Florida Atlantic
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#171
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#200
Pace69.0#196
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#247
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#123
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.9% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.4
.500 or above 50.2% 61.9% 33.2%
.500 or above in Conference 52.3% 59.3% 42.3%
Conference Champion 4.6% 6.0% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 5.8% 11.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round3.7% 4.8% 2.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Away) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 48 - 212 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 56   @ Miami (FL) L 60-74 12%     0 - 1 -2.0 -7.6 +5.3
  Nov 11, 2019 52   @ Alabama L 59-78 11%     0 - 2 -6.4 -11.1 +6.0
  Nov 20, 2019 279   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 69-67 59%    
  Nov 29, 2019 313   Holy Cross W 75-63 87%    
  Dec 01, 2019 206   Illinois-Chicago W 68-63 66%    
  Dec 04, 2019 305   Canisius W 74-63 84%    
  Dec 14, 2019 322   High Point W 71-58 88%    
  Dec 22, 2019 234   @ Mercer W 74-73 51%    
  Dec 29, 2019 136   @ South Florida L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 02, 2020 203   Texas San Antonio W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 04, 2020 129   UTEP W 67-66 50%    
  Jan 09, 2020 217   @ Rice L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 11, 2020 145   @ North Texas L 57-62 34%    
  Jan 16, 2020 162   Middle Tennessee W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 18, 2020 152   UAB W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 23, 2020 232   @ Charlotte W 66-65 50%    
  Jan 25, 2020 127   @ Old Dominion L 58-64 30%    
  Jan 30, 2020 72   Western Kentucky L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 01, 2020 239   Marshall W 80-74 71%    
  Feb 05, 2020 165   @ Florida International L 76-79 39%    
  Feb 08, 2020 165   Florida International W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 13, 2020 223   @ Southern Miss L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 89   @ Louisiana Tech L 62-72 22%    
Projected Record 11 - 12 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 2.9 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 4.3 0.8 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 1.6 5.6 1.7 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.4 4.8 3.1 0.2 8.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 5.3 0.6 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 5.5 2.5 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.2 3.0 4.2 0.3 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.0 1.5 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.5 3.5 3.2 0.1 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.5 0.8 6.6 12th
13th 0.2 1.3 2.8 1.3 0.0 5.5 13th
14th 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.9 0.1 4.0 14th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.1 6.3 9.7 12.8 14.2 14.7 12.7 10.9 7.0 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 98.3% 0.6    0.4 0.1
12-2 76.8% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-3 37.6% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0
10-4 9.5% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.0 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 48.3% 20.7% 27.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 34.8%
13-1 0.6% 35.0% 32.5% 2.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 3.8%
12-2 2.0% 19.7% 19.7% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6
11-3 4.2% 17.2% 17.2% 13.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 3.5
10-4 7.0% 9.7% 9.7% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 6.3
9-5 10.9% 6.4% 6.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 10.2
8-6 12.7% 3.7% 3.7% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 12.3
7-7 14.7% 1.9% 1.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 14.4
6-8 14.2% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.0
5-9 12.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.8
4-10 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
3-11 6.3% 6.3
2-12 3.1% 3.1
1-13 1.3% 1.3
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 3.8% 3.7% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.4 96.2 0.1%