Dartmouth
Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#203
Achievement Rating-5.3#242
Pace66.1#256
Improvement+1.9#94

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#131
First Shot+2.8#89
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#265
Layup/Dunks+2.9#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#28
Freethrows-2.3#318
Improvement+1.1#124

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#280
First Shot-4.0#295
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#185
Layups/Dunks-9.0#353
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#13
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement+0.7#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 2.0% 9.1% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 3.6% 14.9% 1.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.1% 10.4% 28.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 1.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 14.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 79   @ Davidson L 76-79 14%     0 - 1 +6.0 +11.6 -5.7
  Nov 11, 2018 281   @ Loyola Maryland W 82-80 56%     1 - 1 -2.0 +10.1 -11.9
  Nov 21, 2018 28   @ Buffalo L 71-110 6%     1 - 2 -23.3 -5.2 -12.3
  Nov 24, 2018 61   @ San Francisco L 65-84 12%     1 - 3 -8.5 -3.0 -5.4
  Nov 29, 2018 235   Marist L 58-76 58%     1 - 4 -22.5 -14.3 -9.5
  Nov 30, 2018 293   Albany W 91-77 68%     2 - 4 +6.6 +16.4 -9.8
  Dec 05, 2018 211   Quinnipiac L 59-64 63%     2 - 5 -10.8 -18.6 +7.8
  Dec 08, 2018 314   Maine W 78-52 82%     3 - 5 +13.9 +9.2 +7.6
  Dec 10, 2018 255   Sacred Heart W 82-73 71%     4 - 5 +0.7 +0.4 +0.0
  Dec 13, 2018 232   Boston University W 78-68 68%     5 - 5 +2.8 +6.6 -2.9
  Dec 15, 2018 293   @ Albany W 61-52 58%     6 - 5 +4.4 -5.6 +11.0
  Dec 21, 2018 326   @ Bryant L 67-68 71%     6 - 6 -9.3 -10.3 +1.0
  Dec 30, 2018 347   New Hampshire W 76-68 92%     7 - 6 -10.0 +8.0 -17.1
  Jan 02, 2019 81   @ Vermont L 59-73 14%     7 - 7 -5.1 -8.2 +2.8
  Jan 12, 2019 117   Harvard W 81-63 36%     8 - 7 1 - 0 +19.1 +19.9 +1.2
  Jan 26, 2019 117   @ Harvard L 59-64 19%     8 - 8 1 - 1 +1.6 -1.5 +2.5
  Feb 01, 2019 154   Brown L 58-60 49%     8 - 9 1 - 2 -4.2 -9.8 +5.5
  Feb 02, 2019 88   Yale L 68-89 30%     8 - 10 1 - 3 -17.9 -0.3 -18.6
  Feb 08, 2019 210   Cornell L 80-83 63%     8 - 11 1 - 4 -8.7 +7.4 -16.2
  Feb 09, 2019 237   Columbia W 82-66 68%     9 - 11 2 - 4 +8.7 +7.6 +1.3
  Feb 15, 2019 132   @ Penn L 79-82 23%     9 - 12 2 - 5 +2.3 +6.5 -4.1
  Feb 16, 2019 164   @ Princeton L 68-69 31%     9 - 13 2 - 6 +1.6 +7.1 -5.7
  Feb 22, 2019 88   @ Yale L 70-81 14%    
  Feb 23, 2019 154   @ Brown L 69-75 29%    
  Mar 01, 2019 164   Princeton W 69-68 53%    
  Mar 02, 2019 132   Penn L 72-74 42%    
  Mar 08, 2019 237   @ Columbia L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 09, 2019 210   @ Cornell L 72-74 41%    
Projected Record 11.3 - 16.7 4.3 - 9.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 0.3 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 1.8 0.1 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 6.1 0.5 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 2.1 11.7 3.7 0.0 17.6 6th
7th 2.1 16.3 27.4 12.0 0.3 58.2 7th
8th 4.5 5.2 1.3 0.0 11.0 8th
Total 6.6 21.6 30.8 25.4 12.1 3.2 0.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.4% 16.8% 16.8% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
7-7 3.2% 8.6% 8.6% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.9
6-8 12.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.1 0.1 11.9
5-9 25.4% 25.4
4-10 30.8% 30.8
3-11 21.6% 21.6
2-12 6.6% 6.6
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 87.5% 14.4 2.8 48.6 36.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 6.6%