Xavier
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#35
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#27
Pace69.1#195
Improvement-1.3#322

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#68
First Shot+3.6#77
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#138
Layup/Dunks+13.0#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#352
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#293
Freethrows+1.4#95
Improvement-0.9#306

Defense
Total Defense+7.3#24
First Shot+4.8#58
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#51
Layups/Dunks-1.6#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#117
Freethrows+2.5#65
Improvement-0.5#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.7% 2.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 5.4% 6.0% 1.9%
Top 4 Seed 17.9% 19.9% 4.8%
Top 6 Seed 31.8% 34.9% 11.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 66.3% 70.1% 42.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 62.8% 66.8% 39.1%
Average Seed 6.7 6.6 7.8
.500 or above 88.0% 90.8% 70.1%
.500 or above in Conference 61.7% 64.3% 45.2%
Conference Champion 10.7% 11.6% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 5.0% 13.3%
First Four5.1% 5.2% 4.6%
First Round63.9% 67.6% 40.2%
Second Round37.4% 40.0% 20.9%
Sweet Sixteen16.3% 17.7% 7.3%
Elite Eight6.8% 7.5% 2.1%
Final Four2.9% 3.2% 0.6%
Championship Game1.1% 1.2% 0.5%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Neutral) - 86.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 8
Quad 26 - 310 - 10
Quad 35 - 115 - 11
Quad 44 - 020 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 272   Jacksonville W 76-57 96%     1 - 0 +10.1 -3.1 +12.4
  Nov 08, 2019 182   Siena W 81-63 92%     2 - 0 +13.9 +2.6 +10.3
  Nov 12, 2019 47   Missouri W 63-58 OT 66%     3 - 0 +12.3 -11.2 +22.8
  Nov 15, 2019 123   Missouri St. W 59-56 87%     4 - 0 +2.5 -7.6 +10.3
  Nov 21, 2019 158   Towson W 73-61 86%    
  Nov 30, 2019 212   Lipscomb W 81-64 94%    
  Dec 04, 2019 181   Green Bay W 84-68 92%    
  Dec 07, 2019 22   Cincinnati W 68-66 54%    
  Dec 14, 2019 106   @ Wake Forest W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 18, 2019 154   Western Carolina W 81-66 90%    
  Dec 22, 2019 53   @ TCU L 70-71 47%    
  Dec 30, 2019 14   @ Villanova L 64-71 27%    
  Jan 05, 2020 90   St. John's W 78-69 79%    
  Jan 08, 2020 15   Seton Hall L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 11, 2020 45   Creighton W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 15, 2020 25   @ Marquette L 69-73 34%    
  Jan 22, 2020 77   Georgetown W 79-71 74%    
  Jan 26, 2020 45   @ Creighton L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 29, 2020 25   Marquette W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 01, 2020 15   @ Seton Hall L 68-74 28%    
  Feb 04, 2020 75   @ DePaul W 72-70 53%    
  Feb 08, 2020 37   Providence W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 12, 2020 34   @ Butler L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 17, 2020 90   @ St. John's W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 22, 2020 14   Villanova L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 25, 2020 75   DePaul W 75-67 73%    
  Mar 01, 2020 77   @ Georgetown W 76-74 55%    
  Mar 04, 2020 37   @ Providence L 68-71 40%    
  Mar 07, 2020 34   Butler W 68-65 58%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 10.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 4.5 4.4 1.3 0.3 12.2 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.9 5.3 3.4 0.6 0.1 11.7 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 6.1 3.2 0.7 12.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 5.5 3.9 0.5 12.6 5th
6th 0.3 2.3 5.7 4.2 0.3 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 4.4 3.4 0.3 0.1 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 1.8 3.6 1.8 0.5 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.2 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 3.4 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.7 4.7 6.6 9.1 12.4 12.8 12.3 10.7 9.6 7.2 4.2 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 100.0% 1.4    1.4
15-3 90.1% 2.8    2.1 0.6 0.1
14-4 66.9% 2.8    1.7 1.0 0.1
13-5 30.3% 2.2    0.3 1.4 0.5 0.0
12-6 9.8% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.7% 10.7 6.1 3.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 22.9% 77.1% 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
16-2 1.4% 100.0% 42.8% 57.2% 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 100.0%
15-3 3.1% 100.0% 27.6% 72.4% 2.3 0.5 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.2% 100.0% 24.1% 75.9% 3.2 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.6 0.2 0.1 100.0%
13-5 7.2% 99.9% 17.8% 82.2% 4.3 0.8 1.2 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 9.6% 99.4% 16.5% 82.9% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.2%
11-7 10.7% 96.9% 11.7% 85.2% 6.6 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 96.5%
10-8 12.3% 93.2% 8.7% 84.5% 7.9 0.2 0.8 2.0 1.8 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.0 0.8 92.6%
9-9 12.8% 79.0% 6.8% 72.2% 9.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.7 2.8 1.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 2.7 77.5%
8-10 12.4% 46.1% 3.3% 42.8% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.7 0.2 6.7 44.3%
7-11 9.1% 24.3% 3.0% 21.4% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.1 6.9 22.0%
6-12 6.6% 8.1% 0.1% 8.0% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 6.1 8.0%
5-13 4.7% 1.3% 1.3% 11.0 0.1 4.6
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 66.3% 9.4% 56.9% 6.7 1.7 3.7 4.9 7.6 6.4 7.5 6.6 7.3 7.8 6.0 6.0 0.9 0.0 33.7 62.8%