Purdue
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.3#19
Achievement Rating+11.0#59
Pace66.8#257
Improvement-2.8#330

Offense
Total Offense+8.7#15
First Shot+5.1#47
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#25
Layup/Dunks+0.4#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#5
Freethrows-0.6#207
Improvement-2.1#320

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#59
First Shot+2.7#93
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#53
Layups/Dunks+5.0#28
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#310
Freethrows+1.5#102
Improvement-0.6#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 1.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 26.5% 31.8% 16.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 76.9% 81.7% 67.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 75.5% 80.5% 66.0%
Average Seed 6.0 5.7 6.7
.500 or above 83.8% 89.5% 72.7%
.500 or above in Conference 68.5% 71.9% 61.8%
Conference Champion 3.7% 4.3% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.9% 1.6%
First Four4.1% 3.8% 4.7%
First Round75.2% 80.2% 65.4%
Second Round51.9% 56.9% 41.9%
Sweet Sixteen25.3% 28.8% 18.4%
Elite Eight11.0% 12.7% 7.6%
Final Four4.6% 5.3% 3.1%
Championship Game1.8% 2.2% 1.2%
National Champion0.7% 0.8% 0.5%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Neutral) - 66.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 246   Fairfield W 90-57 97%     1 - 0 +24.9 +16.5 +10.3
  Nov 10, 2018 103   Ball St. W 84-75 86%     2 - 0 +10.8 +9.4 +1.4
  Nov 15, 2018 180   Appalachian St. W 92-70 91%     3 - 0 +20.6 +14.1 +6.1
  Nov 16, 2018 82   Davidson W 79-58 75%     4 - 0 +27.4 +14.9 +14.3
  Nov 18, 2018 11   Virginia Tech L 83-89 36%     4 - 1 +11.1 +17.6 -6.5
  Nov 23, 2018 282   Robert Morris W 84-46 97%     5 - 1 +28.2 +11.8 +17.7
  Nov 28, 2018 15   @ Florida St. L 72-73 35%     5 - 2 +16.2 +5.5 +10.8
  Dec 01, 2018 3   @ Michigan L 57-76 21%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +2.9 +4.0 -3.6
  Dec 06, 2018 30   Maryland W 62-60 65%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +11.5 -0.8 +12.5
  Dec 09, 2018 42   @ Texas L 68-72 50%     6 - 4 +9.3 +9.9 -0.8
  Dec 15, 2018 55   Notre Dame W 72-68 66%    
  Dec 20, 2018 152   Ohio W 82-66 93%    
  Dec 29, 2018 86   Belmont W 85-75 84%    
  Jan 03, 2019 39   Iowa W 81-76 68%    
  Jan 08, 2019 5   @ Michigan St. L 71-79 23%    
  Jan 11, 2019 13   @ Wisconsin L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 15, 2019 99   Rutgers W 73-62 84%    
  Jan 19, 2019 22   Indiana W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 23, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 27, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 31, 2019 54   @ Penn St. W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 03, 2019 60   Minnesota W 77-69 77%    
  Feb 09, 2019 16   Nebraska W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 12, 2019 30   @ Maryland L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 16, 2019 54   Penn St. W 72-65 74%    
  Feb 19, 2019 22   @ Indiana L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 23, 2019 16   @ Nebraska L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 27, 2019 91   Illinois W 81-70 83%    
  Mar 02, 2019 14   Ohio St. W 71-69 56%    
  Mar 05, 2019 60   @ Minnesota W 74-72 58%    
  Mar 09, 2019 48   @ Northwestern W 70-69 52%    
Projected Record 18.2 - 12.8 10.8 - 9.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.0 3.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.5 4.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.5 5.2 1.5 0.1 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.7 2.0 0.1 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.8 0.8 0.0 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 0.8 0.1 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.7 8.7 11.6 13.8 14.5 13.3 11.0 7.7 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 93.8% 0.0    0.0
18-2 89.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
17-3 74.9% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 50.0% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 22.5% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 31.3% 68.8% 1.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 22.6% 77.4% 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.9% 100.0% 24.8% 75.2% 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.4% 100.0% 19.9% 80.1% 2.1 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.7% 100.0% 16.4% 83.6% 2.7 0.2 1.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 7.7% 99.9% 13.9% 85.9% 3.4 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 11.0% 99.6% 10.0% 89.6% 4.4 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.8 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-8 13.3% 98.3% 6.7% 91.6% 5.4 0.0 0.8 3.0 3.7 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 98.2%
11-9 14.5% 95.6% 3.8% 91.7% 6.5 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.5 3.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 95.4%
10-10 13.8% 88.6% 2.2% 86.3% 7.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 2.6 2.9 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 88.3%
9-11 11.6% 65.8% 2.0% 63.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 65.1%
8-12 8.7% 31.6% 1.4% 30.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.0 30.6%
7-13 5.7% 8.3% 0.5% 7.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.2 7.9%
6-14 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 1.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 1.0%
5-15 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.1%
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 76.9% 5.9% 71.1% 6.0 1.4 5.1 9.2 10.9 10.4 9.9 8.1 6.9 5.1 4.1 3.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 23.1 75.5%