Illinois
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#58
Achievement Rating+6.4#85
Pace76.0#42
Improvement+4.6#25

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#74
First Shot+2.7#97
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#93
Layup/Dunks+2.6#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#131
Freethrows-0.2#187
Improvement+3.1#44

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#61
First Shot+4.4#51
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks+1.4#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#214
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#9
Freethrows-2.5#320
Improvement+1.4#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 15.2% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.4% 14.8% 2.6%
Average Seed 10.3 10.0 10.6
.500 or above 0.8% 3.8% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 19.5% 48.7% 14.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.0% 0.9%
First Four1.7% 4.5% 1.2%
First Round3.9% 13.0% 2.2%
Second Round1.3% 4.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 15.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 203   Evansville W 99-60 89%     1 - 0 +33.8 +13.2 +15.6
  Nov 13, 2018 66   Georgetown L 80-88 63%     1 - 1 -3.5 -2.3 -0.2
  Nov 19, 2018 2   Gonzaga L 78-84 8%     1 - 2 +18.0 +5.2 +13.5
  Nov 20, 2018 12   Iowa St. L 68-84 22%     1 - 3 +0.2 +4.1 -4.6
  Nov 21, 2018 82   Xavier L 74-83 57%     1 - 4 -2.9 -0.3 -2.2
  Nov 25, 2018 350   Mississippi Valley W 86-67 99%     2 - 4 -2.5 +7.5 -9.2
  Nov 27, 2018 65   @ Notre Dame L 74-76 43%     2 - 5 +7.9 +4.1 +3.8
  Dec 02, 2018 36   @ Nebraska L 60-75 28%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -0.9 -2.0 +0.4
  Dec 05, 2018 40   Ohio St. L 67-77 49%     2 - 7 0 - 2 -1.8 -5.1 +4.0
  Dec 08, 2018 150   UNLV W 77-74 82%     3 - 7 +1.2 -7.2 +8.2
  Dec 15, 2018 100   East Tennessee St. W 73-55 71%     4 - 7 +20.3 +0.6 +19.6
  Dec 22, 2018 87   Missouri L 63-79 58%     4 - 8 -10.2 -6.4 -3.5
  Dec 29, 2018 175   Florida Atlantic L 71-73 86%     4 - 9 -5.4 -12.8 +7.7
  Jan 03, 2019 46   @ Indiana L 65-73 34%     4 - 10 0 - 3 +4.2 -0.4 +4.6
  Jan 06, 2019 63   @ Northwestern L 66-68 42%     4 - 11 0 - 4 +8.1 +1.1 +7.0
  Jan 10, 2019 8   Michigan L 69-79 26%     4 - 12 0 - 5 +4.8 +1.9 +3.5
  Jan 16, 2019 43   Minnesota W 95-68 54%     5 - 12 1 - 5 +34.0 +18.3 +13.7
  Jan 20, 2019 28   @ Iowa L 71-95 23%     5 - 13 1 - 6 -8.4 +2.7 -11.5
  Jan 23, 2019 14   Wisconsin L 60-72 32%     5 - 14 1 - 7 +1.0 -1.5 +2.0
  Jan 26, 2019 20   Maryland W 78-67 27%     6 - 14 2 - 7 +25.5 +10.9 +14.4
  Jan 30, 2019 43   @ Minnesota L 75-86 33%     6 - 15 2 - 8 +1.4 +9.2 -8.0
  Feb 02, 2019 36   Nebraska W 71-64 47%     7 - 15 3 - 8 +15.7 +4.4 +11.4
  Feb 05, 2019 4   Michigan St. W 79-74 19%     8 - 15 4 - 8 +22.3 +13.3 +9.0
  Feb 09, 2019 90   Rutgers W 99-94 69%     9 - 15 5 - 8 +7.8 +12.1 -5.2
  Feb 14, 2019 40   @ Ohio St. W 63-56 29%     10 - 15 6 - 8 +20.7 +0.9 +20.0
  Feb 18, 2019 14   @ Wisconsin L 62-72 15%    
  Feb 23, 2019 57   Penn St. W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 27, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 70-81 14%    
  Mar 03, 2019 63   Northwestern W 70-67 63%    
  Mar 07, 2019 46   Indiana W 73-72 56%    
  Mar 10, 2019 57   @ Penn St. L 71-74 39%    
Projected Record 12.5 - 18.5 8.5 - 11.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.1 2.6 6th
7th 0.1 4.0 14.6 12.0 2.0 0.0 32.7 7th
8th 1.5 13.2 12.1 2.4 0.1 29.3 8th
9th 0.1 7.3 11.7 2.8 0.1 22.0 9th
10th 0.7 6.0 1.5 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 1.6 1.6 0.0 3.3 11th
12th 1.1 0.1 1.2 12th
13th 0.3 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 3.9 16.6 30.4 29.6 15.6 3.6 0.3 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.3% 98.8% 98.8% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
11-9 3.6% 55.6% 0.7% 54.9% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 55.3%
10-10 15.6% 13.9% 0.7% 13.2% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 13.5 13.3%
9-11 29.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 29.3 0.5%
8-12 30.4% 0.2% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.4
7-13 16.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 16.6
6-14 3.9% 3.9
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.8% 0.4% 4.4% 10.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 95.2 4.4%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.4%