Preseason Rankings
Missouri
Southeastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#51
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.5#296
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#67
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#33
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.6% 8.8% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 8.6% 8.8% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 16.3% 8.8% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.8% 43.5% 17.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.0% 40.8% 13.9%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 9.4
.500 or above 75.0% 75.6% 50.6%
.500 or above in Conference 55.1% 55.6% 38.4%
Conference Champion 4.6% 4.7% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 5.3% 13.6%
First Four5.4% 5.4% 4.8%
First Round40.2% 40.9% 15.0%
Second Round23.1% 23.5% 7.5%
Sweet Sixteen9.8% 10.0% 1.9%
Elite Eight4.2% 4.3% 0.2%
Final Four1.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Championship Game0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Arkansas (Home) - 97.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.6 - 5.51.6 - 5.5
Quad 1b2.1 - 2.73.7 - 8.1
Quad 24.5 - 2.98.2 - 11.1
Quad 34.4 - 1.212.5 - 12.3
Quad 45.0 - 0.217.5 - 12.5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 303   Central Arkansas W 82-65 97%    
  Nov 09, 2018 30   @ Iowa St. L 70-72 32%    
  Nov 16, 2018 338   Kennesaw St. W 79-57 98%    
  Nov 18, 2018 82   Oregon St. W 69-65 63%    
  Nov 19, 2018 14   Kansas St. L 64-69 33%    
  Nov 27, 2018 72   Temple W 70-68 68%    
  Dec 02, 2018 55   Central Florida W 64-63 63%    
  Dec 04, 2018 256   Texas Arlington W 79-64 94%    
  Dec 07, 2018 283   Oral Roberts W 76-60 95%    
  Dec 18, 2018 44   Xavier L 72-73 59%    
  Dec 22, 2018 76   Illinois W 74-71 61%    
  Dec 29, 2018 224   Morehead St. W 76-63 92%    
  Jan 08, 2019 9   Tennessee L 64-71 38%    
  Jan 13, 2019 61   @ South Carolina W 68-67 42%    
  Jan 16, 2019 39   Alabama L 68-69 57%    
  Jan 19, 2019 64   @ Texas A&M W 70-69 45%    
  Jan 23, 2019 94   @ Arkansas W 73-69 56%    
  Jan 26, 2019 46   LSU L 71-72 59%    
  Jan 30, 2019 13   @ Auburn L 72-77 25%    
  Feb 02, 2019 83   Vanderbilt W 70-66 71%    
  Feb 05, 2019 9   @ Tennessee L 64-71 22%    
  Feb 09, 2019 64   Texas A&M W 70-69 65%    
  Feb 12, 2019 94   Arkansas W 73-69 74%    
  Feb 16, 2019 118   @ Mississippi W 75-69 61%    
  Feb 19, 2019 3   Kentucky L 67-76 32%    
  Feb 23, 2019 16   @ Florida L 66-70 27%    
  Feb 26, 2019 21   @ Mississippi St. L 67-71 29%    
  Mar 02, 2019 61   South Carolina W 68-67 61%    
  Mar 06, 2019 80   @ Georgia W 65-62 52%    
  Mar 09, 2019 118   Mississippi W 75-69 77%    
Projected Record 17.5 - 12.5 8.9 - 9.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.5 0.8 0.1 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.6 3.0 0.8 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.4 1.0 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.2 1.1 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 4.6 1.9 0.1 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.7 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.6 1.0 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.4 1.0 0.0 6.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.6 1.6 0.1 6.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.2 4.2 6.2 9.2 9.9 11.4 11.9 11.5 9.5 8.3 5.8 3.9 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.5% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 89.9% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
15-3 58.6% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 28.3% 1.1    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 7.4% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 62.6% 37.4% 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.3% 100.0% 17.7% 82.3% 2.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.4% 100.0% 19.9% 80.1% 3.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.9% 99.9% 15.4% 84.5% 4.3 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-5 5.8% 96.6% 9.1% 87.5% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 96.2%
12-6 8.3% 90.9% 7.2% 83.7% 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 90.2%
11-7 9.5% 82.1% 5.4% 76.7% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 81.1%
10-8 11.5% 60.7% 4.5% 56.2% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 58.9%
9-9 11.9% 37.2% 4.0% 33.2% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.5 34.6%
8-10 11.4% 15.6% 2.0% 13.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 14.0%
7-11 9.9% 4.1% 1.8% 2.3% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 2.4%
6-12 9.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.3%
5-13 6.2% 1.0% 1.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2
4-14 4.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-15 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-16 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-17 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 42.8% 4.7% 38.2% 7.3 1.0 1.6 2.9 3.1 3.5 4.2 4.8 4.9 4.8 5.2 4.7 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 57.2 40.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0