Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Achievement Rating Conference Achievement Rating
7 Auburn 98.3%   2   7 - 1 0 - 0 24 - 6 14 - 4 +18.0      +10.8 6 +7.2 24 72.9 116 +21.7 11 0.0 1
9 Tennessee 97.5%   3   6 - 1 0 - 0 24 - 6 14 - 4 +17.7      +9.0 12 +8.7 8 68.1 231 +23.7 8 0.0 1
17 Mississippi St. 86.0%   5   8 - 1 0 - 0 23 - 8 11 - 7 +13.9      +6.6 31 +7.3 22 67.7 246 +18.3 20 0.0 1
18 Kentucky 74.7%   7   7 - 2 0 - 0 20 - 11 11 - 7 +13.6      +9.6 10 +4.0 71 70.3 167 +10.1 67 0.0 1
19 Florida 65.3%   11   5 - 4 0 - 0 19 - 12 11 - 7 +13.4      +4.1 73 +9.3 6 63.6 325 +8.9 78 0.0 1
51 LSU 41.2%   6 - 2 0 - 0 19 - 12 9 - 9 +9.5      +8.1 18 +1.5 127 69.0 206 +9.6 70 0.0 1
58 Arkansas 25.0%   6 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 13 9 - 9 +8.7      +4.4 64 +4.4 63 79.9 18 +7.9 84 0.0 1
62 Alabama 29.7%   6 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 15 8 - 10 +7.9      +3.6 82 +4.3 65 71.4 137 +8.1 82 0.0 1
65 Mississippi 20.3%   6 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 13 7 - 11 +7.4      +6.4 33 +1.0 136 72.9 112 +12.2 47 0.0 1
78 Vanderbilt 10.8%   6 - 2 0 - 0 15 - 16 7 - 11 +6.5      +4.4 62 +2.1 109 71.9 129 +6.9 99 0.0 1
82 Missouri 7.8%   6 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 15 7 - 11 +6.1      +3.0 99 +3.2 81 63.2 327 +8.0 83 0.0 1
89 Texas A&M 4.4%   3 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 17 7 - 11 +5.8      +2.7 102 +3.0 86 71.4 141 -3.0 203 0.0 1
111 Georgia 3.0%   5 - 3 0 - 0 13 - 18 6 - 12 +4.5      +0.8 150 +3.7 74 74.9 77 +2.2 148 0.0 1
118 South Carolina 1.0%   4 - 5 0 - 0 10 - 20 6 - 12 +3.8      -0.5 181 +4.3 64 79.2 27 -3.5 211 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Auburn 2.3 44.7 24.0 13.0 7.5 4.4 2.7 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 2.4 40.7 25.8 13.8 8.2 4.7 3.0 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 4.3 12.8 16.2 17.6 14.8 11.6 8.7 6.3 4.3 3.1 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2
Kentucky 5.0 8.8 11.6 14.0 14.0 12.8 10.8 8.5 6.5 4.8 3.4 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.4
Florida 4.7 9.5 13.9 16.1 15.0 12.6 9.9 7.7 5.3 3.8 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2
LSU 6.8 2.9 5.6 8.6 10.5 11.3 11.1 10.8 9.3 8.2 6.8 5.6 4.3 3.1 1.9
Arkansas 7.1 2.2 4.8 7.7 9.9 11.0 11.1 10.5 9.8 8.7 7.5 6.1 5.0 3.7 2.2
Alabama 8.3 1.0 2.3 4.2 6.0 7.7 9.0 10.1 10.6 10.5 10.1 9.4 8.2 6.6 4.4
Mississippi 8.6 0.9 2.1 3.7 5.5 7.2 8.3 9.5 10.0 10.6 10.1 9.7 8.9 7.9 5.8
Vanderbilt 9.6 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.4 4.8 6.1 7.5 8.6 10.0 10.8 11.6 11.9 11.6 9.7
Missouri 9.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.2 5.7 7.5 8.9 10.2 10.9 10.7 10.9 10.3 9.1 7.3
Texas A&M 9.3 0.5 1.4 2.6 4.0 5.8 7.1 8.5 9.5 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.6 9.8 8.6
Georgia 10.5 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 2.9 4.2 5.7 7.3 8.8 10.4 11.9 13.5 15.1 16.2
South Carolina 10.8 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.4 3.6 5.0 6.7 8.5 10.3 12.0 13.8 16.3 18.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Auburn 14 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.2 7.0 10.6 14.3 16.9 17.2 14.2 8.5 2.9
Tennessee 14 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.7 7.5 11.2 15.1 17.3 16.8 13.2 7.6 2.2
Mississippi St. 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.5 6.1 9.1 12.4 14.6 15.2 13.8 10.7 6.9 3.4 1.1 0.2
Kentucky 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.4 5.8 9.0 11.8 14.0 14.8 13.6 10.9 7.4 4.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
Florida 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.5 7.3 10.8 13.6 15.4 14.7 12.5 9.0 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.1
LSU 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 4.9 7.8 10.6 12.9 14.0 13.5 11.8 8.6 5.8 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
Arkansas 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.7 8.6 11.4 13.3 14.0 13.2 10.9 8.1 5.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Alabama 8 - 10 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.2 6.2 9.5 12.5 14.0 14.4 12.8 10.1 7.2 4.4 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 7 - 11 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.1 7.1 10.3 12.9 14.1 13.8 11.9 9.4 6.5 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 7 - 11 0.3 1.3 3.5 6.9 10.4 13.2 14.8 13.9 12.1 9.3 6.5 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Missouri 7 - 11 0.1 0.8 2.3 4.9 8.4 11.8 14.2 14.9 13.6 11.1 7.8 4.9 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 7 - 11 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.7 9.0 12.0 14.0 14.1 13.1 10.4 7.6 4.9 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Georgia 6 - 12 0.6 2.4 5.8 9.9 13.4 15.2 14.9 12.9 10.0 6.9 4.0 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 6 - 12 0.6 2.8 6.5 11.2 14.5 15.9 14.9 12.6 8.9 5.8 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Auburn 44.7% 31.3 10.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 40.7% 27.5 10.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 12.8% 7.0 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Kentucky 8.8% 4.7 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Florida 9.5% 4.9 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
LSU 2.9% 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arkansas 2.2% 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alabama 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 0.9% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Missouri 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Georgia 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Auburn 98.3% 30.5% 67.8% 2   23.7 24.5 17.1 11.1 7.6 5.3 3.5 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 97.6%
Tennessee 97.5% 28.7% 68.8% 3   19.2 21.3 16.6 11.6 9.0 6.7 4.8 3.6 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 96.5%
Mississippi St. 86.0% 11.0% 75.0% 5   3.2 8.5 10.9 11.8 11.1 10.0 8.8 7.5 6.1 4.0 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 14.0 84.2%
Kentucky 74.7% 9.7% 65.0% 7   1.4 4.0 6.8 8.4 8.7 9.3 8.5 8.0 6.9 5.7 4.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 25.3 72.0%
Florida 65.3% 9.7% 55.5% 11   0.6 1.6 3.6 4.6 5.8 7.2 7.7 8.3 7.8 7.8 6.6 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 34.7 61.5%
LSU 41.2% 2.9% 38.3% 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 2.9 3.9 4.7 5.6 6.1 6.1 5.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 58.8 39.5%
Arkansas 25.0% 2.2% 22.8% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.2 3.1 3.7 4.4 4.8 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 75.0 23.3%
Alabama 29.7% 1.3% 28.3% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.4 4.1 4.6 4.8 4.2 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 70.3 28.7%
Mississippi 20.3% 1.2% 19.2% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.6 3.8 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 79.7 19.4%
Vanderbilt 10.8% 0.8% 10.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.2 10.1%
Missouri 7.8% 0.7% 7.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.2 7.1%
Texas A&M 4.4% 0.7% 3.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.6 3.8%
Georgia 3.0% 0.3% 2.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 97.0 2.7%
South Carolina 1.0% 0.2% 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0 0.8%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Auburn 98.3% 0.4% 98.2% 86.7% 59.9% 36.2% 20.1% 10.6% 5.4%
Tennessee 97.5% 0.6% 97.2% 84.0% 56.6% 33.6% 18.5% 9.7% 4.9%
Mississippi St. 86.0% 2.6% 84.8% 60.8% 31.2% 14.2% 6.0% 2.4% 0.9%
Kentucky 74.7% 4.5% 72.8% 49.6% 24.2% 11.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.7%
Florida 65.3% 6.7% 62.6% 40.7% 18.6% 8.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6%
LSU 41.2% 5.7% 38.4% 20.0% 6.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Arkansas 25.0% 5.6% 22.3% 10.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alabama 29.7% 4.9% 27.1% 12.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mississippi 20.3% 4.5% 17.9% 8.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 10.8% 2.7% 9.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 7.8% 2.3% 6.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 4.4% 1.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 3.0% 1.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 1.0% 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 5.7 0.1 2.1 12.5 30.4 33.2 17.0 4.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 5.4 0.0 0.2 3.0 16.1 33.4 31.2 13.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 3.8 0.0 1.2 9.3 27.6 35.1 20.5 5.4 0.7 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 95.8% 2.1 4.2 23.4 39.5 25.3 6.8 0.8 0.0
Elite Eight 75.7% 1.1 24.3 46.4 24.5 4.5 0.3 0.0
Final Four 47.4% 0.5 52.6 40.1 6.9 0.3 0.0
Final Game 25.5% 0.3 74.5 24.3 1.2
Champion 12.7% 0.1 87.3 12.7