Illinois
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#91
Achievement Rating-1.0#185
Pace74.7#85
Improvement-2.0#306

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#93
First Shot+3.4#77
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#177
Layup/Dunks+2.5#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#122
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement-1.4#292

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#94
First Shot+3.5#66
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#241
Layups/Dunks+2.2#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#56
Freethrows-2.8#311
Improvement-0.6#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.8% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.1% 2.6% 0.7%
Average Seed 10.3 10.3 10.9
.500 or above 3.9% 5.0% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 5.3% 6.1% 3.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.9% 34.4% 42.6%
First Four0.9% 1.1% 0.4%
First Round1.8% 2.3% 0.6%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Home) - 69.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 176   Evansville W 99-60 82%     1 - 0 +34.8 +12.7 +17.1
  Nov 13, 2018 87   Georgetown L 80-88 61%     1 - 1 -5.1 -2.0 -2.2
  Nov 19, 2018 2   Gonzaga L 78-84 11%     1 - 2 +13.1 +1.8 +11.9
  Nov 20, 2018 21   Iowa St. L 68-84 23%     1 - 3 -2.7 +3.6 -6.9
  Nov 21, 2018 57   Xavier L 74-83 38%     1 - 4 -0.2 +0.2 -0.1
  Nov 25, 2018 346   Mississippi Valley W 86-67 98%     2 - 4 +0.0 +7.0 -6.4
  Nov 27, 2018 56   @ Notre Dame L 74-76 28%     2 - 5 +9.9 +5.6 +4.3
  Dec 02, 2018 16   @ Nebraska L 60-75 14%     2 - 6 0 - 1 +2.2 -2.4 +3.8
  Dec 05, 2018 14   Ohio St. L 67-77 28%     2 - 7 0 - 2 +1.6 -4.0 +6.3
  Dec 08, 2018 136   UNLV W 77-74 73%     3 - 7 +2.3 -2.6 +4.5
  Dec 15, 2018 126   East Tennessee St. W 74-68 70%    
  Dec 22, 2018 83   Missouri L 70-71 48%    
  Dec 29, 2018 209   Florida Atlantic W 81-69 86%    
  Jan 03, 2019 23   @ Indiana L 70-80 17%    
  Jan 06, 2019 48   @ Northwestern L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 10, 2019 3   Michigan L 63-73 17%    
  Jan 16, 2019 60   Minnesota W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 20, 2019 39   @ Iowa L 77-85 22%    
  Jan 23, 2019 13   Wisconsin L 65-71 28%    
  Jan 26, 2019 30   Maryland L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 30, 2019 60   @ Minnesota L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 02, 2019 16   Nebraska L 73-78 31%    
  Feb 05, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 72-82 19%    
  Feb 09, 2019 98   Rutgers W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 14, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 66-78 14%    
  Feb 18, 2019 13   @ Wisconsin L 62-74 13%    
  Feb 23, 2019 54   Penn St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 27, 2019 20   @ Purdue L 70-81 17%    
  Mar 03, 2019 48   Northwestern L 72-73 46%    
  Mar 07, 2019 23   Indiana L 73-77 35%    
  Mar 10, 2019 54   @ Penn St. L 67-73 28%    
Projected Record 10.4 - 20.6 5.3 - 14.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.4 0.9 0.0 11.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.1 6.0 1.8 0.1 16.2 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 4.4 8.1 7.1 2.4 0.2 0.0 23.3 13th
14th 0.8 3.3 6.4 7.7 5.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 25.1 14th
Total 0.8 3.5 7.6 12.3 15.3 16.1 14.5 11.6 8.1 5.1 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 31.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 96.1% 6.5% 89.6% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.8%
13-7 0.2% 85.5% 5.3% 80.3% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.7%
12-8 0.7% 61.5% 2.1% 59.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 60.7%
11-9 1.4% 41.3% 0.9% 40.4% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 40.7%
10-10 2.9% 21.3% 0.9% 20.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 20.6%
9-11 5.1% 4.2% 0.5% 3.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.8 3.7%
8-12 8.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.3%
7-13 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.0%
6-14 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 14.5
5-15 16.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1
4-16 15.3% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 15.3
3-17 12.3% 12.3
2-18 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.6
1-19 3.5% 3.5
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.2% 0.2% 2.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.8 2.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%