Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#290
Expected Predictive Rating-14.6#333
Pace70.5#163
Improvement-0.7#276

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#309
First Shot-5.4#315
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#155
Layup/Dunks-7.5#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#145
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#116
Freethrows-0.2#185
Improvement-1.5#332

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#234
First Shot+0.9#144
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#321
Layups/Dunks-0.8#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#239
Freethrows+3.4#33
Improvement+0.7#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.8% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 9.1% 16.1% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 37.4% 45.3% 32.7%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.9% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 8.4% 14.5%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 1.2%
First Round1.5% 2.0% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Atlantic (Home) - 37.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 116   @ Saint Louis L 67-89 12%     0 - 1 -16.2 +2.2 -19.5
  Nov 09, 2019 208   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 61-65 43%     0 - 2 -9.5 -10.6 +1.0
  Nov 11, 2019 201   @ Dartmouth L 49-55 22%     0 - 3 -5.2 -16.4 +10.8
  Nov 15, 2019 220   @ Mercer L 68-84 25%     0 - 4 -16.1 -13.4 -1.0
  Nov 20, 2019 175   Florida Atlantic L 66-69 38%    
  Nov 23, 2019 39   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-82 2%    
  Nov 29, 2019 279   North Dakota W 73-71 57%    
  Nov 30, 2019 265   Campbell W 69-68 54%    
  Dec 01, 2019 112   Georgia Southern L 72-79 26%    
  Dec 04, 2019 165   @ Florida International L 73-83 19%    
  Dec 07, 2019 283   Robert Morris W 67-65 59%    
  Dec 18, 2019 222   @ South Dakota St. L 70-77 27%    
  Dec 29, 2019 53   @ USC L 62-82 4%    
  Jan 02, 2020 80   Liberty L 59-70 16%    
  Jan 04, 2020 218   Lipscomb L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 09, 2020 153   @ North Florida L 69-79 19%    
  Jan 11, 2020 338   @ Stetson W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 16, 2020 330   Kennesaw St. W 73-66 73%    
  Jan 18, 2020 299   @ North Alabama L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 25, 2020 187   NJIT L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 30, 2020 273   @ Jacksonville L 64-68 35%    
  Feb 01, 2020 80   @ Liberty L 56-73 7%    
  Feb 06, 2020 338   Stetson W 74-66 77%    
  Feb 08, 2020 153   North Florida L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 13, 2020 330   @ Kennesaw St. W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 15, 2020 218   @ Lipscomb L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 22, 2020 187   @ NJIT L 64-73 22%    
  Feb 27, 2020 273   Jacksonville W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 29, 2020 299   North Alabama W 70-66 63%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.2 3.8 1.7 0.3 9.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.1 5.0 1.8 0.1 13.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 6.9 6.0 1.6 0.1 17.3 5th
6th 0.3 3.0 8.0 5.7 1.1 0.1 18.2 6th
7th 0.6 3.5 7.1 4.1 0.7 0.0 16.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.4 4.7 2.4 0.4 11.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.3 1.0 0.2 6.8 9th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.0 6.3 9.5 12.7 15.0 14.8 13.1 10.2 6.8 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 88.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-3 45.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 21.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.3% 34.1% 34.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.9% 9.3% 9.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.0% 11.5% 11.5% 15.5 0.1 0.1 1.8
11-5 4.0% 7.5% 7.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.7
10-6 6.8% 5.1% 5.1% 15.8 0.1 0.3 6.5
9-7 10.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 10.0
8-8 13.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.7
7-9 14.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 14.5
6-10 15.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.9
5-11 12.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.7
4-12 9.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.4
3-13 6.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.3
2-14 3.0% 3.0
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%