Preseason Rankings
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#103
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.1#150
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#144
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#69
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.6% 15.1% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.7% 6.0% 1.0%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 12.7
.500 or above 72.3% 74.1% 46.0%
.500 or above in Conference 66.5% 67.6% 50.5%
Conference Champion 10.8% 11.3% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.8% 4.9%
First Four2.4% 2.5% 0.9%
First Round13.2% 13.7% 6.1%
Second Round4.4% 4.6% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 93.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.00.1 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.5 - 1.80.7 - 2.9
Quad 22.2 - 3.82.9 - 6.6
Quad 36.2 - 4.59.1 - 11.2
Quad 48.1 - 1.617.2 - 12.8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 315   Bryant W 82-69 94%    
  Nov 13, 2018 112   @ College of Charleston W 68-67 40%    
  Nov 16, 2018 77   Harvard L 66-69 51%    
  Nov 24, 2018 222   Stony Brook W 72-64 83%    
  Nov 28, 2018 207   Brown W 79-72 80%    
  Dec 01, 2018 47   @ Providence L 66-72 23%    
  Dec 08, 2018 206   @ Holy Cross W 68-61 62%    
  Dec 16, 2018 11   West Virginia L 67-78 17%    
  Dec 22, 2018 171   Bucknell W 76-72 64%    
  Dec 23, 2018 301   Charlotte W 81-69 85%    
  Dec 25, 2018 201   @ Hawaii W 72-66 61%    
  Dec 30, 2018 157   Middle Tennessee W 70-66 72%    
  Jan 06, 2019 71   @ Saint Louis L 65-68 30%    
  Jan 09, 2019 130   @ Richmond W 73-71 45%    
  Jan 13, 2019 129   George Mason W 73-72 64%    
  Jan 16, 2019 119   St. Bonaventure W 72-71 64%    
  Jan 19, 2019 166   @ La Salle W 74-70 53%    
  Jan 23, 2019 127   Virginia Commonwealth W 74-73 64%    
  Jan 27, 2019 154   @ Massachusetts W 73-69 51%    
  Jan 30, 2019 182   @ Duquesne W 72-67 57%    
  Feb 02, 2019 71   Saint Louis L 65-68 49%    
  Feb 06, 2019 88   @ Davidson L 68-69 36%    
  Feb 09, 2019 107   Dayton W 71-70 61%    
  Feb 16, 2019 267   Fordham W 71-61 86%    
  Feb 19, 2019 127   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 74-73 44%    
  Feb 22, 2019 88   Davidson L 68-69 56%    
  Feb 26, 2019 208   George Washington W 72-65 78%    
  Mar 01, 2019 107   @ Dayton W 71-70 40%    
  Mar 05, 2019 106   @ Saint Joseph's W 73-72 41%    
  Mar 09, 2019 154   Massachusetts W 73-69 70%    
Projected Record 17.2 - 12.8 9.9 - 8.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.8 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.2 10.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.1 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 4.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.7 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.1 3.6 0.6 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.0 0.9 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.3 1.8 0.1 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.2 0.6 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.8 1.0 0.1 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.3 1.3 0.0 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 1.2 0.2 4.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.7 4.4 5.9 8.1 10.2 11.2 11.5 11.2 10.0 8.9 6.1 4.1 2.3 1.0 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 98.7% 1.0    1.0 0.0
16-2 90.3% 2.1    1.7 0.4 0.0
15-3 77.2% 3.1    2.0 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.8% 2.8    1.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.4% 1.3    0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 6.1 3.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 75.0% 25.0% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.0% 92.7% 45.8% 46.9% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 86.6%
16-2 2.3% 77.1% 32.9% 44.2% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 65.9%
15-3 4.1% 60.7% 26.7% 34.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.6 46.4%
14-4 6.1% 38.9% 21.4% 17.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.7 22.3%
13-5 8.9% 26.3% 17.6% 8.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.6 10.5%
12-6 10.0% 13.5% 11.4% 2.1% 12.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.7 2.3%
11-7 11.2% 10.3% 9.3% 0.9% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.0 1.0%
10-8 11.5% 6.4% 6.1% 0.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.8 0.3%
9-9 11.2% 5.4% 5.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.6
8-10 10.2% 3.3% 3.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.9
7-11 8.1% 1.7% 1.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.0
6-12 5.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.8
5-13 4.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
4-14 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.6% 9.4% 5.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.9 3.4 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.3 85.4 5.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 2.2 40.0 20.0 19.3 20.7