IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
LSU
Southeastern
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.7	#46
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#181
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+7.6	#21

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.2	#107

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
#1 Seed	1.7%	1.8%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	4.5%	14.6%	3.9%
Top 4 Seed	14.0%	14.6%	3.9%
Top 6 Seed	27.4%	14.6%	3.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	52.4%	54.0%	23.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	50.3%	51.9%	22.4%
Average Seed	6.5	6.4	7.2

.500 or above	74.8%	76.6%	41.9%
.500 or above in Conference	56.0%	57.3%	33.6%
Conference Champion	4.5%	4.7%	1.0%
Last Place in Conference	5.3%	4.9%	13.0%

First Four	3.3%	3.4%	2.2%
First Round	50.5%	52.1%	22.0%
Second Round	30.4%	31.4%	10.6%
Sweet Sixteen	13.3%	13.9%	2.8%
Elite Eight	5.8%	6.0%	0.7%
Final Four	2.2%	2.3%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.8%	0.9%	0.0%
National Champion	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 94.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1.6 - 5.1	1.6 - 5.1
Quad 1b	2.1 - 2.7	3.7 - 7.8
Quad 2	4.7 - 3.0	8.4 - 10.8
Quad 3	5.5 - 1.4	13.9 - 12.2
Quad 4	4.6 - 0.2	18.6 - 12.4

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	236	SE Louisiana	W	79-65	95%
Nov 09, 2018	86	UNC Greensboro	W	72-68	75%
Nov 13, 2018	101	Memphis	W	77-71	78%
Nov 16, 2018	141	Louisiana Tech	W	78-70	85%
Nov 22, 2018	112	College of Charleston	W	73-67	71%
Nov 23, 2018	15	Florida St.	L	78-82	36%
Nov 25, 2018	74	Oklahoma St.	W	77-74	60%
Dec 01, 2018	296	Grambling St.	W	85-68	96%
Dec 09, 2018	330	Incarnate Word	W	86-65	98%
Dec 12, 2018	37	@ Houston	L	74-75	37%
Dec 15, 2018	59	St. Mary's	W	72-71	53%
Dec 21, 2018	123	Furman	W	79-72	79%
Dec 28, 2018	210	Louisiana Monroe	W	78-65	91%
Jan 08, 2019	39	Alabama	L	73-74	58%
Jan 12, 2019	94	@ Arkansas	W	80-75	55%
Jan 15, 2019	118	@ Mississippi	W	81-75	62%
Jan 19, 2019	61	South Carolina	W	73-72	63%
Jan 23, 2019	80	Georgia	W	71-67	72%
Jan 26, 2019	51	@ Missouri	W	72-71	41%
Jan 30, 2019	64	@ Texas A&M	W	76-74	45%
Feb 02, 2019	94	Arkansas	W	80-75	75%
Feb 06, 2019	21	@ Mississippi St.	L	72-76	29%
Feb 09, 2019	13	Auburn	L	78-83	44%
Feb 12, 2019	3	@ Kentucky	L	72-81	18%
Feb 16, 2019	80	@ Georgia	W	71-67	52%
Feb 20, 2019	16	Florida	L	71-75	47%
Feb 23, 2019	9	Tennessee	L	69-75	39%
Feb 26, 2019	64	Texas A&M	W	76-74	64%
Mar 02, 2019	39	@ Alabama	L	73-74	37%
Mar 06, 2019	16	@ Florida	L	71-75	28%
Mar 09, 2019	83	Vanderbilt	W	76-72	71%
Projected Record						18.6 - 12.4	9.0 - 9.0

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.5	1.3	1.3	0.8	0.4	0.1		4.5	1st
2nd												0.1	1.0	2.2	2.3	0.9	0.2	0.0			6.7	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.1	3.0	2.6	0.9	0.1					7.8	3rd
4th										0.0	1.2	3.7	3.5	0.8	0.0						9.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.5	4.1	0.8	0.0							9.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	3.2	4.2	1.4	0.1	0.0							9.3	6th
7th								0.2	2.2	4.4	1.8	0.1									8.6	7th
8th							0.1	1.5	4.6	2.5	0.4	0.0									9.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.9	3.4	3.2	0.4	0.0										8.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.6	2.8	3.6	0.6	0.0											7.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	2.2	3.0	1.2	0.1												6.7	11th
12th			0.0	0.3	1.5	2.5	1.3	0.2													5.6	12th
13th		0.0	0.4	1.1	1.8	1.1	0.2														4.7	13th
14th	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.1	0.4	0.1															3.0	14th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.4	2.5	3.9	6.4	8.2	10.0	11.1	11.3	11.2	10.6	8.4	6.2	4.5	2.3	1.0	0.4	0.1			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.8%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	79.9%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0
15-3	57.8%	1.3		0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-4	29.5%	1.3		0.5	0.5	0.3	0.0
13-5	8.6%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.5%	4.5		2.4	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	39.5%	60.5%	1.5		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
17-1	0.4%		100.0%	24.3%	75.7%	1.4		0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	1.0%		100.0%	21.5%	78.5%	1.9		0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-3	2.3%		100.0%	13.8%	86.2%	2.4		0.5	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
14-4	4.5%		100.0%	12.1%	87.9%	3.4		0.3	0.9	1.4	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0		100.0%
13-5	6.2%		99.3%	9.6%	89.7%	4.3		0.1	0.5	1.2	1.7	1.3	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.2%
12-6	8.4%		96.7%	5.2%	91.5%	5.6		0.0	0.1	0.7	1.4	1.9	1.8	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.3		96.5%
11-7	10.6%		92.3%	6.7%	85.6%	6.8			0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	2.5	1.7	1.4	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.0					0.8		91.8%
10-8	11.2%		80.5%	2.8%	77.7%	8.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	1.7	1.8	1.2	1.2	0.8	0.1	0.0				2.2		79.9%
9-9	11.3%		56.8%	2.9%	53.9%	9.0					0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.3	1.4	1.3	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0		4.9		55.5%
8-10	11.1%		29.9%	2.1%	27.8%	9.7						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0		7.8		28.4%
7-11	10.0%		8.3%	1.4%	6.9%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.2		7.0%
6-12	8.2%		3.0%	1.7%	1.3%	11.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.0		1.3%
5-13	6.4%		0.7%	0.1%	0.6%	10.9											0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.3		0.6%
4-14	3.9%		1.7%	1.7%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.9
3-15	2.5%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
2-16	1.4%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0															0.0			1.4
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		52.4%	4.2%	48.2%	6.5		1.7	2.8	4.3	5.2	6.4	7.0	5.7	5.8	4.6	4.2	3.4	0.9	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	47.6		50.3%