Ohio
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#152
Achievement Rating+3.0#136
Pace79.4#22
Improvement+3.3#12

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#238
First Shot-3.2#267
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#97
Layup/Dunks+5.2#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.8#340
Freethrows+1.1#115
Improvement+2.6#18

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#90
First Shot+2.4#100
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#154
Layups/Dunks+1.7#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#218
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement+0.7#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.5 12.3 13.0
.500 or above 53.4% 61.4% 35.3%
.500 or above in Conference 44.2% 48.2% 35.3%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 7.7% 12.5%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round2.8% 3.2% 1.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Away) - 69.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 243   Campbell W 81-73 79%     1 - 0 +0.0 +1.4 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2018 192   South Florida L 46-73 60%     1 - 1 -28.9 -29.4 +2.8
  Nov 18, 2018 134   Loyola Marymount L 56-65 43%     1 - 2 -6.6 -13.7 +6.9
  Nov 24, 2018 196   Austin Peay W 85-82 71%     2 - 2 -2.0 -6.1 +3.5
  Nov 27, 2018 203   Iona W 89-65 72%     3 - 2 +18.4 +0.9 +14.4
  Dec 01, 2018 130   Marshall W 101-84 53%     4 - 2 +16.8 +8.7 +4.7
  Dec 05, 2018 57   @ Xavier L 61-82 15%     4 - 3 -9.2 -7.0 -2.8
  Dec 08, 2018 132   Radford W 78-69 54%     5 - 3 +8.6 +1.2 +7.1
  Dec 15, 2018 303   @ Detroit Mercy W 82-77 69%    
  Dec 20, 2018 19   @ Purdue L 66-82 7%    
  Dec 30, 2018 229   Florida International W 92-84 76%    
  Jan 05, 2019 162   Northern Illinois W 78-74 63%    
  Jan 08, 2019 202   @ Bowling Green W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 12, 2019 103   @ Ball St. L 74-81 25%    
  Jan 15, 2019 143   Kent St. W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 18, 2019 76   @ Toledo L 71-80 21%    
  Jan 22, 2019 223   Western Michigan W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 26, 2019 103   Ball St. L 77-78 46%    
  Jan 29, 2019 162   @ Northern Illinois L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 02, 2019 131   Akron W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 09, 2019 151   @ Miami (OH) L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 12, 2019 183   Eastern Michigan W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 16, 2019 173   @ Central Michigan L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 19, 2019 23   @ Buffalo L 73-88 9%    
  Feb 23, 2019 202   Bowling Green W 79-73 71%    
  Feb 26, 2019 143   @ Kent St. L 74-78 36%    
  Mar 02, 2019 131   @ Akron L 68-73 33%    
  Mar 05, 2019 23   Buffalo L 76-85 21%    
  Mar 08, 2019 151   Miami (OH) W 76-73 60%    
Projected Record 14.7 - 14.3 8.1 - 9.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.2 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.5 4.5 1.2 0.1 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.1 5.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.9 6.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.6 2.9 0.2 10.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.6 3.5 0.4 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 3.5 0.7 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.8 0.8 0.0 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.0 4.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.0 8.1 11.1 13.1 14.3 13.4 11.4 8.4 5.5 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 63.5% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 31.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 71.4% 14.3% 57.1% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7%
16-2 0.2% 56.6% 22.0% 34.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 44.4%
15-3 0.6% 36.0% 17.3% 18.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 22.7%
14-4 1.6% 25.8% 15.0% 10.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 12.8%
13-5 3.2% 13.6% 9.8% 3.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.7 4.3%
12-6 5.5% 8.2% 7.1% 1.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.2%
11-7 8.4% 5.5% 5.2% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.0 0.3%
10-8 11.4% 3.4% 3.3% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.0 0.0%
9-9 13.4% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.1 0.0%
8-10 14.3% 1.1% 1.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.2
7-11 13.1% 0.8% 0.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.0
6-12 11.1% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.1
4-14 5.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.0
3-15 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-16 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 2.5% 0.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 96.9 0.6%