USC
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#92
Achievement Rating+3.0#139
Pace75.2#71
Improvement-3.4#343

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#89
First Shot+3.7#72
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#184
Layup/Dunks+3.4#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows-2.0#275
Improvement-2.7#341

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#104
First Shot+4.2#52
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#296
Layups/Dunks+1.8#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#154
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
Freethrows+1.4#112
Improvement-0.7#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 15.2% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.1% 11.3% 3.1%
Average Seed 10.5 10.0 10.9
.500 or above 58.7% 76.5% 52.8%
.500 or above in Conference 46.3% 55.3% 43.3%
Conference Champion 3.0% 4.6% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 4.0% 6.8%
First Four2.1% 3.9% 1.5%
First Round6.8% 13.0% 4.8%
Second Round2.5% 5.3% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Neutral) - 24.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 281   Robert Morris W 83-62 92%     1 - 0 +11.3 +3.0 +7.0
  Nov 11, 2018 76   Vanderbilt L 78-82 58%     1 - 1 -0.5 -1.2 +1.1
  Nov 14, 2018 338   Stetson W 95-59 97%     2 - 1 +20.4 +5.3 +11.8
  Nov 19, 2018 12   Texas Tech L 63-78 17%     2 - 2 +0.6 -0.6 +1.6
  Nov 20, 2018 194   Missouri St. W 99-80 77%     3 - 2 +17.0 +19.7 -3.5
  Nov 25, 2018 211   Cal St. Bakersfield W 90-75 86%     4 - 2 +9.1 +12.8 -4.3
  Nov 28, 2018 195   Long Beach St. W 75-65 84%     5 - 2 +5.0 -2.3 +6.9
  Dec 01, 2018 6   Nevada L 61-73 18%     5 - 3 +3.3 -8.0 +11.3
  Dec 07, 2018 30   TCU L 61-96 26%     5 - 4 -22.5 -13.0 -5.1
  Dec 15, 2018 25   Oklahoma L 75-82 25%    
  Dec 18, 2018 272   @ Santa Clara W 78-69 79%    
  Dec 21, 2018 253   Southern Utah W 86-72 90%    
  Dec 30, 2018 222   UC Davis W 74-62 87%    
  Jan 03, 2019 177   California W 80-70 82%    
  Jan 06, 2019 97   Stanford W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 10, 2019 64   @ Oregon St. L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 13, 2019 35   @ Oregon L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 19, 2019 43   UCLA L 78-80 44%    
  Jan 24, 2019 40   Arizona L 74-76 41%    
  Jan 26, 2019 36   Arizona St. L 78-81 39%    
  Jan 30, 2019 44   @ Washington L 71-78 25%    
  Feb 02, 2019 161   @ Washington St. W 82-79 59%    
  Feb 06, 2019 133   Utah W 77-71 71%    
  Feb 09, 2019 59   Colorado W 79-78 50%    
  Feb 13, 2019 97   @ Stanford L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 16, 2019 177   @ California W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 21, 2019 35   Oregon L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 23, 2019 64   Oregon St. W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 28, 2019 43   @ UCLA L 75-83 25%    
  Mar 07, 2019 133   @ Utah W 75-74 50%    
  Mar 09, 2019 59   @ Colorado L 75-81 30%    
Projected Record 16.1 - 14.9 8.3 - 9.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 4.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.6 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.7 4.3 0.6 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.5 4.9 1.0 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.6 4.6 1.2 0.1 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.0 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.8 7.7 10.5 13.0 14.0 13.5 11.6 8.9 5.9 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 84.4% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 55.7% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.0% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 96.6% 37.3% 59.3% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.6%
16-2 0.3% 89.8% 21.6% 68.2% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.0%
15-3 0.7% 80.4% 16.6% 63.8% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 76.5%
14-4 1.8% 63.5% 15.9% 47.6% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 56.6%
13-5 3.5% 46.7% 11.6% 35.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 39.7%
12-6 5.9% 27.0% 8.7% 18.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.3 20.1%
11-7 8.9% 13.9% 5.6% 8.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.7 8.7%
10-8 11.6% 6.5% 3.9% 2.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.8 2.7%
9-9 13.5% 2.6% 2.0% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.1 0.6%
8-10 14.0% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.8 0.0%
7-11 13.0% 0.8% 0.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
6-12 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 7.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 7.7
4-14 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-15 2.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.0% 3.0% 5.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 92.0 5.1%