Dartmouth
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#209
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#241
Pace65.5#283
Improvement-1.6#247

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#269
First Shot+0.4#160
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#342
Layup/Dunks+1.7#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#60
Freethrows-2.5#327
Improvement+1.6#81

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#156
First Shot-2.9#270
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#9
Layups/Dunks+0.3#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#253
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#315
Freethrows+1.4#101
Improvement-3.2#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 5.6% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 12.4% 30.5% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 33.6% 60.1% 29.4%
Conference Champion 1.7% 6.3% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 18.3% 6.6% 20.2%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
First Round2.4% 5.3% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Away) - 13.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 5
Quad 32 - 63 - 12
Quad 48 - 512 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 151   @ Buffalo W 68-63 25%     1 - 0 +9.0 -7.9 +16.7
  Nov 11, 2019 303   Florida Gulf Coast W 55-49 79%     2 - 0 -5.3 -16.2 +11.3
  Nov 15, 2019 282   Merrimack W 55-46 64%     3 - 0 +2.3 -10.5 +14.3
  Nov 16, 2019 239   Jacksonville L 37-57 55%     3 - 1 -24.4 -28.0 +0.5
  Nov 17, 2019 268   @ Umass Lowell W 80-75 OT 50%     4 - 1 +1.9 -3.8 +5.2
  Nov 30, 2019 153   @ Bowling Green L 69-76 25%     4 - 2 -3.1 -3.9 +0.8
  Dec 03, 2019 97   @ Georgia St. L 80-83 OT 16%     4 - 3 +4.8 +4.9 +0.1
  Dec 06, 2019 117   @ South Florida L 44-63 18%     4 - 4 -12.4 -18.4 +4.1
  Dec 11, 2019 340   @ Maine W 77-44 74%     5 - 4 +23.2 +13.1 +15.9
  Dec 14, 2019 173   @ Boston University L 76-78 30%     5 - 5 +0.5 +6.1 -5.7
  Dec 18, 2019 350   Central Connecticut St. W 76-60 94%     6 - 5 -4.9 -7.6 +2.5
  Dec 21, 2019 233   Bryant L 60-64 65%     6 - 6 -11.1 -16.4 +5.3
  Dec 30, 2019 299   @ New Hampshire L 56-70 58%     6 - 7 -19.1 -17.3 -1.3
  Jan 02, 2020 81   Vermont L 68-77 26%     6 - 8 -5.2 -2.6 -2.5
  Jan 18, 2020 92   @ Harvard L 61-72 14%    
  Jan 25, 2020 92   Harvard L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 31, 2020 175   @ Princeton L 64-69 30%    
  Feb 01, 2020 130   @ Penn L 65-73 22%    
  Feb 07, 2020 195   @ Brown L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 71   @ Yale L 56-69 11%    
  Feb 14, 2020 251   Columbia W 69-64 68%    
  Feb 15, 2020 286   Cornell W 68-61 74%    
  Feb 21, 2020 130   Penn L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 22, 2020 175   Princeton W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 28, 2020 286   @ Cornell W 65-64 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 251   @ Columbia L 66-67 47%    
  Mar 06, 2020 71   Yale L 58-66 25%    
  Mar 07, 2020 195   Brown W 68-66 58%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.9 5.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.2 3.9 7.6 2.9 0.2 14.9 4th
5th 0.4 5.1 9.6 4.1 0.3 19.5 5th
6th 0.7 5.7 9.7 3.9 0.2 20.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.2 7.3 2.7 0.1 16.6 7th
8th 0.3 1.6 3.6 3.5 1.3 0.1 10.3 8th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.8 9.4 14.8 17.7 17.8 15.0 9.8 5.4 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 88.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
11-3 68.4% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
10-4 27.9% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
9-5 4.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.1% 6.9% 6.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.2% 28.9% 28.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 0.8% 16.1% 16.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
10-4 2.3% 12.6% 12.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.0
9-5 5.4% 11.0% 11.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 4.8
8-6 9.8% 7.1% 7.1% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 9.1
7-7 15.0% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.1 0.5 14.4
6-8 17.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 17.6
5-9 17.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.7
4-10 14.8% 14.8
3-11 9.4% 9.4
2-12 4.8% 4.8
1-13 1.6% 1.6
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.3 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%