IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.2	#167
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.3	#300
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#215

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.4	#125

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.4%	1.6%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.1%	1.2%	0.1%
Average Seed	9.9	9.9	8.0

.500 or above	12.5%	13.5%	2.3%
.500 or above in Conference	2.2%	2.4%	0.8%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	53.8%	52.1%	70.8%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
First Round	1.2%	1.3%	0.0%
Second Round	0.5%	0.6%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 91.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.3 - 6.6	0.3 - 6.6
Quad 1b	0.5 - 4.3	0.9 - 10.8
Quad 2	1.3 - 4.8	2.2 - 15.7
Quad 3	1.8 - 2.5	4.0 - 18.2
Quad 4	7.4 - 1.5	11.4 - 19.6

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	329	Youngstown St.	W	77-66	91%
Nov 09, 2018	310	VMI	W	71-62	86%
Nov 12, 2018	192	Troy	W	69-68	66%
Nov 15, 2018	303	Central Arkansas	W	77-69	84%
Nov 17, 2018	340	North Alabama	W	72-59	93%
Nov 21, 2018	71	Saint Louis	L	59-67	26%
Nov 27, 2018	34	@ Iowa	L	68-79	11%
Nov 30, 2018	182	Duquesne	W	67-66	52%
Dec 03, 2018	268	Niagara	W	77-71	77%
Dec 08, 2018	11	@ West Virginia	L	62-77	5%
Dec 15, 2018	341	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	71-58	92%
Dec 20, 2018	292	New Orleans	W	68-61	81%
Dec 29, 2018	209	Colgate	W	68-65	69%
Jan 05, 2019	6	North Carolina	L	64-82	10%
Jan 09, 2019	54	Louisville	L	65-74	29%
Jan 12, 2019	38	@ North Carolina St.	L	68-79	12%
Jan 14, 2019	15	Florida St.	L	66-80	17%
Jan 19, 2019	12	@ Syracuse	L	55-70	6%
Jan 22, 2019	4	Duke	L	63-81	10%
Jan 26, 2019	54	@ Louisville	L	65-74	15%
Jan 29, 2019	18	@ Clemson	L	58-72	8%
Feb 02, 2019	12	Syracuse	L	55-70	15%
Feb 05, 2019	115	@ Wake Forest	L	68-72	29%
Feb 09, 2019	38	North Carolina St.	L	68-79	26%
Feb 12, 2019	78	@ Boston College	L	67-74	21%
Feb 16, 2019	20	Virginia Tech	L	64-78	19%
Feb 20, 2019	113	@ Georgia Tech	L	61-65	28%
Feb 27, 2019	18	Clemson	L	58-72	18%
Mar 02, 2019	2	@ Virginia	L	49-68	4%
Mar 05, 2019	23	@ Miami (FL)	L	61-74	9%
Mar 09, 2019	49	Notre Dame	L	61-71	29%
Projected Record						11.4 - 19.6	3.1 - 14.9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.0	0.1							0.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.1	4th
5th										0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0								0.4	5th
6th									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0								0.4	6th
7th								0.0	0.1	0.4	0.1	0.0									0.7	7th
8th							0.0	0.2	0.7	0.4	0.1										1.4	8th
9th						0.0	0.3	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0										2.1	9th
10th						0.2	1.1	1.7	0.4	0.0											3.3	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.5	2.4	0.9	0.1												5.1	11th
12th			0.0	0.6	2.6	3.9	1.9	0.3	0.0												9.3	12th
13th		0.1	1.2	4.5	5.4	2.6	0.5	0.0													14.3	13th
14th		2.9	7.8	7.6	3.9	0.7	0.0														22.9	14th
15th	10.6	14.8	10.1	3.6	0.7	0.0															39.8	15th

Total	10.6	17.7	19.2	16.3	12.8	9.0	6.1	4.0	2.2	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	3.6%	0.0			0.0
14-4	12.1%	0.0		0.0		0.0
13-5	1.2%	0.0			0.0		0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%		100.0%		100.0%	3.0				0.0																100.0%
14-4	0.0%		100.0%	3.0%	97.0%	3.2			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
13-5	0.1%		99.4%	0.6%	98.8%	4.9			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									0.0		99.4%
12-6	0.1%		85.8%	12.8%	73.1%	6.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		83.8%
11-7	0.3%		72.3%	4.7%	67.6%	8.9						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		70.9%
10-8	0.6%		50.7%	0.3%	50.4%	8.9						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.3		50.5%
9-9	1.1%		22.9%	1.5%	21.4%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0				0.9		21.7%
8-10	2.2%		6.6%	0.8%	5.8%	10.8							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				2.0		5.9%
7-11	4.0%		1.9%	0.8%	1.1%	11.8										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	3.9		1.2%
6-12	6.1%		0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	12.2											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.0		0.2%
5-13	9.0%		0.3%	0.3%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	8.9
4-14	12.8%		0.4%	0.4%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.8
3-15	16.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																0.0	0.0	16.3
2-16	19.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	19.2
1-17	17.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	17.6
0-18	10.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.5

Total	100%		1.4%	0.3%	1.1%	9.9			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	98.6		1.1%