Mississippi
Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#38
Achievement Rating+13.9#30
Pace71.0#123
Improvement+1.3#118

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#31
First Shot+5.7#38
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#102
Layup/Dunks+0.8#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#66
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
Freethrows+2.4#37
Improvement-1.0#238

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#59
First Shot+3.0#84
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#54
Layups/Dunks+3.3#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#136
Freethrows-0.7#230
Improvement+2.4#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.6% 97.3% 91.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 94.4% 97.2% 91.1%
Average Seed 8.4 8.1 8.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 98.8% 100.0% 97.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.4% 2.9% 6.1%
First Round92.4% 95.9% 88.2%
Second Round44.2% 47.6% 40.0%
Sweet Sixteen9.6% 11.1% 7.7%
Elite Eight3.2% 3.6% 2.6%
Final Four0.8% 0.9% 0.7%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 263   Western Michigan W 90-64 96%     1 - 0 +17.4 +9.5 +7.0
  Nov 16, 2018 46   @ Butler L 76-83 45%     1 - 1 +5.2 +8.7 -3.6
  Nov 20, 2018 322   Nicholls St. W 75-55 98%     2 - 1 +6.8 -7.6 +13.6
  Nov 23, 2018 33   Baylor W 78-70 47%     3 - 1 +19.7 +5.2 +14.0
  Nov 24, 2018 31   Cincinnati L 57-71 45%     3 - 2 -1.7 -2.3 -1.1
  Nov 28, 2018 103   San Diego W 93-86 80%     4 - 2 +9.0 +16.5 -7.9
  Dec 01, 2018 157   Louisiana Monroe W 83-60 89%     5 - 2 +20.5 +10.4 +11.7
  Dec 08, 2018 165   @ Illinois St. W 81-74 79%     6 - 2 +9.6 +8.7 +0.8
  Dec 12, 2018 242   SE Louisiana W 69-47 92%     7 - 2 +17.3 +5.7 +14.6
  Dec 16, 2018 292   Chattanooga W 90-70 96%     8 - 2 +9.9 +5.0 +3.7
  Dec 21, 2018 244   Middle Tennessee W 74-56 92%     9 - 2 +13.1 -1.1 +14.0
  Dec 29, 2018 230   Florida Gulf Coast W 87-57 94%     10 - 2 +23.0 +16.5 +8.3
  Jan 05, 2019 119   @ Vanderbilt W 81-71 67%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +16.5 +10.8 +5.6
  Jan 09, 2019 14   Auburn W 82-67 43%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +27.9 +8.6 +18.3
  Jan 12, 2019 23   @ Mississippi St. W 81-77 28%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +21.1 +14.4 +6.6
  Jan 15, 2019 22   LSU L 69-83 48%     13 - 3 3 - 1 -2.4 -3.6 +1.8
  Jan 19, 2019 58   Arkansas W 84-67 71%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +22.2 +12.2 +9.5
  Jan 22, 2019 44   @ Alabama L 53-74 45%     14 - 4 4 - 2 -8.7 -8.7 -2.1
  Jan 26, 2019 12   Iowa St. L 73-87 41%     14 - 5 -0.6 +4.4 -4.9
  Jan 30, 2019 29   @ Florida L 86-90 33%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +11.6 +15.3 -3.3
  Feb 02, 2019 23   Mississippi St. L 75-81 48%     14 - 7 4 - 4 +5.6 +4.8 +0.9
  Feb 06, 2019 85   Texas A&M W 75-71 77%     15 - 7 5 - 4 +7.2 +3.8 +3.4
  Feb 09, 2019 113   @ Georgia W 80-64 66%     16 - 7 6 - 4 +22.8 +10.1 +12.8
  Feb 13, 2019 14   @ Auburn W 60-55 24%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +23.4 +2.9 +21.2
  Feb 16, 2019 89   Missouri W 75-65 78%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +13.0 +7.5 +5.9
  Feb 19, 2019 74   @ South Carolina W 78-76 55%    
  Feb 23, 2019 113   Georgia W 81-71 83%    
  Feb 27, 2019 7   Tennessee L 75-81 30%    
  Mar 02, 2019 58   @ Arkansas W 77-76 50%    
  Mar 05, 2019 5   Kentucky L 70-76 29%    
  Mar 09, 2019 89   @ Missouri W 71-69 58%    
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 7.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.8 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 4.1 0.6 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 3.0 20.7 21.3 5.2 0.0 50.3 4th
5th 0.4 10.0 9.8 0.9 0.0 21.1 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 7.8 0.9 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 3.6 2.0 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.4 2.2 0.2 2.9 8th
9th 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 1.2 8.6 23.0 31.5 24.1 9.9 1.7 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 9.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 1.7% 100.0% 7.5% 92.5% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 9.9% 99.8% 5.3% 94.5% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 3.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-6 24.1% 99.2% 4.9% 94.3% 7.8 0.0 0.4 2.5 6.7 7.5 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.1%
11-7 31.5% 97.2% 3.4% 93.8% 8.5 0.0 0.1 1.1 5.2 9.3 8.7 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 97.1%
10-8 23.0% 92.9% 1.7% 91.3% 9.1 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 6.5 5.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.6 92.8%
9-9 8.6% 80.1% 0.6% 79.5% 9.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.7 80.0%
8-10 1.2% 24.1% 0.4% 23.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 23.7%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 94.6% 3.3% 91.3% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 6.5 17.6 24.8 22.6 13.8 6.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.4 94.4%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 3.3 14.5 49.2 26.6 9.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 100.0% 5.1 1.0 30.7 34.7 21.3 11.4 0.5 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6% 100.0% 5.7 1.1 10.6 31.9 34.1 19.1 3.0 0.2 0.2
Lose Out 0.7% 1.4% 12.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.1