 0.7%   12 - 12 3 - 9 14 - 16 5 - 13 +5.8      +1.6 129 +4.2 63 64.5 298 +6.0 94 +2.2 12
113 Georgia 0.0%   10 - 15 1 - 11 12 - 19 3 - 15 +4.1      +2.8 95 +1.3 134 72.6 86 +1.9 142 -5.8 13
119 Vanderbilt 0.0%   9 - 16 0 - 12 10 - 21 1 - 17 +3.8      +1.3 136 +2.5 106 69.5 163 -0.8 178 -10.0 14






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Kentucky 2.0 30.4 37.6 30.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.6 58.8 23.7 16.9 0.6 0.0 0.0
Auburn 6.5 0.0 0.5 13.2 21.4 19.0 16.3 14.2 11.4 4.0 0.1 0.0
LSU 1.8 45.8 33.9 19.8 0.5 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 6.0 0.0 0.4 16.6 25.2 22.0 16.8 11.8 6.1 1.1 0.1 0.0
Florida 6.6 0.0 0.4 9.1 17.6 20.1 20.6 18.1 11.5 2.5 0.1 0.0
Mississippi 4.7 0.2 1.4 6.7 50.3 21.1 10.7 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.1
Alabama 7.2 0.0 0.2 8.6 13.3 14.1 15.8 17.6 20.0 9.8 0.6 0.0
Arkansas 9.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.2 6.4 11.0 21.6 47.7 7.3 1.0 0.0
South Carolina 5.2 0.0 0.4 3.2 40.0 23.3 14.7 9.4 6.0 2.8 0.3
Texas A&M 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 3.0 15.2 53.3 26.1 1.5 0.1
Missouri 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.3 43.8 43.0 4.2 0.1
Georgia 12.9 0.0 0.1 4.3 13.7 69.6 12.2
Vanderbilt 13.6 0.0 0.6 2.7 29.0 67.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kentucky 14 - 4 0.0 0.4 3.1 13.2 30.8 36.9 15.6
Tennessee 15 - 3 0.1 1.0 6.9 19.8 32.3 28.9 11.0
Auburn 10 - 8 0.3 3.2 13.1 28.0 32.6 18.7 4.0
LSU 15 - 3 0.1 1.9 9.8 24.9 33.2 23.2 6.8
Mississippi St. 10 - 8 0.1 1.2 7.4 24.3 39.3 23.3 4.4
Florida 9 - 9 0.3 3.3 14.7 31.8 32.7 14.9 2.3
Mississippi 11 - 7 1.2 8.6 23.0 31.5 24.1 9.9 1.7
Alabama 9 - 9 1.4 9.1 22.3 29.9 24.2 10.8 2.2
Arkansas 8 - 10 3.3 15.7 30.6 30.8 16.1 3.3 0.2
South Carolina 11 - 7 3.2 14.4 28.3 29.5 18.1 5.8 0.7
Texas A&M 5 - 13 4.4 19.1 32.8 28.3 12.5 2.7 0.2
Missouri 5 - 13 9.5 28.0 33.8 20.6 6.8 1.2 0.1
Georgia 3 - 15 15.3 34.2 30.9 14.6 4.2 0.7 0.0
Vanderbilt 1 - 17 20.1 37.0 28.5 11.6 2.5 0.3 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kentucky 30.4% 11.3 13.8 5.2 0.1
Tennessee 58.8% 36.0 17.5 5.2 0.1
Auburn
LSU 45.8% 22.8 17.7 5.2 0.1
Mississippi St.
Florida
Mississippi 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Alabama
Arkansas
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M
Missouri
Georgia
Vanderbilt


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kentucky 100.0% 34.8% 65.2% 2   34.3 48.6 14.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tennessee 100.0% 31.9% 68.1% 1   54.9 36.5 7.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Auburn 96.4% 8.6% 87.9% 7   0.0 0.3 0.8 3.1 7.6 18.6 25.8 21.1 10.5 4.9 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.6 96.1%
LSU 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 3   1.4 13.3 30.7 28.7 17.4 6.3 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Mississippi St. 99.5% 5.8% 93.7% 7   0.0 0.3 1.5 6.1 15.9 30.2 27.3 12.1 3.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.5 99.5%
Florida 79.1% 3.5% 75.6% 10   0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.9 6.3 13.3 18.9 19.4 12.8 4.9 0.8 0.0 20.9 78.3%
Mississippi 94.6% 3.3% 91.3% 8   0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 6.5 17.6 24.8 22.6 13.8 6.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.4 94.4%
Alabama 65.5% 0.9% 64.6% 10   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.5 9.6 17.1 16.7 12.0 4.7 0.9 0.0 34.5 65.2%
Arkansas 13.1% 0.3% 12.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.1 4.1 2.9 0.8 0.0 86.9 12.8%
South Carolina 15.9% 0.5% 15.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.7 5.4 3.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 84.1 15.5%
Texas A&M 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.1%
Missouri 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3 0.6%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.2% 75.0% 50.2% 27.5% 13.8% 6.5%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.6% 74.0% 49.2% 27.0% 13.0% 5.6%
Auburn 96.4% 2.6% 95.6% 66.4% 27.6% 12.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.6%
LSU 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 81.9% 44.2% 15.9% 5.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Mississippi St. 99.5% 0.5% 99.3% 67.2% 28.1% 10.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Florida 79.1% 13.2% 73.8% 39.1% 10.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Mississippi 94.6% 4.4% 92.4% 44.2% 9.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Alabama 65.5% 12.6% 58.9% 23.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas 13.1% 6.1% 9.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 15.9% 7.6% 11.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.7 0.2 5.8 34.3 48.5 10.7 0.5 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 7.4 0.0 0.5 10.4 41.9 41.2 5.8 0.2
2nd Round 100.0% 5.2 0.0 0.5 4.5 18.9 35.2 29.4 10.3 1.2 0.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.2% 2.8 0.8 8.9 30.8 37.7 17.7 3.7 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 87.6% 1.5 12.4 39.6 36.7 10.3 1.0 0.0
Final Four 59.1% 0.7 40.9 47.4 11.0 0.6 0.0
Final Game 30.5% 0.3 69.5 28.9 1.6
Champion 13.6% 0.1 86.4 13.6