Florida
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.8#14
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#114
Pace61.0#341
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#37
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+8.8#9
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.4% 1.4% 0.5%
#1 Seed 7.2% 7.4% 2.4%
Top 2 Seed 15.8% 16.2% 5.9%
Top 4 Seed 34.6% 35.4% 15.2%
Top 6 Seed 51.3% 52.4% 25.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 79.1% 80.1% 53.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 75.6% 76.7% 49.7%
Average Seed 5.3 5.3 6.4
.500 or above 89.9% 90.8% 68.1%
.500 or above in Conference 84.2% 85.0% 65.2%
Conference Champion 19.1% 19.6% 8.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.9% 2.4%
First Four2.4% 2.4% 1.9%
First Round78.2% 79.1% 53.2%
Second Round58.4% 59.2% 35.6%
Sweet Sixteen32.2% 32.8% 16.5%
Elite Eight16.5% 16.8% 9.8%
Final Four7.9% 8.1% 2.9%
Championship Game3.6% 3.7% 0.8%
National Champion1.6% 1.6% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 96.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 8
Quad 26 - 213 - 10
Quad 34 - 017 - 10
Quad 43 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 151   North Florida W 74-59 93%     1 - 0 +12.8 +0.6 +12.6
  Nov 10, 2019 17   Florida St. L 51-63 63%     1 - 1 -0.6 -9.9 +8.2
  Nov 14, 2019 179   Towson W 72-53 96%    
  Nov 17, 2019 95   @ Connecticut W 72-66 72%    
  Nov 21, 2019 171   Saint Joseph's W 82-66 93%    
  Nov 29, 2019 238   Marshall W 83-61 98%    
  Dec 07, 2019 39   @ Butler W 62-61 52%    
  Dec 17, 2019 22   Providence W 65-64 56%    
  Dec 21, 2019 23   Utah St. W 67-65 55%    
  Dec 28, 2019 262   Long Beach St. W 79-56 98%    
  Jan 04, 2020 50   Alabama W 73-65 76%    
  Jan 07, 2020 62   @ South Carolina W 67-63 62%    
  Jan 11, 2020 44   @ Missouri W 63-62 54%    
  Jan 14, 2020 48   Mississippi W 70-62 75%    
  Jan 18, 2020 33   Auburn W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 21, 2020 26   @ LSU L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 25, 2020 16   Baylor W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 28, 2020 58   Mississippi St. W 69-60 77%    
  Feb 01, 2020 125   @ Vanderbilt W 70-60 79%    
  Feb 05, 2020 67   Georgia W 75-65 80%    
  Feb 08, 2020 48   @ Mississippi W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 12, 2020 76   @ Texas A&M W 67-62 66%    
  Feb 15, 2020 125   Vanderbilt W 73-57 91%    
  Feb 18, 2020 30   Arkansas W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 22, 2020 5   @ Kentucky L 60-67 27%    
  Feb 26, 2020 26   LSU W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 29, 2020 29   @ Tennessee L 66-67 48%    
  Mar 04, 2020 67   @ Georgia W 72-68 63%    
  Mar 07, 2020 5   Kentucky L 63-64 47%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.4 5.6 4.8 2.1 0.7 19.1 1st
2nd 0.3 2.5 6.1 5.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 5.5 4.3 1.1 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.2 3.5 0.7 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.7 3.8 4.0 0.9 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 3.9 1.2 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.7 0.1 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.8 0.2 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.8 4.7 5.8 8.1 11.3 13.1 12.5 12.6 10.5 8.1 5.3 2.1 0.7 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 99.5% 2.1    2.0 0.1
16-2 90.9% 4.8    3.8 0.9 0.0 0.0
15-3 69.6% 5.6    3.5 1.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 41.3% 4.4    1.7 1.8 0.8 0.1
13-5 11.8% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1
12-6 1.4% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.1% 19.1 11.9 5.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 100.0% 56.9% 43.1% 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 2.1% 100.0% 47.6% 52.4% 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 5.3% 100.0% 37.7% 62.3% 1.9 2.2 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 100.0%
15-3 8.1% 100.0% 31.1% 68.9% 2.5 1.9 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 10.5% 99.9% 24.0% 76.0% 3.4 0.8 2.1 3.3 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-5 12.6% 99.9% 18.9% 81.0% 4.6 0.3 1.0 2.3 3.0 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.9%
12-6 12.5% 98.0% 13.6% 84.4% 5.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 97.7%
11-7 13.1% 93.0% 7.5% 85.5% 7.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.9 92.4%
10-8 11.3% 79.4% 4.9% 74.5% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.3 78.3%
9-9 8.1% 56.3% 2.2% 54.1% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.2 3.6 55.3%
8-10 5.8% 26.8% 2.8% 24.0% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 4.2 24.7%
7-11 4.7% 7.8% 0.8% 7.0% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.4 7.0%
6-12 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 1.1% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 1.1%
5-13 1.2% 1.2
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 79.1% 14.4% 64.7% 5.3 7.2 8.6 9.7 9.2 8.7 8.0 7.9 6.7 5.5 4.1 3.1 0.5 0.0 20.9 75.6%