Missouri
Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#89
Achievement Rating+6.0#94
Pace64.5#298
Improvement-0.3#198

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#129
First Shot+0.2#174
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#75
Layup/Dunks-1.4#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#69
Freethrows-0.5#217
Improvement+0.2#184

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#63
First Shot+3.1#80
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#69
Layups/Dunks+5.1#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement-0.5#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 2.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 2.7% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.6 11.3 12.1
.500 or above 21.1% 48.2% 16.4%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.0% 1.3%
First Four0.4% 1.8% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Home) - 14.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 302   Central Arkansas W 68-55 93%     1 - 0 +2.2 -11.7 +13.7
  Nov 09, 2018 12   @ Iowa St. L 59-76 11%     1 - 1 +2.0 -6.6 +8.6
  Nov 16, 2018 341   Kennesaw St. W 55-52 96%     2 - 1 -10.9 -18.6 +7.9
  Nov 18, 2018 75   Oregon St. W 69-63 47%     3 - 1 +12.6 +1.2 +11.6
  Nov 19, 2018 25   Kansas St. L 67-82 24%     3 - 2 -1.7 +10.6 -13.8
  Nov 27, 2018 70   Temple L 77-79 56%     3 - 3 +2.2 +13.6 -11.6
  Dec 02, 2018 52   Central Florida W 64-62 48%     4 - 3 +8.4 +5.4 +3.3
  Dec 04, 2018 175   Texas Arlington W 65-45 81%     5 - 3 +16.7 -0.6 +19.0
  Dec 07, 2018 280   Oral Roberts W 80-64 92%     6 - 3 +6.5 +3.1 +4.1
  Dec 18, 2018 82   Xavier W 71-56 60%     7 - 3 +18.3 +0.7 +18.1
  Dec 22, 2018 56   Illinois W 79-63 41%     8 - 3 +24.2 +9.7 +14.3
  Dec 29, 2018 268   Morehead St. W 75-61 91%     9 - 3 +5.2 -2.0 +7.6
  Jan 08, 2019 7   Tennessee L 63-87 15%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -7.3 -3.9 -4.0
  Jan 13, 2019 74   @ South Carolina L 75-85 36%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -0.6 +6.3 -6.8
  Jan 16, 2019 44   Alabama L 60-70 46%     9 - 6 0 - 3 -3.2 -4.2 +0.0
  Jan 19, 2019 85   @ Texas A&M W 66-43 39%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +31.7 +5.5 +28.8
  Jan 23, 2019 58   @ Arkansas L 60-72 32%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -1.3 -7.8 +6.8
  Jan 26, 2019 22   LSU L 80-86 29%     10 - 8 1 - 5 +5.6 -2.3 +8.9
  Jan 30, 2019 14   @ Auburn L 58-92 12%     10 - 9 1 - 6 -15.6 -10.3 -3.5
  Feb 02, 2019 119   Vanderbilt W 77-67 68%     11 - 9 2 - 6 +11.0 +7.2 +4.1
  Feb 05, 2019 7   @ Tennessee L 60-72 7%     11 - 10 2 - 7 +10.2 -0.1 +9.2
  Feb 09, 2019 85   Texas A&M L 59-68 60%     11 - 11 2 - 8 -5.8 -5.7 -1.0
  Feb 12, 2019 58   Arkansas W 79-78 52%     12 - 11 3 - 8 +6.2 +12.8 -6.5
  Feb 16, 2019 38   @ Mississippi L 65-75 22%     12 - 12 3 - 9 +3.8 +0.1 +3.4
  Feb 19, 2019 5   Kentucky L 61-72 15%    
  Feb 23, 2019 29   @ Florida L 56-66 17%    
  Feb 26, 2019 23   @ Mississippi St. L 64-75 14%    
  Mar 02, 2019 74   South Carolina W 72-70 58%    
  Mar 06, 2019 113   @ Georgia L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 09, 2019 38   Mississippi L 69-71 42%    
Projected Record 13.9 - 16.1 4.9 - 13.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.3 3.2 3.5 0.3 7.3 10th
11th 0.3 6.1 19.4 15.3 2.6 0.0 43.8 11th
12th 6.5 20.4 13.9 2.1 0.0 43.0 12th
13th 2.7 1.4 0.1 4.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 9.5 28.0 33.8 20.6 6.8 1.2 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.1% 85.4% 85.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.4%
8-10 1.2% 27.5% 0.4% 27.1% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 27.2%
7-11 6.8% 3.0% 0.2% 2.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.6 2.8%
6-12 20.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.6 0.1%
5-13 33.8% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.7
4-14 28.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.0
3-15 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 9.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3 0.6%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.8%