Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#320
Achievement Rating-13.5#320
Pace60.8#347
Improvement+0.1#166

Offense
Total Offense-10.3#347
First Shot-13.9#353
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#23
Layup/Dunks-4.3#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#346
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#205
Freethrows-3.8#330
Improvement+0.8#110

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#158
First Shot+0.8#145
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#204
Layups/Dunks+4.9#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#172
Freethrows-4.0#331
Improvement-0.6#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.3% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.5% 6.9% 1.4%
.500 or above in Conference 14.7% 26.1% 14.3%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 40.0% 27.2% 40.4%
First Four0.7% 1.1% 0.7%
First Round0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 3.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 304   Elon L 56-62 55%     0 - 1 -17.1 -18.6 +1.1
  Nov 12, 2018 211   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 52-75 17%     0 - 2 -22.9 -15.7 -8.4
  Nov 16, 2018 188   Coastal Carolina W 55-53 21%     1 - 2 +0.5 -14.6 +15.3
  Nov 17, 2018 127   @ Northern Kentucky L 53-59 8%     1 - 3 +0.0 -12.4 +11.9
  Nov 18, 2018 344   UNC Asheville W 54-38 67%     2 - 3 +1.6 -10.5 +16.2
  Nov 24, 2018 279   @ George Washington L 43-70 27%     2 - 4 -30.6 -29.2 -2.5
  Dec 01, 2018 250   Fordham L 56-57 43%     2 - 5 -9.2 -8.2 -1.2
  Dec 05, 2018 165   Stony Brook L 62-69 26%     2 - 6 -10.2 -7.0 -3.8
  Dec 10, 2018 119   Hofstra L 50-80 16%     2 - 7 -29.2 -20.8 -11.8
  Dec 15, 2018 78   @ Connecticut L 56-75 3%    
  Dec 20, 2018 265   @ Albany L 57-64 26%    
  Dec 23, 2018 283   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 59-65 28%    
  Jan 03, 2019 247   Quinnipiac L 58-60 43%    
  Jan 05, 2019 261   Niagara L 64-65 45%    
  Jan 08, 2019 202   @ Marist L 54-64 17%    
  Jan 12, 2019 305   @ Monmouth L 57-62 33%    
  Jan 17, 2019 267   @ St. Peter's L 54-61 26%    
  Jan 19, 2019 125   @ Rider L 61-77 7%    
  Jan 21, 2019 202   Marist L 57-61 35%    
  Jan 26, 2019 270   @ Siena L 56-63 26%    
  Jan 31, 2019 245   Fairfield L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 02, 2019 267   St. Peter's L 57-58 47%    
  Feb 05, 2019 125   Rider L 64-74 18%    
  Feb 08, 2019 270   Siena L 59-60 47%    
  Feb 15, 2019 261   @ Niagara L 61-68 25%    
  Feb 17, 2019 227   @ Canisius L 56-65 22%    
  Feb 22, 2019 205   Iona L 64-68 35%    
  Feb 24, 2019 245   @ Fairfield L 61-69 24%    
  Mar 01, 2019 305   Monmouth W 60-59 54%    
  Mar 03, 2019 247   @ Quinnipiac L 55-63 24%    
Projected Record 8.3 - 21.7 5.7 - 12.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 2.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.6 0.4 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.3 1.2 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 4.1 6.4 2.4 0.1 13.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.8 7.3 3.3 0.3 0.0 19.0 10th
11th 0.7 2.8 5.9 8.5 7.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 28.4 11th
Total 0.7 2.8 6.2 10.5 13.8 14.9 14.4 12.5 9.5 6.5 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 89.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 61.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 33.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 11.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 10.6% 10.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 14.5% 14.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.5% 10.1% 10.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.1% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.1 1.1
11-7 2.2% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 2.1
10-8 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.2 3.9
9-9 6.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 6.4
8-10 9.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.4
7-11 12.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.4
6-12 14.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.4
5-13 14.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.9
4-14 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.8
3-15 10.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.5
2-16 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.2
1-17 2.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.8
0-18 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%