Boise St.
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#103
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#97
Pace65.9#283
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#69
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 12.5% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.3% 4.9% 0.9%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 11.7
.500 or above 70.2% 79.9% 54.3%
.500 or above in Conference 70.6% 76.8% 60.4%
Conference Champion 6.1% 7.7% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.8% 1.8%
First Four1.8% 2.7% 0.5%
First Round8.7% 11.2% 4.4%
Second Round2.7% 3.6% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Irvine (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 35 - 38 - 11
Quad 48 - 116 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 12   @ Oregon L 75-106 9%     0 - 1 -12.2 +7.4 -17.7
  Nov 15, 2019 104   UC Irvine W 71-68 62%    
  Nov 20, 2019 72   BYU L 77-78 48%    
  Nov 23, 2019 239   @ Pacific W 70-65 69%    
  Nov 29, 2019 266   UNC Wilmington W 82-70 87%    
  Dec 04, 2019 86   @ New Mexico L 78-83 33%    
  Dec 07, 2019 190   Colorado St. W 76-67 77%    
  Dec 11, 2019 122   @ Tulsa L 70-71 45%    
  Dec 14, 2019 324   Alabama St. W 79-61 94%    
  Dec 22, 2019 63   Georgia Tech L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 28, 2019 263   Cal St. Northridge W 84-72 86%    
  Jan 01, 2020 283   Wyoming W 68-54 88%    
  Jan 04, 2020 102   @ Nevada L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 08, 2020 138   UNLV W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 11, 2020 53   @ San Diego St. L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 15, 2020 178   @ Air Force W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 18, 2020 23   Utah St. L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 25, 2020 124   @ Fresno St. L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 29, 2020 320   San Jose St. W 81-64 93%    
  Feb 01, 2020 102   Nevada W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 04, 2020 283   @ Wyoming W 65-57 75%    
  Feb 08, 2020 23   @ Utah St. L 66-78 15%    
  Feb 11, 2020 178   Air Force W 75-67 76%    
  Feb 16, 2020 53   San Diego St. L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 19, 2020 320   @ San Jose St. W 78-67 83%    
  Feb 23, 2020 86   New Mexico W 81-80 53%    
  Feb 26, 2020 138   @ UNLV L 71-72 48%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.8 1.6 0.4 0.2 6.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 4.0 1.4 0.2 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 2.8 5.8 3.9 0.9 0.1 13.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 4.1 6.3 3.5 0.7 0.0 15.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 4.5 6.1 3.0 0.3 14.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.9 5.4 2.2 0.3 12.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.4 2.1 0.2 10.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 2.6 3.2 1.1 0.1 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 3.5 5.2 7.8 10.3 12.8 13.0 12.6 11.4 8.7 6.4 3.3 1.8 0.4 0.2 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 89.6% 1.6    1.2 0.5 0.0
15-3 54.1% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1
14-4 22.9% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
13-5 6.0% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.3 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 88.6% 34.1% 54.5% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 82.8%
16-2 1.8% 72.7% 29.0% 43.7% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.5 61.5%
15-3 3.3% 49.2% 22.5% 26.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 34.5%
14-4 6.4% 27.5% 17.6% 9.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 4.7 11.9%
13-5 8.7% 17.1% 13.3% 3.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 7.2 4.4%
12-6 11.4% 10.0% 8.9% 1.1% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 10.3 1.2%
11-7 12.6% 5.5% 5.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.9 0.3%
10-8 13.0% 3.5% 3.5% 0.1% 13.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.5 0.1%
9-9 12.8% 2.0% 2.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.6
8-10 10.3% 1.4% 1.4% 13.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.2
7-11 7.8% 0.8% 0.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7
6-12 5.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 5.2
5-13 3.5% 3.5
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.5% 6.4% 3.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 2.6 3.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 90.5 3.3%