Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#24
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#44
Pace71.4#136
Improvement+1.1#51

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#42
First Shot+6.8#29
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#229
Layup/Dunks-3.0#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#123
Freethrows+6.7#6
Improvement+1.2#30

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#24
First Shot+6.4#27
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#141
Layups/Dunks+5.2#34
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#137
Freethrows-3.3#304
Improvement-0.1#209
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
#1 Seed 2.5% 2.6% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 6.9% 7.1% 0.9%
Top 4 Seed 21.8% 22.4% 7.3%
Top 6 Seed 38.4% 39.2% 19.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.2% 71.1% 46.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 68.8% 69.8% 46.0%
Average Seed 6.1 6.1 7.2
.500 or above 88.3% 89.1% 69.2%
.500 or above in Conference 62.9% 63.7% 44.1%
Conference Champion 3.2% 3.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.4% 2.2%
First Four3.1% 3.2% 2.3%
First Round68.6% 69.5% 46.0%
Second Round46.0% 46.8% 26.8%
Sweet Sixteen22.4% 22.9% 9.1%
Elite Eight9.7% 9.9% 4.7%
Final Four4.0% 4.0% 1.9%
Championship Game1.7% 1.7% 1.3%
National Champion0.8% 0.8% 0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Home) - 96.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 9
Quad 25 - 311 - 11
Quad 35 - 116 - 12
Quad 45 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 99   @ Pittsburgh L 61-63 68%     0 - 1 +5.9 -2.2 +8.0
  Nov 10, 2019 29   @ Florida W 63-51 41%     1 - 1 +27.2 +5.7 +22.6
  Nov 15, 2019 157   Western Carolina W 79-74 92%     2 - 1 +2.0 +1.0 +0.9
  Nov 20, 2019 213   Chattanooga W 79-60 96%    
  Nov 23, 2019 216   St. Francis (PA) W 84-65 96%    
  Nov 25, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 93-57 99.9%   
  Nov 29, 2019 20   Tennessee L 71-72 48%    
  Nov 30, 2019 39   Virginia Commonwealth W 73-71 55%    
  Dec 03, 2019 41   @ Indiana L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 08, 2019 72   Clemson W 74-65 78%    
  Dec 17, 2019 153   North Florida W 83-67 92%    
  Dec 21, 2019 139   South Florida W 73-62 85%    
  Dec 28, 2019 299   North Alabama W 81-57 98%    
  Dec 31, 2019 66   Georgia Tech W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 04, 2020 4   @ Louisville L 67-77 20%    
  Jan 08, 2020 106   @ Wake Forest W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 15, 2020 6   Virginia L 57-59 43%    
  Jan 18, 2020 52   @ Miami (FL) W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 25, 2020 50   Notre Dame W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 28, 2020 6   @ Virginia L 54-62 25%    
  Feb 01, 2020 62   @ Virginia Tech W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 03, 2020 7   North Carolina L 78-80 43%    
  Feb 08, 2020 52   Miami (FL) W 76-70 71%    
  Feb 10, 2020 2   @ Duke L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 61   Syracuse W 70-63 72%    
  Feb 18, 2020 99   Pittsburgh W 71-60 83%    
  Feb 22, 2020 37   @ North Carolina St. L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 24, 2020 4   Louisville L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 29, 2020 72   @ Clemson W 71-68 59%    
  Mar 04, 2020 50   @ Notre Dame W 67-66 52%    
  Mar 07, 2020 96   Boston College W 78-67 82%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.7 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.1 4.0 1.3 0.2 9.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.8 1.5 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.5 4.5 1.3 0.1 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.1 4.8 1.6 0.1 11.9 6th
7th 0.6 3.3 4.6 1.6 0.1 10.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.5 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.7 2.1 0.2 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.5 4.4 6.9 9.4 11.4 12.3 12.5 11.6 10.0 7.5 4.9 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 97.1% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 68.8% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
16-4 43.2% 1.2    0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 14.4% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 62.5% 37.5% 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 36.3% 63.7% 1.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
17-3 1.1% 100.0% 22.7% 77.3% 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.7% 100.0% 20.6% 79.4% 2.1 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.9% 99.8% 14.0% 85.9% 2.8 0.6 1.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-6 7.5% 100.0% 10.6% 89.4% 3.7 0.2 1.0 2.4 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-7 10.0% 99.8% 6.4% 93.4% 4.9 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.5 2.5 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-8 11.6% 99.1% 3.8% 95.3% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.5 2.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.0%
11-9 12.5% 96.1% 2.9% 93.2% 7.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.2 2.7 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.5 96.0%
10-10 12.3% 83.4% 1.8% 81.6% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.0 0.3 2.1 83.1%
9-11 11.4% 59.7% 1.0% 58.7% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.6 59.3%
8-12 9.4% 26.7% 0.5% 26.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 6.9 26.3%
7-13 6.9% 8.2% 0.6% 7.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.4 7.7%
6-14 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 1.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3 1.0%
5-15 2.5% 2.5
4-16 1.5% 1.5
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 70.2% 4.3% 65.9% 6.1 2.5 4.4 7.2 7.7 8.3 8.3 8.5 7.9 5.8 5.2 3.6 0.7 0.0 29.8 68.8%