Mississippi
Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#65
Achievement Rating+12.2#47
Pace72.9#113
Improvement-1.4#275

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#33
First Shot+8.4#9
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#279
Layup/Dunks+3.0#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#224
Freethrows+3.8#25
Improvement-0.3#200

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#137
First Shot-4.6#307
After Offensive Rebounds+5.6#1
Layups/Dunks+3.3#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#205
Freethrows-5.4#347
Improvement-1.0#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.3% 21.3% 9.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.3% 20.3% 9.2%
Average Seed 9.2 9.1 9.8
.500 or above 77.0% 79.1% 54.0%
.500 or above in Conference 35.4% 36.4% 25.0%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.5% 10.0% 16.4%
First Four4.7% 4.8% 3.0%
First Round17.9% 18.8% 8.1%
Second Round8.1% 8.6% 3.1%
Sweet Sixteen2.3% 2.5% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Neutral) - 91.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 223   Western Michigan W 90-64 90%     1 - 0 +19.4 +10.9 +7.7
  Nov 16, 2018 37   @ Butler L 76-83 25%     1 - 1 +7.6 +10.3 -2.7
  Nov 20, 2018 250   Nicholls St. W 75-55 92%     2 - 1 +11.8 -3.0 +14.0
  Nov 23, 2018 82   Baylor W 78-70 55%     3 - 1 +14.1 +4.7 +8.9
  Nov 24, 2018 26   Cincinnati L 57-71 30%     3 - 2 -1.1 -0.3 -2.6
  Nov 28, 2018 71   San Diego W 93-86 63%     4 - 2 +11.0 +16.8 -6.2
  Dec 01, 2018 202   Louisiana Monroe W 83-60 88%     5 - 2 +17.5 +13.1 +6.0
  Dec 08, 2018 150   @ Illinois St. W 81-74 64%     6 - 2 +10.7 +8.5 +2.1
  Dec 12, 2018 287   SE Louisiana W 79-65 92%    
  Dec 16, 2018 321   Chattanooga W 83-62 97%    
  Dec 21, 2018 254   Middle Tennessee W 79-66 88%    
  Dec 29, 2018 242   Florida Gulf Coast W 86-71 92%    
  Jan 05, 2019 76   @ Vanderbilt L 78-80 42%    
  Jan 09, 2019 9   Auburn L 76-84 24%    
  Jan 12, 2019 18   @ Mississippi St. L 70-79 19%    
  Jan 15, 2019 53   LSU W 80-79 54%    
  Jan 19, 2019 58   Arkansas W 83-81 57%    
  Jan 22, 2019 62   @ Alabama L 75-78 38%    
  Jan 26, 2019 22   Iowa St. L 77-80 40%    
  Jan 30, 2019 20   @ Florida L 66-75 21%    
  Feb 02, 2019 18   Mississippi St. L 73-76 38%    
  Feb 06, 2019 86   Texas A&M W 80-75 66%    
  Feb 09, 2019 111   @ Georgia L 77-78 50%    
  Feb 13, 2019 9   @ Auburn L 73-87 11%    
  Feb 16, 2019 81   Missouri W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 19, 2019 117   @ South Carolina W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 23, 2019 111   Georgia W 81-75 70%    
  Feb 27, 2019 11   Tennessee L 73-79 28%    
  Mar 02, 2019 58   @ Arkansas L 80-84 36%    
  Mar 05, 2019 16   Kentucky L 78-82 37%    
  Mar 09, 2019 81   @ Missouri L 71-73 44%    
Projected Record 17.6 - 13.4 7.5 - 10.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.3 0.6 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.7 1.2 0.1 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.3 5.6 2.2 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 5.5 3.5 0.3 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.7 0.7 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.9 1.4 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.2 2.0 0.2 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.0 6.9 10.2 12.9 14.4 13.8 12.1 9.3 6.5 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 94.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 92.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 70.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 33.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 99.1% 14.2% 84.9% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
15-3 0.4% 99.1% 13.4% 85.8% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
14-4 0.9% 96.8% 10.0% 86.7% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.4%
13-5 2.1% 93.3% 7.3% 86.0% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 92.8%
12-6 4.0% 82.4% 5.6% 76.8% 8.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 81.3%
11-7 6.5% 67.7% 3.4% 64.2% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 66.5%
10-8 9.3% 47.8% 1.6% 46.2% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.9 46.9%
9-9 12.1% 28.7% 1.1% 27.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.6 27.9%
8-10 13.8% 8.0% 0.8% 7.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 12.7 7.3%
7-11 14.4% 1.5% 0.3% 1.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.2 1.1%
6-12 12.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8 0.1%
5-13 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 10.2
4-14 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 6.9
3-15 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 4.0
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 20.3% 1.2% 19.1% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.6 3.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 79.7 19.3%