Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#166
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#76
Pace68.4#216
Improvement+0.8#71

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#169
First Shot+0.0#167
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#163
Layup/Dunks-2.6#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#103
Freethrows-1.2#232
Improvement+1.1#34

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#182
First Shot+4.5#63
After Offensive Rebounds-5.2#344
Layups/Dunks-4.7#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#144
Freethrows+3.0#39
Improvement-0.4#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.9% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.9 11.7 12.5
.500 or above 42.1% 50.1% 25.6%
.500 or above in Conference 31.6% 35.6% 23.5%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 9.1% 15.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round1.4% 1.7% 0.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 67.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 62 - 9
Quad 35 - 67 - 15
Quad 48 - 215 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 275   Umass Lowell W 79-64 79%     1 - 0 +5.9 -3.9 +9.4
  Nov 09, 2019 286   @ Fairfield W 62-60 62%     2 - 0 -1.7 -3.6 +2.2
  Nov 12, 2019 147   Northeastern W 80-71 56%     3 - 0 +7.0 +7.2 +0.4
  Nov 16, 2019 350   Central Connecticut St. W 89-43 96%     4 - 0 +25.6 +8.0 +18.0
  Nov 20, 2019 198   Rider W 80-75 67%    
  Nov 23, 2019 8   Virginia L 49-67 5%    
  Nov 29, 2019 87   @ Rutgers L 65-74 20%    
  Dec 04, 2019 65   South Carolina L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 07, 2019 102   @ Harvard L 66-74 24%    
  Dec 11, 2019 125   Yale W 73-72 50%    
  Dec 20, 2019 305   Maine W 73-61 86%    
  Dec 30, 2019 137   @ Akron L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 05, 2020 116   @ Saint Louis L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 08, 2020 203   La Salle W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 11, 2020 64   @ Dayton L 65-77 15%    
  Jan 15, 2020 144   St. Bonaventure L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 18, 2020 260   George Washington W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 22, 2020 142   @ George Mason L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 25, 2020 97   Duquesne L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 29, 2020 188   Saint Joseph's W 83-79 65%    
  Feb 01, 2020 70   @ Davidson L 62-73 16%    
  Feb 04, 2020 76   @ Rhode Island L 65-76 19%    
  Feb 09, 2020 142   George Mason W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 15, 2020 64   Dayton L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 18, 2020 116   Saint Louis L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 22, 2020 226   @ Fordham L 63-64 50%    
  Feb 26, 2020 40   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-76 23%    
  Feb 29, 2020 105   @ Richmond L 69-76 27%    
  Mar 04, 2020 203   @ La Salle L 69-70 46%    
  Mar 07, 2020 76   Rhode Island L 68-73 35%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.4 2.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 4.1 1.3 0.1 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.9 3.7 0.5 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.8 1.0 0.0 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.3 1.6 0.1 11.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.0 2.0 0.2 11.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.3 13th
14th 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.2 14th
Total 0.2 1.1 2.8 5.4 8.5 11.4 13.1 13.3 12.6 10.4 8.2 5.9 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 86.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 77.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 36.8% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 88.6% 25.7% 62.9% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.6%
16-2 0.1% 55.9% 13.2% 42.6% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 49.2%
15-3 0.4% 38.1% 14.7% 23.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 27.4%
14-4 0.9% 23.6% 14.9% 8.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 10.3%
13-5 2.1% 13.4% 9.5% 4.0% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 4.4%
12-6 3.6% 5.6% 4.7% 0.8% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.4 0.9%
11-7 5.9% 3.4% 3.3% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.7 0.1%
10-8 8.2% 2.1% 2.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.0
9-9 10.4% 1.3% 1.2% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.0%
8-10 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
7-11 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
5-13 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 11.4
4-14 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 8.5
3-15 5.4% 5.4
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.6% 1.2% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.4 0.4%