LSU
Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.3#23
Achievement Rating+20.5#9
Pace73.2#80
Improvement+4.1#31

Offense
Total Offense+10.3#9
First Shot+7.4#16
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#18
Layup/Dunks+6.7#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#271
Freethrows+4.2#3
Improvement+2.3#68

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#67
First Shot+4.2#55
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#200
Layups/Dunks+3.8#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#154
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement+1.9#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 1.4% 2.0% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 71.8% 80.7% 54.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Average Seed 3.8 3.5 4.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 45.2% 55.2% 25.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Second Round81.8% 84.2% 77.1%
Sweet Sixteen43.8% 46.3% 38.7%
Elite Eight15.7% 17.4% 12.3%
Final Four5.3% 5.8% 4.2%
Championship Game1.7% 2.0% 1.1%
National Champion0.5% 0.6% 0.3%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 66.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 258   SE Louisiana W 94-63 97%     1 - 0 +22.6 +18.5 +3.8
  Nov 09, 2018 115   UNC Greensboro W 97-91 89%     2 - 0 +7.2 +17.8 -11.1
  Nov 13, 2018 76   Memphis W 85-76 84%     3 - 0 +12.7 +10.4 +2.0
  Nov 16, 2018 141   Louisiana Tech W 74-67 91%     4 - 0 +6.2 +5.2 +1.3
  Nov 22, 2018 128   College of Charleston W 67-55 85%     5 - 0 +15.0 +1.1 +15.1
  Nov 23, 2018 19   Florida St. L 76-79 46%     5 - 1 +12.4 +8.3 +4.2
  Nov 25, 2018 89   Oklahoma St. L 77-90 80%     5 - 2 -7.5 +0.8 -7.5
  Dec 01, 2018 276   Grambling St. W 78-57 98%     6 - 2 +11.8 +2.2 +8.8
  Dec 09, 2018 337   Incarnate Word W 91-50 99%     7 - 2 +25.2 +6.4 +18.3
  Dec 12, 2018 21   @ Houston L 76-82 39%     7 - 3 +11.2 +5.2 +6.6
  Dec 15, 2018 49   St. Mary's W 78-74 69%     8 - 3 +13.3 +3.6 +9.6
  Dec 21, 2018 64   Furman W 75-57 82%     9 - 3 +22.5 +7.8 +15.1
  Dec 28, 2018 154   Louisiana Monroe W 81-69 93%     10 - 3 +9.9 +2.1 +7.7
  Jan 08, 2019 45   Alabama W 88-79 76%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +15.8 +13.9 +1.5
  Jan 12, 2019 59   @ Arkansas W 94-88 64%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +16.7 +12.6 +3.1
  Jan 15, 2019 39   @ Mississippi W 83-69 52%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +27.7 +12.9 +14.3
  Jan 19, 2019 72   South Carolina W 89-67 83%     14 - 3 4 - 0 +26.0 +7.1 +16.2
  Jan 23, 2019 111   Georgia W 92-82 88%     15 - 3 5 - 0 +11.3 +12.8 -2.1
  Jan 26, 2019 87   @ Missouri W 86-80 71%     16 - 3 6 - 0 +14.6 +5.6 +8.0
  Jan 30, 2019 86   @ Texas A&M W 72-57 71%     17 - 3 7 - 0 +23.6 +6.2 +17.9
  Feb 02, 2019 59   Arkansas L 89-90 80%     17 - 4 7 - 1 +4.2 +9.3 -4.9
  Feb 06, 2019 22   @ Mississippi St. W 92-88 39%     18 - 4 8 - 1 +21.1 +15.4 +5.2
  Feb 09, 2019 16   Auburn W 83-78 56%     19 - 4 9 - 1 +17.9 +10.7 +7.0
  Feb 12, 2019 5   @ Kentucky W 73-71 21%     20 - 4 10 - 1 +24.6 +16.7 +8.0
  Feb 16, 2019 111   @ Georgia W 83-79 76%     21 - 4 11 - 1 +10.8 +20.7 -9.6
  Feb 20, 2019 27   Florida W 71-67 66%    
  Feb 23, 2019 7   Tennessee L 80-82 42%    
  Feb 26, 2019 86   Texas A&M W 83-72 86%    
  Mar 02, 2019 45   @ Alabama W 79-77 57%    
  Mar 06, 2019 27   @ Florida L 69-70 44%    
  Mar 09, 2019 117   Vanderbilt W 83-70 89%    
Projected Record 24.8 - 6.2 14.8 - 3.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.9 15.1 21.5 6.7 45.2 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 13.7 17.0 1.3 34.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 8.2 9.6 0.8 20.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.2 1.9 10.3 25.2 32.9 22.8 6.7 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 6.7    6.7
16-2 94.1% 21.5    12.9 8.2 0.3
15-3 45.9% 15.1    3.1 8.1 4.0
14-4 7.7% 1.9    0.1 0.8 1.1 0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total 45.2% 45.2 22.8 17.1 5.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 6.7% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 2.3 1.0 3.3 2.1 0.3 0.0 100.0%
16-2 22.8% 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 3.0 0.4 6.3 10.3 4.8 1.0 0.1 100.0%
15-3 32.9% 100.0% 9.9% 90.1% 3.7 0.0 2.9 12.2 11.8 5.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 25.2% 100.0% 8.1% 91.9% 4.4 0.4 4.5 9.1 8.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 10.3% 100.0% 6.4% 93.6% 5.2 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.8 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.9% 100.0% 5.7% 94.3% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 0.2% 97.8% 97.8% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.8%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 10.1% 89.9% 3.8 1.4 12.8 29.6 28.0 18.4 7.3 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 100.0% 1.4 65.8 32.4 1.5 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.7% 100.0% 2.2 9.6 63.5 25.7 1.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6% 100.0% 2.5 1.9 53.6 39.6 4.1 0.8
Lose Out 0.1% 95.0% 8.5 15.0 40.0 20.0 15.0 5.0