Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#200
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#196
Pace71.5#122
Improvement-4.8#335

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#185
First Shot-0.4#194
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#154
Layup/Dunks-0.9#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#77
Freethrows-0.9#242
Improvement-3.8#339

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#240
First Shot-0.3#168
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#324
Layups/Dunks-5.9#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#45
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#32
Freethrows-0.2#197
Improvement-1.0#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 0.8% 2.2% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 2.3% 5.6% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.9% 8.8% 24.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 21 - 81 - 14
Quad 33 - 54 - 19
Quad 47 - 211 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 272   Umass Lowell W 79-64 73%     1 - 0 +6.0 -3.9 +9.4
  Nov 09, 2019 252   @ Fairfield W 62-60 49%     2 - 0 -0.3 -1.1 +1.0
  Nov 12, 2019 131   Northeastern W 80-71 43%     3 - 0 +8.3 +9.7 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2019 350   Central Connecticut St. W 89-43 95%     4 - 0 +25.0 +7.4 +18.1
  Nov 20, 2019 190   Rider W 82-72 58%     5 - 0 +5.4 +5.2 +0.1
  Nov 23, 2019 46   Virginia L 46-58 12%     5 - 1 -1.7 -9.2 +5.9
  Nov 24, 2019 77   St. John's L 63-78 18%     5 - 2 -8.0 -6.9 -0.5
  Nov 29, 2019 32   @ Rutgers L 57-82 6%     5 - 3 -10.2 -8.3 -0.4
  Dec 04, 2019 93   South Carolina L 80-84 30%     5 - 4 -1.1 +1.7 -2.4
  Dec 07, 2019 94   @ Harvard L 55-89 15%     5 - 5 -25.7 -13.6 -12.4
  Dec 11, 2019 72   Yale L 80-83 OT 25%     5 - 6 +1.5 +6.0 -4.3
  Dec 20, 2019 339   Maine W 74-53 88%     6 - 6 +5.4 -6.7 +11.9
  Dec 30, 2019 87   @ Akron L 79-85 14%     6 - 7 +3.1 +3.8 -0.2
  Jan 05, 2020 92   @ Saint Louis L 80-83 OT 15%     6 - 8 0 - 1 +5.7 -0.7 +7.0
  Jan 08, 2020 172   La Salle W 77-69 53%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +4.8 -0.4 +4.6
  Jan 11, 2020 9   @ Dayton L 60-88 4%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -9.4 -10.2 +2.8
  Jan 15, 2020 118   St. Bonaventure L 61-74 28%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -9.4 -3.3 -7.3
  Jan 18, 2020 192   George Washington L 51-75 58%     7 - 11 1 - 4 -28.7 -20.9 -9.3
  Jan 22, 2020 157   @ George Mason L 69-75 28%    
  Jan 25, 2020 89   Duquesne L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 29, 2020 241   Saint Joseph's W 80-75 68%    
  Feb 01, 2020 103   @ Davidson L 65-75 17%    
  Feb 04, 2020 73   @ Rhode Island L 66-79 12%    
  Feb 09, 2020 157   George Mason L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 9   Dayton L 66-81 8%    
  Feb 18, 2020 92   Saint Louis L 66-71 31%    
  Feb 22, 2020 259   @ Fordham W 63-62 49%    
  Feb 26, 2020 44   Virginia Commonwealth L 66-76 17%    
  Feb 29, 2020 79   @ Richmond L 67-79 12%    
  Mar 04, 2020 172   @ La Salle L 68-73 32%    
  Mar 07, 2020 73   Rhode Island L 69-76 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 1.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.2 8th
9th 0.3 2.9 4.3 1.9 0.1 9.5 9th
10th 0.2 3.6 7.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 14.4 10th
11th 0.2 3.3 9.7 5.4 0.6 0.0 19.1 11th
12th 0.3 3.9 11.3 7.0 1.0 0.0 23.5 12th
13th 0.2 2.8 8.2 5.9 0.9 0.0 17.9 13th
14th 1.6 4.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.5 14th
Total 1.8 7.0 15.6 21.2 21.5 16.7 9.4 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.5% 0.5
9-9 1.7% 1.7
8-10 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 4.6
7-11 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 9.4
6-12 16.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.7
5-13 21.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.5
4-14 21.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.2
3-15 15.6% 15.6
2-16 7.0% 7.0
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%